PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Nebraska faces the South Dakota Coyotes on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Nebraska as the clear favourite at 97% versus 3% for the Coyotes, a reflection of Nebraska's undefeated 3-0 season record, 89.0 points scored per game and 60.7 points allowed per game, placing them 28th in the league, while South Dakota Coyotes sit 317th with a 1-3 record, 87.5 points scored and 83.2 points allowed. Nebraska's home slate shows a 3-0 record, 89.0 points per game and 60.7 points allowed, with a 4-1 run in the last five games and recent victories over Lindenwood 94-60, Providence 67-58 and Le Moyne 106-64; South Dakota's road performance is 1-4 over five games, with recent losses to Houston Christian 76-87, CS Fullerton 85-87 and Northern Kentucky 94-102. Historically, Nebraska has won all three meetings, most recently 96-79 on 27 November 2024. Pythia projects a 89-66 score for Nebraska, 154.8 total points, and a 1% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 89.0 | 60.7 | 149.7 | +28.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 89.0 | 60.7 | 149.7 | +28.3 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 76.4 | 66.6 | 143.0 | +9.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 66.2 | 148.6 | +16.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 72.0 | 75.0 | 147.0 | -3.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 71.6 | 70.9 | 142.5 | +0.7 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 78.7 | 60.6 | 139.3 | +18.1 | 95% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 87.5 | 83.2 | 170.8 | +4.2 | 25% |
| Season at home (4) | 87.5 | 83.2 | 170.8 | +4.2 | 25% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 77.9 | 78.0 | 155.9 | -0.1 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 81.8 | 164.2 | +0.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 77.8 | 90.1 | 167.9 | -12.4 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 75.9 | 78.1 | 153.9 | -2.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 86.0 | 76.6 | 162.6 | +9.4 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 32.0 | 68.7 | +4.6 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 at home (20) | 37.8 | 30.4 | 68.2 | +7.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 away (10) | 34.3 | 35.3 | 69.6 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 32.9 | 71.7 | +5.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.8 | 32.8 | 79.6 | +14.0 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 50.0 | 48.0 | 98.0 | +2.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 35.1 | 34.9 | 70.0 | +0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 36.7 | 29.7 | 66.4 | +7.1 | 74% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.1 | 38.4 | 75.6 | -1.3 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 39.4 | 37.7 | 77.1 | +1.8 | 44% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 33.7 | 39.6 | 73.2 | -5.9 | 17% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.2 | 38.3 | 76.5 | -0.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 41.6 | 81.0 | -2.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 32.8 | 42.8 | 75.5 | -10.0 | 12% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 37.5 | 38.2 | 75.7 | -0.7 | 29% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 40.4 | 35.3 | 75.7 | +5.1 | 57% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27/11/24 | Nebraska v South Dakota Coyotes | 96-79 |
| 27/11/21 | Nebraska v South Dakota Coyotes | 83-70 |
| 02/12/20 | Nebraska v South Dakota Coyotes | 76-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Lindenwood | 94-60 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Providence | 67-58 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Le Moyne | 106-64 |
| 26/03/26 | H | Iowa | 71-77 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Vanderbilt | 74-72 |
| 19/03/26 | H | Troy | 76-47 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Purdue | 58-74 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Iowa | 84-75 OT |
| 04/03/26 | A | UCLA | 52-72 |
| 28/02/26 | A | USC | 82-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Houston Christian | 76-87 |
| 07/11/26 | H | CS Fullerton | 85-87 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Northern Kentucky | 94-102 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Mount Marty | 95-57 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Nebraska O. | 62-76 |
| 28/02/26 | H | South Dakota St. | 75-70 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Nebraska O. | 89-72 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Oral Roberts | 62-67 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Denver | 70-90 |
| 12/02/26 | H | North Dakota | 71-72 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 89.0 | 89.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 60.7 | 60.7 | - |
| Point differential | +28.3 | +28.3 | - |
| Avg total | 149.7 | 149.7 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 67% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLL | 25% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 | - |
| Win % | 25% | 25% | - |
| Points / game | 87.5 | 87.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 83.2 | - |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +4.2 | - |
| Avg total | 170.8 | 170.8 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 25% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UCLA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 101.3 | 58.3 | +43.0 |
| 2 | Nebraska | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 60.7 | +28.3 |
| 3 |  Rutgers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 56.3 | +28.3 |
| 4 |  Oregon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 68.7 | +26.3 |
| 5 |  Michigan State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.7 | 64.3 | +24.3 |
| 6 |  Indiana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 68.0 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 79.0 | 58.0 | +21.0 |
| 8 |  Minnesota | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 78.8 | 58.5 | +20.2 |
| 9 |  Northwestern | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 60.0 | +18.7 |
| 10 |  USC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 88.3 | 71.3 | +17.0 |
| 11 |  Washington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 |
| 12 |  Illinois | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 103.3 | 66.3 | +37.0 |
| 13 |  Iowa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.0 | 64.7 | +20.3 |
| 14 |  Ohio State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 77.7 | +7.7 |
| 15 |  Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.7 | 74.3 | +7.3 |
| 16 |  Purdue | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.0 | 71.3 | +6.7 |
| 17 |  Penn State | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 77.6 | 75.6 | +2.0 |
| 18 |  Maryland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 76.5 | +8.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Dakota St. | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 73.3 | 61.3 | +12.0 |
| 2 |  St. Thomas (Minn.) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 83.8 | 78.0 | +5.8 |
| 3 |  Nebraska O. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 68.5 | 82.2 | -13.8 |
| 4 |  UMKC | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 75.4 | 77.8 | -2.4 |
| 5 |  Oral Roberts | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.3 | 68.0 | +5.3 |
| 6 |  North Dakota | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.3 | 89.0 | -15.7 |
| 7 | South Dakota Coyotes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 87.5 | 83.2 | +4.2 |
| 8 |  North Dakota St | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.0 | 83.5 | -7.5 |
| 9 |  Denver | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 64.0 | 69.5 | -5.5 |
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