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Neftchi IK vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-67
20-13 22-16 18-19 20-19
Position#45
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Neftchi IK 🏆
vs
Parnu
Position#37
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· Baku Sports Palace
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi IK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 81
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
94avg 81
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 81
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 81
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 81
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 81
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
175.7Avg total
87.0Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (6)87.088.7175.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)91.888.0179.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)86.290.0176.2-3.850%
vs Weaker (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
63avg 69
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
98-82
98
82
+16
92avg 69
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
82avg 69
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 69
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 69
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 69
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
65avg 69
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 69
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
56avg 69
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
70avg 69
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
9-10
21-19
13-24
30-17
15-26
17-16
36-23
29-26
19-26
21-22
16-18
21-14
19-24
12-21
20-12
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
13-17
17-24
27-17
18-25
27-20
26-23
25-20
10-12
21-12
20-25
13-22
17-21
20-16
15-13
20-23
19-22
159.5Avg total
78.0Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.081.5159.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.483.6162.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.584.9159.4-10.40%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.879.2153.0-5.317%
vs Weaker (10)87.273.5160.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
Neftchi IKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.8Avg total
40.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)40.845.085.8-4.217%-
Last 30 at home (3)41.746.087.7-4.30%-
Last 30 away (3)40.044.084.0-4.033%-
Last 10 (6)40.845.085.8-4.217%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.686.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)42.846.589.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (2)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
81.2Avg total
40.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.079.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.281.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.542.379.8-4.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.537.772.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker (10)45.738.283.9+7.590%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
53.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.8
38.0%
32.5%32.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.5
75.0%
72.8%16.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.3
50.7%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.5
30.5%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
72.8%13.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neftchi IK
LLWWWL
Parnu
LLWLLLWLWL
#45
League position
#37
-2.1
Net rating
-3.7
110.7
Offensive rating
87.7
112.9
Defensive rating
91.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
30.5%
60.2%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 6/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 87.7Defence112.9 · 91.4Shooting54.3% · 48.6%3-point %38.0% · 30.5%Ball care15.3% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 6/10)50% · 30%
■ Neftchi IK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neftchi IK wins
0
Parnu wins
No previous meetings.
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HTartu Ulikool88-89 OT
20/03/26ATartu Ulikool71-80
11/03/26HViimsi88-75
07/03/26ARigas Zelli75-83
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72
07/02/26HLatvijas Universitate72-71
03/02/26AValmiera Glass Via85-92
31/01/26HKeila Coolbet98-82
27/01/26AVentspils71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neftchi IK2022182080
Parnu1316191967
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