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Parnu vs Tartu Ulikool Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-91
21-24 17-26 19-26 13-15
Position#9
Record10-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#2
Record20-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2025
Meetings · Parnu v Tartu Ulikool
15 Nov 2026
PAR v TUL
upcoming
23 Mar 2026
PAR88
TUL89
04 Mar 2026
PAR70
TUL91
14 Jan 2025
PAR87
TUL90
13 May 2024
PAR63
TUL71
09 May 2024
PAR78
TUL86
07 Mar 2024
PAR84
TUL82
10 May 2023
PAR85
TUL79
05 May 2023
PAR81
TUL95
07 Dec 2022
PAR86
TUL91
26 May 2022
PAR73
TUL60
20 May 2022
PAR93
TUL88
22 Jan 2022
PAR76
TUL66
06 Mar 2021
PAR84
TUL62
27 Jan 2021
PAR87
TUL65
14 Oct 2020
PAR76
TUL62
17 Oct 2018
PAR76
TUL82
31 Mar 2018
PAR64
TUL83
22 Dec 2017
PAR70
TUL82
13 May 2017
PAR58
TUL66
04 Feb 2017
PAR62
TUL67
15 Oct 2016
PAR68
TUL81
26 Mar 2016
PAR61
TUL70
08 Jan 2016
PAR71
TUL79
04 Apr 2015
PAR88
TUL69
23 Jan 2015
PAR58
TUL98
04 Mar 2014
PAR53
TUL73
19 Dec 2013
PAR68
TUL105
20 Mar 2013
PAR83
TUL70
21 Oct 2012
PAR50
TUL80
22 Jan 2012
PAR99
TUL93
19 Nov 2011
PAR78
TUL96
12 Mar 2011
PAR60
TUL93
26 Nov 2010
PAR68
TUL115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tartu Ulikool winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
75avg 68
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 68
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 68
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
63avg 68
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
98-82
98
82
+16
92avg 68
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
82avg 68
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 68
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 68
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
19-23
23-20
23-10
19-17
22-20
25-20
22-19
22-14
21-21
23-13
19-21
13-21
22-20
25-26
21-33
16-16
22-20
13-22
25-25
28-27
9-10
21-19
13-24
30-17
15-26
17-16
36-23
29-26
19-26
21-22
16-18
21-14
19-24
12-21
20-12
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
159.9Avg total
80.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.279.0158.2+0.243%
Season at home (11)76.677.2153.8-0.545%
Season away (12)81.680.7162.2+0.942%
Last 10 (10)80.379.6159.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.679.4157.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.585.7160.1-11.213%
vs Similar (6)73.879.2153.0-5.317%
vs Weaker (9)87.173.3160.4+13.8100%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
71-106
71
106
-35
59avg 79
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
76avg 79
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
89-57
89
57
+32
91avg 79
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
96avg 79
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 79
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
96-93
96
93
+3
no box
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 79
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
119-83
119
83
+36
129avg 79
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
87-77
87
77
+10
88avg 79
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 79
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-24
18-26
10-27
17-20
25-21
20-23
16-12
18-11
30-11
17-17
24-18
21-21
26-18
25-13
23-13
20-27
17-15
21-22
14-21
30-21
28-29
20-17
18-26
30-20
21-23
11-14
21-21
37-18
25-24
22-24
35-17
31-17
16-16
25-16
15-28
19-19
16-26
23-13
25-22
167.3Avg total
87.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.078.4165.3+8.691%
Season at home (12)84.478.5162.9+5.983%
Season away (10)90.078.2168.2+11.8100%
Last 10 (10)87.380.0167.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)93.682.2175.8+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.885.5165.2-5.850%
vs Similar (4)85.082.5167.5+2.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.276.8167.0+13.4100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
ParnuTartu Ulikool
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
80.1Avg total
39.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.480.4-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.280.1-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.280.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.143.982.1-5.813%-
vs Similar (6)34.537.772.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker (9)44.937.782.6+7.289%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A28/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A01/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
88.0Avg total
47.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.284.9+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.682.7+3.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.543.087.5+1.564%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.088.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.642.693.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.443.482.8-4.033%-
vs Similar (4)47.840.888.5+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.439.485.7+7.071%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.1
50.5%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
32.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.310.4
63.8%
69.8%10.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.117.7
76.6%
69.8%17.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLWLLLWWW
Tartu Ulikool
WWWWWLWWWL
#9
League position
#2
+4.2
Net rating
+10.1
94.2
Offensive rating
104.8
90.0
Defensive rating
94.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
34.8%
64.5%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 104.8Defence90.0 · 94.7Shooting50.9% · 52.4%3-point %34.2% · 34.8%Ball care14.4% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 32.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Parnu   ■ Tartu Ulikool
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Parnu wins
8
Tartu Ulikool wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Tartu Ulikool v Parnu83-71
14/01/25Parnu v Tartu Ulikool87-90
30/11/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu94-91
13/05/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu75-78
09/05/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24Tartu Ulikool v Parnu80-77
07/03/24Parnu v Tartu Ulikool84-82
16/12/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu88-78
12/05/23Tartu Ulikool v Parnu78-68
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72
07/02/26HLatvijas Universitate72-71
03/02/26AValmiera Glass Via85-92
31/01/26HKeila Coolbet98-82
27/01/26AVentspils71-80
24/01/26HTal Tech76-83
17/01/26ABC Kalev/Cramo81-100
14/01/26HBK Liepaja85-69
11/01/26AViimsi88-76
07/01/26HBK Ogre85-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HRigas Zelli83-80
07/02/26HBK Liepaja87-77
01/02/26ALatvijas Universitate119-83
28/01/26ABK Ogre83-78
17/01/26AKeila KK96-93
10/01/26HBC Kalev/Cramo72-85
04/01/26AKeila Coolbet95-65
30/12/25HViimsi89-57
27/12/25ARigas Zelli78-76
21/12/25HVentspils71-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%45%42%
Points / game79.276.681.6
Allowed / game79.077.280.7
Point differential+0.2-0.5+0.9
Avg total158.2153.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%27%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeLWLWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game87.084.490.0
Allowed / game78.478.578.2
Point differential+8.6+5.9+11.8
Avg total165.3162.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool2220291%87.078.4+8.6
2 VEF Riga2318578%89.879.2+10.6
3 BC Kalev/Cramo2317674%95.780.6+15.1
4 Rigas Zelli2317674%91.379.8+11.5
5 Valmiera Glass Via2216673%91.580.5+11.1
6 Ventspils2316770%90.683.0+7.7
7 Tal Tech2416867%85.181.4+3.7
8 BK Ogre24111346%81.579.8+1.6
9 Parnu23101343%79.279.0+0.2
10 Viimsi2261627%75.288.7-13.5
11 BK Liepaja2341917%79.989.1-9.2
12 Keila KK2341917%81.095.1-14.0
13 Latvijas Universitate2231914%78.895.5-16.6
14 Keila Coolbet232219%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2117191370
Tartu Ulikool2426261591
← all games of the day
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