Nebraska hosts Lindenwood on 11 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model deems a clear favourite for the Cornhuskers, assigning a 97% chance of victory largely because Nebraska has gone 2-0 this season, averaging 86.5 points scored and allowing 61.0 per game, while Lindenwood sits at 2-1, averaging 98.0 points and conceding 62.7. Nebraska's home record mirrors its overall record at 2-0, with a recent 4-1 stretch over five games and a 67-58 win over Providence and a 106-64 win over Le Moyne, though they did lose 71-77 to Iowa earlier this season; Lindenwood's road record is 0-1, having lost 59-98 to TCU, but they have won 3 of their last five, highlighted by a 115-44 triumph over EWU Phantoms and a 120-46 victory over Central Bible. The only prior meeting ended with Nebraska 84-52 in 2023, and the Pythia projection sets a score of 85-63 with a total of 147.2 points, giving Nebraska a 97% win probability and a 3% chance for Lindenwood, while the over on the 151.5 line has a 39% probability; the model also estimates a 1% chance of overtime. Nebraska's recent offensive output suggests they will comfortably outpace Lindenwood, whose road struggles hint at a tough night.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nebraska winWon
96.8%fair 1.03
Best odds1.01
Implied95.0%
Edge+1.9pp
Lindenwood winLost
3.2%fair 31.64
Best odds100.00
Implied5.0%
Edge-1.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Over 145.5
Over 145.5
54.1%
@ 1.47-11.9pp
Under 145.5
45.9%
@ 3.05+11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.47
Over/Under 150.5 · main lineActual: Over 150.5
Over 150.5
41.8%
@ 1.89-8.5pp
Under 150.5
58.2%
@ 2.10+8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.10
Betano
1.91
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.89
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
30.2%
@ 2.40-9.8pp
Under 155.5
69.8%
@ 1.58+9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.22
Under
Bet365
1.58
Betano
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Nebraska total 89Actual: Nebraska over 89
Over 89
32.4%
Under 89
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nebraska total 93 · main lineActual: Nebraska over 93
Over 93
19.1%
@ 1.85-30.9pp
Under 93
80.9%
@ 1.85+30.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Nebraska total 97Actual: Nebraska under 97
Over 97
9.9%
Under 97
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lindenwood total 54Actual: Lindenwood over 54
Over 54
81.2%
Under 54
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lindenwood total 58 · main lineActual: Lindenwood over 58
Over 58
68.1%
@ 1.85+17.9pp
Under 58
31.9%
@ 1.86-17.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Lindenwood total 62Actual: Lindenwood under 62
Over 62
52.0%
Under 62
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Nebraska -37.5Actual: Lindenwood +37.5
NEBR -37.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
LIND +37.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.10
LIND
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.57
Spread Nebraska -34.5 · main lineActual: Lindenwood +34.5
NEBR -34.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
LIND +34.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
1.93
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
LIND
Bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
SBO
1.85
Spread Nebraska -31.5Actual: Nebraska -31.5
NEBR -31.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
LIND +31.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
LIND
Betano
2.18
Bet365
2.15
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
NebraskaLindenwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Nebraska under 92.5
78.6%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.08
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
+33.4pp
Lost
Nebraska under 93.5
81.4%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.96
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.84
+33.2pp
Lost
Nebraska under 94.5
84.0%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.62
-
-
-
+32.5pp
Won
Nebraska under 93
80.9%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
-
+30.9pp
Lost
Nebraska under 90.5
72.3%
2.19
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.12
-
-
-
+30.5pp
Lost
Nebraska under 91.5
75.6%
2.02
Betano
2.02
-
-
-
-
+29.9pp
Lost
Nebraska under 95.5
86.3%
1.54
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
+26.5pp
Won
Nebraska under 96.5
88.4%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+25.8pp
Won
Nebraska under 97.5
90.2%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+24.1pp
Won
Nebraska under 98.5
91.8%
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Lindenwood over 56.5
72.7%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.67
-
-
-
+19.8pp
Won
Nebraska under 99.5
93.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+19.2pp
Won
Nebraska under 100.5
94.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+19.1pp
Won
Lindenwood over 55.5
75.9%
1.50
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
Lindenwood over 53.5
81.7%
1.35
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+13.7pp
Won
Lindenwood over 54.5
78.9%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
+12.5pp
Won
Under 156
71.3%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Won
Lindenwood over 52.5
84.2%
1.26
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Under 157
73.4%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Won
Under 158
75.4%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Won
Under 159
77.4%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+9.8pp
Won
Under 160
79.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Under 156.5
71.9%
1.48
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
-
-
-
+9.2pp
Won
Under 158.5
75.9%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Under 159.5
77.8%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Lindenwood over 51.5
86.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Under 157.5
73.9%
1.42
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Under 160.5
79.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Under 161.5
81.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Nebraska (regulation)
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Won
Under 171.5
93.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Under 176.5
96.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Under 166.5
88.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Nebraska win
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Won
Over 126.5
90.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.7pp
Won
Nebraska over 72.5
89.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Nebraska over 73.5
87.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Lindenwood under 73.5
86.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
83.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.1pp
Won
Nebraska over 74.5
84.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Won
Lindenwood under 72.5
84.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-8.1pp
Won
Nebraska over 75.5
82.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Lindenwood under 71.5
81.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-8.8pp
Won
Over 136.5
74.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.8pp
Won
Nebraska over 76.5
79.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
Lindenwood under 70.5
78.9%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-11.3pp
Won
Lindenwood under 69.5
75.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-12.4pp
Won
Nebraska over 77.5
76.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-12.7pp
Won
Lindenwood under 68.5
72.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-14.4pp
Won
Nebraska over 78.5
73.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-15.6pp
Won
Nebraska over 79.5
70.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-17.1pp
Won
Nebraska -14.5
75.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-17.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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