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Pistoia vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-69
27-17 19-17 29-19 16-16
Position#13
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game80.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#16
Record5-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game80.1
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando
22 Dec 2021
PIS82
KDO64
21 Jan 2018
PIS91
KDO69
09 Apr 2017
PIS75
KDO59
03 Jan 2016
PIS103
KDO75
25 Jan 2015
PIS94
KDO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
42-90
42
90
-48
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-26
29-20
19-23
16-23
6-18
13-20
7-29
17-27
24-18
15-23
24-16
16-18
20-16
26-15
18-16
22-25
23-26
18-21
23-11
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
18-26
23-17
15-24
23-19
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
155.1Avg total
73.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.980.8154.7-6.927%
Season at home (7)77.781.3159.0-3.643%
Season away (8)70.680.4151.0-9.812%
Last 10 (10)73.281.9155.1-8.720%
Last 5 (5)72.480.8153.2-8.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.184.8158.9-10.88%
vs Similar (14)78.376.5154.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.071.0148.0+6.067%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A10/12
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H19/12
Champions League
Avellino
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
59-91
59
91
-32
H02/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A07/01
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A09/01
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
59-106
59
106
-47
H16/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
16-24
17-26
11-15
22-10
25-11
21-19
15-17
19-17
18-20
14-18
16-11
10-20
25-18
17-21
17-20
18-27
16-25
18-20
17-25
18-34
15-14
11-19
15-24
7-26
22-18
20-28
24-24
18-15
17-26
11-21
15-17
27-21
23-25
14-21
21-28
9-21
16-29
20-27
14-29
153.1Avg total
68.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)68.280.1148.3-11.933%
Season at home (8)69.475.2144.6-5.938%
Season away (7)66.985.7152.6-18.929%
Last 10 (10)68.384.8153.1-16.520%
Last 5 (5)67.493.4160.8-26.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)66.578.6145.1-12.125%
vs Similar (2)80.069.5149.5+10.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
PistoiaCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H04/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A11/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
80.2Avg total
36.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.178.7-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.039.679.6+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)35.642.478.0-6.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.680.2-7.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.080.6-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.844.881.6-8.18%-
vs Similar (14)38.439.077.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.034.372.3+3.7100%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/12
Champions League
Avellino
#4
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H02/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A07/01
Lega A
PAOK
#24
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A09/01
Champions League
Cremona
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H16/01
Champions League
77.3Avg total
35.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.539.172.6-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.937.071.9-2.141%-
Last 30 away (13)31.541.973.5-10.415%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.877.3-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.880.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.039.872.8-6.729%-
vs Similar (2)39.530.570.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.7
46.0%
51.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
73.0%11.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.1
53.2%
51.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws14.39.4
65.7%
73.0%9.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLWWLLL
Capo d'Orlando
LLLLLLLWWL
#13
League position
#16
-11.6
Net rating
-17.1
101.0
Offensive rating
96.4
112.6
Defensive rating
113.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.1%
3-point %
31.9%
54.5%
Assist %
59.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 96.4Defence112.6 · 113.5Shooting48.6% · 50.9%3-point %35.1% · 31.9%Ball care18.2% · 19.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 21.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Pistoia   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pistoia wins
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
05/10/17Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia57-73
09/04/17Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando75-59
11/12/16Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia79-64
04/05/16Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia58-65
03/01/16Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando103-75
25/01/15Pistoia v Capo d'Orlando94-73
12/10/14Capo d'Orlando v Pistoia71-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
23/12/17HTrento79-86
16/12/17ASassari81-88
09/12/17HPesaro86-83
03/12/17HTorino80-65
18/11/17AVenezia80-84
11/11/17AReggiana42-90
04/11/17HCantu82-93
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/18HTenerife59-106
14/01/18HCremona85-95
09/01/18APAOK61-79
07/01/18ACantu73-96
02/01/18HVenezia59-91
27/12/17AAvellino69-97
19/12/17HChalon/Saone69-79
16/12/17HBrindisi67-66
12/12/17HGaziantep83-57
10/12/17AVarese58-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game73.977.770.6
Allowed / game80.881.380.4
Point differential-6.9-3.6-9.8
Avg total154.7159.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game68.269.466.9
Allowed / game80.175.285.7
Point differential-11.9-5.9-18.9
Avg total148.3144.6152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1612475%79.572.3+7.2
2 Avellino1612475%83.477.3+6.1
3 Olimpia Milano1511473%76.971.5+5.4
4 Venezia1611569%80.678.8+1.9
5 Torino1610662%80.479.2+1.2
6 Virtus Bologna169756%79.676.8+2.8
7 Cantu169756%87.086.3+0.7
8 Cremona158753%81.779.9+1.8
9 Sassari168850%84.681.6+2.9
10 Trento167944%77.078.1-1.1
11 Reggiana1661038%74.676.2-1.6
12 Capo d'Orlando1551033%68.280.1-11.9
13 Varese1651131%76.475.3+1.1
14 Brindisi1651131%77.180.7-3.6
15 Pistoia1541127%73.980.8-6.9
16 Pesaro1641225%75.381.9-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2719291691
Capo d'Orlando1717191669
← all games of the day
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