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NC Wilmington vs Charleston Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#17
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game63.5
NC Wilmington
USA
vs
Charleston
USA
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · NC Wilmington v Charleston
28 Jan 2027
NC W v CHAR
upcoming
01 Mar 2026
NC W76
CHAR79
10 Mar 2025
NC W68
CHAR67
13 Feb 2025
NC W86
CHAR66
20 Jan 2024
NC W78
CHAR69
11 Jan 2023
NC W69
CHAR71
07 Mar 2022
NC W60
CHAR57
12 Feb 2022
NC W85
CHAR79
22 Feb 2020
NC W68
CHAR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Charleston win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
101-65
101
65
+36
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#277
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
100-41
100
41
+59
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
43-38
36-35
37-33
44-26
44-39
35-23
41-56
35-24
41-33
33-31
37-54
36-27
65-38
31-33
47-42
49-30
42-43
57-26
43-15
150.9Avg total
83.2Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.563.5156.0+29.0100%
Season at home (3)97.359.7157.0+37.7100%
Season away (1)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.267.7150.9+15.580%
Last 5 (5)88.067.8155.8+20.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)74.270.4144.6+3.840%
vs Weaker (23)77.067.3144.3+9.791%
This opponent (Charleston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CharlestonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#54
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A15/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A26/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
56-81
56
81
-25
H08/03
NCAA
Southern W.
#506
W
111-55
111
55
+56
H03/11
NCAA
Newberry
#473
W
112-66
112
66
+46
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#291
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
32-29
36-28
26-29
41-26
33-35
39-35
35-28
42-30
43-41
23-35
56-41
32-43
24-38
52-26
59-29
52-27
60-39
46-28
45-53
148.3Avg total
80.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)104.767.3172.0+37.3100%
Season at home (2)111.560.5172.0+51.0100%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.667.7148.3+12.980%
Last 5 (5)89.871.8161.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.976.1145.0-7.329%
vs Similar (15)76.673.1149.7+3.580%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +5.1+5.1
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.6+10.61st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +5.1+5.1
NC WilmingtonCharleston
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monmouth
#159
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H20/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H27/02
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H02/03
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A04/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#435
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H03/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#123
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A07/11
NCAA
Kent State
#277
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Montreat College
#516
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H14/11
NCAA
67.8Avg total
39.2Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.868.9+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.228.266.4+9.989%-
Last 30 away (12)35.437.272.7-1.858%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.667.8+10.690%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (5)35.834.470.2+1.460%-
vs Weaker (23)36.531.768.3+4.878%-
This opponent (Charleston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CharlestonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#54
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A15/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A26/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/03
NCAA
Southern W.
#506
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Newberry
#473
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#291
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A11/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
39.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.234.670.8+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)35.933.569.4+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.331.570.8+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.740.070.7-9.30%-
vs Similar (15)34.932.967.8+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.232.772.8+7.567%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
NC Wilmington wins
4
Charleston wins
DateGameScore
02/03/26NC Wilmington v Charleston76-79
10/02/26Charleston v NC Wilmington64-76
11/03/25NC Wilmington v Charleston68-67
14/02/25NC Wilmington v Charleston86-66
24/01/25Charleston v NC Wilmington83-85
02/02/24Charleston v NC Wilmington74-80
20/01/24NC Wilmington v Charleston78-69
08/03/23Charleston v NC Wilmington63-58
09/02/23Charleston v NC Wilmington93-61
12/01/23NC Wilmington v Charleston69-71
NC Wilmingtonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMontreat College100-41
12/11/26HKent State91-73
07/11/26AEast Carolina78-75
03/11/26HMount Olive Trojans101-65
08/03/26HCampbell70-85
04/03/26AElon76-57
02/03/26HCharleston76-79
27/02/26HN. Carolina A&T88-65
21/02/26ACampbell73-68
20/02/26HMonmouth79-69
Charlestonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ATemple91-81
07/11/26HNewberry112-66
03/11/26HSouthern W.111-55
08/03/26HTowson56-81
02/03/26ANC Wilmington79-76
26/02/26AHampton85-71
21/02/26HMonmouth74-63
20/02/26AN. Carolina A&T74-61
15/02/26ACampbell62-57
13/02/26HHofstra62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.597.378.0
Allowed / game63.559.775.0
Point differential+29.0+37.7+3.0
Avg total156.0157.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charleston
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.7111.591.0
Allowed / game67.360.581.0
Point differential+37.3+51.0+10.0
Avg total172.0172.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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