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Neptunas vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-62
35-19 31-11 14-20 19-12
Position#21
Record6-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#46
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game74.4
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 12
European cup2017
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H10/12
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
81-86
81
86
-5
A12/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A16/12
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A19/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A23/12
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
104-83
104
83
+21
H27/12
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H04/01
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H09/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#41
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H21/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
27-22
28-18
25-18
21-29
17-21
19-17
24-19
23-26
23-13
20-11
19-24
11-17
26-14
17-16
30-22
18-20
12-23
23-28
39-15
26-23
27-21
26-21
25-18
21-21
20-19
22-22
21-17
23-22
10-20
19-26
19-19
12-27
21-19
25-25
27-14
16-26
25-20
16-21
18-16
170.2Avg total
87.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.480.0164.4+4.455%
Season at home (5)85.876.4162.2+9.480%
Season away (6)83.283.0166.2+0.233%
Last 10 (10)87.982.3170.2+5.660%
Last 5 (5)85.686.0171.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.984.4158.2-10.525%
vs Similar (3)79.376.0155.3+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.477.1168.5+14.389%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#41
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H19/12
Champions League
Avellino
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
59-91
59
91
-32
H02/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A07/01
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A09/01
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
59-106
59
106
-47
H16/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A21/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
25-11
21-19
15-17
19-17
18-20
14-18
16-11
10-20
25-18
17-21
17-20
18-27
16-25
18-20
17-25
18-34
15-14
11-19
15-24
7-26
22-18
20-28
24-24
18-15
17-26
11-21
15-17
27-21
23-25
14-21
21-28
9-21
16-29
20-27
14-29
17-27
17-19
19-29
16-16
155.1Avg total
69.4Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.974.4140.3-8.523%
Season at home (7)68.975.1144.0-6.329%
Season away (6)62.573.5136.0-11.017%
Last 10 (10)69.485.7155.1-16.320%
Last 5 (5)69.493.4162.8-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)66.178.5144.6-12.425%
vs Similar (2)80.069.5149.5+10.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -4.1-4.1
NeptunasCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H10/12
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A12/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A16/12
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A23/12
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H27/12
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H04/01
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H09/01
Champions League
Gaziantep
#41
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/01
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/01
LKL
83.1Avg total
40.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.182.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.985.6+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.378.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.383.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.683.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.646.481.0-11.80%-
vs Similar (3)41.740.382.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.439.082.4+4.468%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#41
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/12
Champions League
Avellino
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H02/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A09/01
Champions League
Cremona
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H16/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A21/01
Lega A
78.2Avg total
35.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.139.372.4-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.336.871.1-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)31.742.273.9-10.514%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.378.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)34.645.480.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.640.072.6-7.325%-
vs Similar (2)39.530.570.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.7
51.9%
52.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.510.2
65.8%
73.8%10.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
07/11/17Capo d'Orlando v Neptunas60-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18HZalgiris Kaunas75-83
17/01/18AGaziantep94-98 OT
09/01/18HLudwigsburg71-87
04/01/18HSiauliai84-79
27/12/17HSkycop104-83
23/12/17APieno Zvaigzdes92-86
19/12/17AVentspils84-69
16/12/17ANevezis85-74
12/12/17AChalon/Saone81-86
10/12/17HJuventus109-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/18APistoia69-91
16/01/18HTenerife59-106
14/01/18HCremona85-95
09/01/18APAOK61-79
07/01/18ACantu73-96
02/01/18HVenezia59-91
27/12/17AAvellino69-97
19/12/17HChalon/Saone69-79
16/12/17HBrindisi67-66
12/12/17HGaziantep83-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game84.485.883.2
Allowed / game80.076.483.0
Point differential+4.4+9.4+0.2
Avg total164.4162.2166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Capo d'Orlando
Champions League 2017
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game65.968.962.5
Allowed / game74.475.173.5
Point differential-8.5-6.3-11.0
Avg total140.3144.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco11110100%86.165.0+21.1
2 Ludwigsburg1715288%83.868.6+15.2
3 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
4 Tenerife119282%81.564.8+16.7
5 Besiktas118373%79.673.9+5.7
6 Banvit118373%79.174.3+4.8
7 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
8 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
9 Oldenburg117464%86.481.7+4.6
10 Nymburk117464%82.580.0+2.5
11 Murcia117464%81.279.4+1.8
12 Nanterre138562%80.776.2+4.5
13 Estudiantes138562%79.575.4+4.1
14 Karsiyaka138562%86.184.7+1.4
15 Neptunas116555%84.480.0+4.4
16 AEK Athens116555%81.779.1+2.6
17 Bayreuth116555%81.780.3+1.5
18 Strasbourg116555%76.174.9+1.2
19 Venezia116555%80.881.2-0.4
20 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
21 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
24 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
25 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
26 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
27 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
28 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
29 Bonn136746%77.475.7+1.7
30 Avellino115645%74.572.9+1.5
31 Chalon/Saone115645%74.174.5-0.4
32 Ventspils115645%73.275.8-2.6
33 PAOK115645%73.777.1-3.4
34 Oostende115645%69.573.4-3.9
35 Juventus135838%80.986.7-5.8
36 Zielona Gora114736%74.777.5-2.8
37 Sassari114736%78.382.7-4.5
38 Petrol Olimpija114736%72.778.7-6.0
39 Aris114736%66.674.4-7.7
40 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
41 Hapoel Holon113827%80.886.9-6.1
42 Gaziantep113827%73.085.8-12.8
43 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
44 Capo d'Orlando1331023%65.974.4-8.5
45 Enisey112918%72.583.0-10.5
46 HydroTruck Radom1321115%74.280.2-6.1
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3531141999
Capo d'Orlando1911201262
← all games of the day
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