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Rigas Zelli vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-75
17-13 24-17 17-27 25-18
Position#4
Record17-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#9
Record10-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Komandu Sporta Spelu Halle
Other2025
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Parnu
02 Dec 2026
RZE v PAR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
RZE83
PAR75
09 Nov 2024
RZE89
PAR76
25 Nov 2023
RZE85
PAR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
96-88
96
88
+8
97avg 82
H21/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
69avg 82
H24/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 82
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 82
A31/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 82
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 82
H11/02
ENBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
65avg 82
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 82
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 82
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-27
24-15
27-11
21-16
20-19
18-23
37-30
25-19
17-23
24-25
16-30
16-19
29-22
21-11
25-17
25-21
10-27
21-26
33-20
16-14
19-29
23-27
12-22
27-15
13-27
25-14
18-22
19-19
26-16
13-23
22-25
28-23
20-20
13-22
29-18
27-24
19-29
22-17
27-16
170.2Avg total
86.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.379.8171.0+11.574%
Season at home (11)89.579.0168.5+10.573%
Season away (12)92.880.5173.3+12.375%
Last 10 (10)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.885.2166.0-4.420%
vs Similar (7)86.090.3176.3-4.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.877.2168.0+13.676%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 68
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
no box
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 68
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
63avg 68
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
98-82
98
82
+16
92avg 68
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
82avg 68
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 68
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
62-72
62
72
-10
56avg 68
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 68
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
22-20
25-20
22-19
22-14
21-21
23-13
19-21
13-21
22-20
25-26
21-33
16-16
22-20
13-22
25-25
28-27
9-10
21-19
13-24
30-17
15-26
17-16
36-23
29-26
19-26
21-22
16-18
21-14
19-24
12-21
20-12
15-24
18-18
16-17
13-13
21-24
17-26
19-26
13-15
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.879.5158.3-0.742%
Season at home (12)76.178.3154.4-2.242%
Season away (12)81.680.7162.2+0.942%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)77.481.6159.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.785.9160.7-11.213%
vs Similar (6)73.879.2153.0-5.317%
vs Weaker (9)87.173.3160.4+13.8100%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
Rigas ZelliParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/01
Latvian Cup
Newcastle Eagles
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H21/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A31/01
Latvian Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Spartak Pleven
#20
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/02
ENBL
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H18/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.8Avg total
41.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.284.9+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.040.383.3+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)44.542.186.6+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.683.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.286.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.844.281.0-7.40%-
vs Similar (7)42.744.987.6-2.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.039.685.6+6.459%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H11/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/03
Latvia-Estonian League
80.9Avg total
39.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.942.080.9-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.980.3+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.180.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.085.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.382.7-5.813%-
vs Similar (6)34.537.772.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker (9)44.937.782.6+7.289%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.8
54.6%
53.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.0
31.2%
32.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.518.5
69.8%
69.8%18.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.3
50.8%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.8
33.4%
32.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.210.3
63.6%
69.8%10.3
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WWLWLLWLWW
Parnu
LLWLWLLLWW
#4
League position
#9
+0.1
Net rating
-0.1
94.5
Offensive rating
91.4
94.4
Defensive rating
91.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.2%
3-point %
33.4%
57.0%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 91.4Defence94.4 · 91.5Shooting51.3% · 50.5%3-point %31.2% · 33.4%Ball care15.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds- · 32.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rigas Zelli wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
08/10/25Parnu v Rigas Zelli76-83
18/12/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli51-87
09/11/24Rigas Zelli v Parnu89-76
02/03/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli69-64
25/11/23Rigas Zelli v Parnu85-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26ATal Tech95-86
18/02/26HBK Ogre90-83
14/02/26ATartu Ulikool80-83
11/02/26HSpartak Pleven83-78
07/02/26HBC Kalev/Cramo70-92
31/01/26AValmiera Glass Via89-94
27/01/26AKeila KK91-69
24/01/26HValmiera Glass Via82-97
21/01/26HNewcastle Eagles96-88
18/01/26ABK Liepaja86-70
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HTartu Ulikool70-91
11/02/26HVEF Riga62-72
07/02/26HLatvijas Universitate72-71
03/02/26AValmiera Glass Via85-92
31/01/26HKeila Coolbet98-82
27/01/26AVentspils71-80
24/01/26HTal Tech76-83
17/01/26ABC Kalev/Cramo81-100
14/01/26HBK Liepaja85-69
11/01/26AViimsi88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW74%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayLLWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game91.389.592.8
Allowed / game79.879.080.5
Point differential+11.5+10.5+12.3
Avg total171.0168.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL42%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%42%42%
Points / game78.876.181.6
Allowed / game79.578.380.7
Point differential-0.7-2.2+0.9
Avg total158.3154.4162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool2421388%86.878.9+7.9
2 VEF Riga2318578%89.879.2+10.6
3 BC Kalev/Cramo2317674%95.780.6+15.1
4 Rigas Zelli2317674%91.379.8+11.5
5 Valmiera Glass Via2317674%91.980.4+11.5
6 Ventspils2417771%90.883.0+7.8
7 Tal Tech2416867%85.181.4+3.7
8 BK Ogre24111346%81.579.8+1.6
9 Parnu24101442%78.879.5-0.7
10 Viimsi2371630%75.388.0-12.7
11 Keila KK2451921%82.695.9-13.3
12 BK Liepaja2442017%79.588.5-9.0
13 Latvijas Universitate2332013%80.496.5-16.1
14 Keila Coolbet242228%77.895.0-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli1724172583
Parnu1317271875
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