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Neptunas vs Besiktas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-63
22-12 16-21 17-7 23-23
Position#24
Record0-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Meetings · Neptunas v Besiktas
17 Oct 2018
NEP78
BES63
21 Jan 2015
NEP62
BES69
23 Oct 2013
NEP70
BES72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Besiktas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A14/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
18-14
16-13
22-22
20-9
16-19
21-12
22-31
12-16
29-22
23-18
25-22
25-23
19-24
21-11
35-18
22-17
24-16
22-21
20-15
21-22
12-20
22-26
21-21
26-26
30-22
16-21
22-22
14-21
29-16
25-8
24-22
19-10
14-14
21-19
15-26
19-21
16-8
16-20
24-11
159.5Avg total
84.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)84.275.3159.5+8.980%
Last 5 (5)83.078.0161.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.878.3148.1-8.633%
vs Similar ◀ (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Weaker (20)86.878.4165.2+8.475%
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H23/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A25/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayreuth
#35
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A09/10
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#11
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
13-18
23-15
28-25
16-16
21-19
20-10
20-18
16-17
13-17
15-19
16-30
20-15
21-17
20-25
26-12
13-11
13-15
19-22
27-11
25-23
20-24
15-17
17-15
13-19
16-17
24-22
22-25
16-18
19-20
23-23
15-17
19-20
20-18
20-15
19-17
13-12
19-19
19-16
10-10
145.1Avg total
73.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.371.8145.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)72.873.4146.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.580.5147.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.775.2149.9-0.625%
vs Weaker (15)77.769.7147.5+8.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
NeptunasBesiktas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A10/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A14/10
LKL
76.0Avg total
40.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.278.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.340.880.1-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)39.238.177.2+1.159%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.076.0+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.076.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.438.874.2-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)33.042.075.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (20)41.239.380.5+2.060%-
This opponent (Besiktas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BesiktasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#9
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A22/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A05/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Eskisehir
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#12
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H23/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Banvit
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A25/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayreuth
#35
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/10
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#11
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
68.9Avg total
33.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.072.9+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.936.477.4+4.586%-
Last 30 away (16)33.335.668.9-2.325%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.468.9-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.074.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.036.068.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.137.173.2-1.042%-
vs Weaker (15)37.935.473.3+2.567%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.7%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Besiktastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
3
Besiktas wins
DateGameScore
28/01/15Besiktas v Neptunas80-78
21/01/15Neptunas v Besiktas62-69
27/11/13Besiktas v Neptunas74-83
23/10/13Neptunas v Besiktas70-72
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas75-60
10/10/18AVirtus Bologna78-83 OT
07/10/18HSkycop92-67
04/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-91
30/09/18HLietkabelis76-89
26/09/18APieno Zvaigzdes88-69
23/09/18HNevezis100-76
17/06/18ALietkabelis89-78
15/06/18HLietkabelis79-71
12/06/18ALietkabelis71-69
Besiktaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18HKarsiyaka61-57
09/10/18ABayreuth78-70
06/10/18AFenerbahce73-78
25/05/18ABanvit75-83
23/05/18HBanvit77-79
13/05/18ABuyukcekmece72-59
10/05/18HEskisehir87-69
05/05/18AFenerbahce60-83
28/04/18HKarsiyaka77-63
22/04/18AGalatasaray73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %100%-100%
Besiktas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game70.0-70.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Holon110100%93.069.0+24.0
2 Anwil Wloclawek110100%99.078.0+21.0
3 Banvit220100%92.571.5+21.0
4 Tenerife110100%87.068.0+19.0
5 Virtus Bologna220100%86.069.0+17.0
6 Dijon110100%74.063.0+11.0
7 Venezia110100%69.059.0+10.0
8 Hapoel M. Jerusalem220100%80.071.0+9.0
9 Promitheas110100%93.084.0+9.0
10 Besiktas110100%78.070.0+8.0
11 Avellino110100%100.093.0+7.0
12 Opava110100%74.067.0+7.0
13 Strasbourg220100%74.067.0+7.0
14 Fuenlabrada220100%92.586.0+6.5
15 Antwerp Giants65183%86.380.3+6.0
16 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
17 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
18 Murcia43175%78.572.8+5.8
19 Nizhny Novgorod75271%81.970.1+11.7
20 Fribourg Olympic75271%78.677.0+1.6
21 Nanterre32167%83.062.0+21.0
22 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
23 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
24 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
25 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
26 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
27 AEK Athens21150%84.586.0-1.5
28 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
29 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
30 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
31 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
32 Bonn21150%84.091.0-7.0
33 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
34 Bayreuth41325%73.072.8+0.2
35 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
36 Bamberg1010%88.089.0-1.0
37 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
38 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
39 Neptunas1010%78.083.0-5.0
40 Nymburk2020%78.084.0-6.0
41 PAOK2020%77.084.5-7.5
42 Lietkabelis2020%77.086.0-9.0
43 Petrol Olimpija1010%71.081.0-10.0
44 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
45 Ludwigsburg1010%76.089.0-13.0
46 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
47 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
48 Ventspils2020%81.595.0-13.5
49 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
50 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
51 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
52 Oostende2020%72.091.0-19.0
53 Le Mans2020%64.585.0-20.5
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2216172378
Besiktas122172363
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