Neptunas vs CBet Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 14:00

Scheduled

Position#4

Record14-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game80.5

Neptunas

CBet

Position#6

Record11-13

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game79.4

LKL

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Neptunas v CBet

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

CBet win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

93-70

+23

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

77-80

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

86-73

+13

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

64-102

102

-38

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

69-92

-23

A18/01

LKL

CBet

95-85

+10

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

115-89

115

+26

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

78-73

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-84

-6

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

90-70

+20

H08/03

LKL

25-16

29-18

21-23

18-13

22-22

12-15

19-24

24-19

20-20

22-16

16-19

28-18

14-30

21-22

14-32

15-18

16-21

22-27

18-30

13-14

25-18

15-26

33-20

22-21

21-23

33-20

26-30

35-16

20-15

23-15

16-21

19-22

27-22

14-18

22-21

15-23

34-15

12-15

19-24

25-16

166.3Avg total

84.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	83.7	80.5	164.2	+3.2	58%
Season at home (13)	85.7	77.2	162.8	+8.5	77%
Season away (11)	81.4	84.5	165.9	-3.2	36%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	81.8	166.3	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.2	80.2	171.4	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.3	88.5	166.8	-10.2	17%
vs Similar (3)	73.3	86.7	160.0	-13.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	87.3	77.0	164.4	+10.3	76%

This opponent (CBet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CBet

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

64-105

105

-41

H22/12

LKL

Siauliai

85-76

H29/12

LKL

Neptunas

73-86

-13

A04/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

68-61

A12/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

67-65

H19/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

62-76

-14

A25/01

LKL

Neptunas

85-95

-10

H01/02

LKL

Siauliai

87-74

+13

A09/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

79-94

-15

H01/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

94-70

+24

H08/03

LKL

12-29

16-22

21-24

15-30

30-19

20-14

15-20

20-23

20-20

16-22

19-16

18-28

23-10

15-22

7-15

23-14

15-19

12-20

17-19

23-7

18-19

9-25

17-12

18-20

18-25

26-15

20-33

21-22

23-14

16-23

23-22

25-15

15-27

22-30

14-18

28-19

20-17

23-24

24-8

27-21

156.6Avg total

76.4Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	73.7	79.4	153.1	-5.7	46%
Season at home (13)	77.9	82.7	160.6	-4.8	54%
Season away (11)	68.7	75.5	144.3	-6.8	36%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	80.2	156.6	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	81.8	163.2	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	70.0	85.5	155.5	-15.5	15%
vs Similar (11)	78.1	72.2	150.3	+5.9	82%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasCBet

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	18.2	40.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.1	42.6	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.6	44.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	17.6	19.5	37.0	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	20.6	38.5	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.3	18.1	35.4	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.9	20.6	36.5	-4.7	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.8	38.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	19.1	41.7	+3.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	17.5	22.6	40.1	-5.0	21%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (11)	14.6	21.1	35.7	-6.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.7	39.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	9%	-
vs Weaker	no games

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pieno Zvaigzdes

54-34

+20

H23/12

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

34-37

-3

A28/12

LKL

CBet

42-36

H04/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

35-52

-17

A11/01

LKL

Rytas

38-48

-10

A18/01

LKL

CBet

40-44

-4

A01/02

LKL

Juventus

54-43

+11

H08/02

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

43-30

+13

H26/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

41-40

H29/02

LKL

Siauliai

46-30

+16

H08/03

LKL

82.1Avg total

42.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.2	83.6	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	37.9	82.9	+7.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	42.7	84.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.4	82.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.4	82.2	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	44.0	82.2	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.7	38.6	84.3	+7.0	81%	-

This opponent (CBet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

28-51

-23

H22/12

LKL

Siauliai

50-33

+17

H29/12

LKL

Neptunas

36-42

-6

A04/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

38-32

A12/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

27-39

-12

H19/01

LKL

Lietkabelis

27-44

-17

A25/01

LKL

Neptunas

44-40

H01/02

LKL

Siauliai

39-37

A09/02

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

37-57

-20

H01/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

#10

43-41

H08/03

LKL

78.5Avg total

36.9Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	35.1	42.0	77.2	-6.9	29%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	44.5	82.3	-6.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (11)	31.9	39.2	71.1	-7.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.6	78.5	-4.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	43.8	81.8	-5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	33.9	44.2	78.1	-10.2	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.5	39.5	76.1	-3.0	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.1	41.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.4	44.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.2	46.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	25.2	42.8	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.2	18.6	36.9	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	17.1	38.8	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.5	19.3	41.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.3	20.3	35.7	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.1	18.7	39.9	+2.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.6	46%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.7	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.8	22.2	40.9	-3.4	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.2	14.7	36.9	+7.5	82%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.1	80.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.8	80.6	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.4	41.7	81.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	42.8	89.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.2	44.5	84.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	34.7	43.3	78.0	-8.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	41.7	38.4	80.1	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	38.6	37.4	76.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	38.2	78.3	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.8	36.4	73.2	+0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.6	78.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.0	81.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.1	41.4	77.5	-5.3	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.5	32.6	74.2	+8.9	82%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

CBet wins

Date	Game	Score
01/02/20	CBet v Neptunas	85-95
04/01/20	Neptunas v CBet	86-73
02/11/19	CBet v Neptunas	59-101

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Siauliai	90-70
29/02/20	H	Lietkabelis	78-84
26/02/20	H	Alytaus Dzukija	78-73
08/02/20	H	Juventus	115-89
01/02/20	A	CBet	95-85
18/01/20	A	Rytas	69-92
11/01/20	A	Lietkabelis	64-102
04/01/20	H	CBet	86-73
28/12/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	77-80
23/12/19	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-70

CBetlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/20	H	Alytaus Dzukija	94-70
01/03/20	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	79-94
09/02/20	A	Siauliai	87-74
01/02/20	H	Neptunas	85-95
25/01/20	A	Lietkabelis	62-76
19/01/20	H	Pieno Zvaigzdes	67-65
12/01/20	A	Alytaus Dzukija	68-61
04/01/20	A	Neptunas	73-86
29/12/19	H	Siauliai	85-76
22/12/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	64-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	58%
Home	WWWLW	77%
Away	LLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	58%	77%	36%
Points / game	83.7	85.7	81.4
Allowed / game	80.5	77.2	84.5
Point differential	+3.2	+8.5	-3.2
Avg total	164.2	162.8	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	46%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

CBet

LKL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	46%
Home	WWLLW	54%
Away	LLWLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	46%	54%	36%
Points / game	73.7	77.9	68.7
Allowed / game	79.4	82.7	75.5
Point differential	-5.7	-4.8	-6.8
Avg total	153.1	160.6	144.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	15%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	24	22	2	92%	89.0	70.0	+19.0
2	Rytas	24	17	7	71%	84.7	75.5	+9.2
3	Lietkabelis	24	16	8	67%	78.3	72.5	+5.8
4	Neptunas	24	14	10	58%	83.7	80.5	+3.2
5	Juventus	24	13	11	54%	80.2	81.7	-1.5
6	CBet	24	11	13	46%	73.7	79.4	-5.7
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	24	8	16	33%	77.5	83.0	-5.5
8	Siauliai	24	7	17	29%	78.8	85.2	-6.4
9	Nevezis	24	6	18	25%	74.4	82.9	-8.5
10	Alytaus Dzukija	24	6	18	25%	71.2	80.8	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs CBet Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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