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Avellino vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-69
27-18 25-16 20-18 25-17
Position#4
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.2
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#16
Record5-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.8
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Capo d'Orlando
27 Dec 2017
AVE97
KDO69
27 Dec 2016
AVE94
KDO65
24 Apr 2016
AVE85
KDO69
01 Mar 2015
AVE65
KDO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#5
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
87-77 OT
87
77
+10
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
H20/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
19-22
19-14
19-13
10-16
17-14
20-11
18-20
12-12
15-13
17-14
12-20
23-17
17-13
18-20
19-27
22-16
17-14
15-19
16-21
13-20
19-19
15-15
14-15
19-21
21-27
11-22
22-16
22-14
18-16
22-18
28-26
29-8
14-25
20-27
20-18
12-15
25-18
22-20
21-27
155.6Avg total
79.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.577.2156.7+2.473%
Season at home (5)75.266.8142.0+8.4100%
Season away (6)83.285.8169.0-2.750%
Last 10 (10)79.176.5155.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)81.882.6164.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)80.478.8159.2+1.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.572.9148.4+2.660%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#21
L
60-90
60
90
-30
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A14/11
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H02/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H05/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
58-82
58
82
-24
A10/12
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H19/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
15-23
19-19
13-28
19-18
28-20
24-18
17-25
15-18
21-17
20-4
10-16
11-20
10-24
10-20
22-23
21-18
13-22
26-15
22-25
7-13
23-16
18-24
13-19
14-17
16-24
17-26
11-15
22-10
25-11
21-19
15-17
19-17
18-20
14-18
16-11
10-20
25-18
17-21
17-20
143.6Avg total
68.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)67.074.8141.8-7.845%
Season at home (6)68.569.3137.8-0.850%
Season away (5)65.281.4146.6-16.240%
Last 10 (10)68.774.9143.6-6.250%
Last 5 (5)67.671.2138.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.875.5143.3-7.832%
vs Similar (5)79.477.6157.0+1.840%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -4.3-4.3
AvellinoCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H08/11
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/11
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/11
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/12
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H06/12
Champions League
Cremona
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
Champions League
70.1Avg total
36.7Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.574.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.735.572.2+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.577.3-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.733.470.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.675.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)36.838.375.1-1.535%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.135.974.0+2.270%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#21
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/11
Champions League
Sassari
#6
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A12/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#34
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/11
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A19/11
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/12
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/12
Lega A
Gaziantep
#41
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H12/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/12
Lega A
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H19/12
Champions League
71.1Avg total
34.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.572.4-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.834.470.2+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.841.174.9-7.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.536.671.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)33.637.771.3-4.136%-
vs Similar (5)41.236.677.8+4.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.3
56.3%
51.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.2
34.0%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
73.0%11.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.3
54.1%
51.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
34.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws12.48.9
71.8%
73.0%8.9
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWLLWWLWW
Capo d'Orlando
LWWLLWLWWL
#4
League position
#16
+0.4
Net rating
-9.0
105.2
Offensive rating
93.9
104.8
Defensive rating
102.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
23.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.0%
3-point %
31.9%
54.9%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 93.9Defence104.8 · 102.9Shooting54.1% · 51.3%3-point %34.0% · 31.9%Ball care20.2% · 23.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
23/04/17Capo d'Orlando v Avellino68-76
27/12/16Avellino v Capo d'Orlando94-65
24/04/16Avellino v Capo d'Orlando85-69
27/12/15Capo d'Orlando v Avellino55-73
01/03/15Avellino v Capo d'Orlando65-75
09/11/14Capo d'Orlando v Avellino67-81
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/17HNanterre102-106 OT
17/12/17APesaro83-78
13/12/17HBesiktas90-74
10/12/17ACremona73-86
06/12/17HBonn61-69
02/12/17HVenezia87-77 OT
19/11/17AOlimpia Milano94-92 OT
14/11/17AAris56-59
12/11/17HVarese65-61
08/11/17HNymburk80-63
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/17HChalon/Saone69-79
16/12/17HBrindisi67-66
12/12/17HGaziantep83-57
10/12/17AVarese58-82
05/12/17HLudwigsburg61-72
02/12/17HTrento82-80
19/11/17ABrescia53-87
14/11/17AVentspils66-55
12/11/17ASassari88-81
07/11/17HNeptunas60-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game79.575.283.2
Allowed / game77.266.885.8
Point differential+2.4+8.4-2.7
Avg total156.7142.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %27%20%33%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game67.068.565.2
Allowed / game74.869.381.4
Point differential-7.8-0.8-16.2
Avg total141.8137.8146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1210283%79.670.0+9.6
2 Olimpia Milano129375%76.371.8+4.6
3 Avellino118373%79.577.2+2.4
4 Torino128467%80.477.7+2.8
5 Venezia128467%81.781.2+0.4
6 Sassari127558%83.879.5+4.3
7 Virtus Bologna126650%81.077.1+3.9
8 Trento126650%77.377.4-0.1
9 Cantu126650%85.586.7-1.2
10 Capo d'Orlando115645%67.074.8-7.8
11 Cremona125742%80.981.2-0.3
12 Varese124833%74.872.9+1.8
13 Reggiana124833%72.574.2-1.8
14 Pistoia124833%75.681.8-6.2
15 Pesaro123925%76.082.2-6.2
16 Brindisi1221017%74.481.0-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2725202597
Capo d'Orlando1816181769
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