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Neptunas vs CBet Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-69
23-15 19-17 29-20 21-17
Position#6
Record5-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#5
Record6-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game90.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Neptunas v CBet
22 Apr 2021
NEP92
CBE81
24 Jan 2021
NEP92
CBE69
11 Apr 2020
NEP v CBE
upcoming
04 Jan 2020
NEP86
CBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CBet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A13/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-104
74
104
-30
H03/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A07/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
88-94
88
94
-6
H10/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A20/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
14-14
15-22
10-23
22-24
18-13
23-28
17-25
13-18
26-20
24-25
21-22
16-18
17-10
13-14
25-21
20-34
20-25
14-25
20-20
16-21
27-22
28-14
20-19
24-23
19-22
23-26
22-23
19-19
22-23
10-13
26-18
17-21
28-22
14-21
18-24
20-26
20-16
17-31
26-22
163.3Avg total
78.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.686.5164.1-8.931%
Season at home (8)78.888.5167.2-9.838%
Season away (8)76.484.5160.9-8.125%
Last 10 (10)78.484.9163.3-6.530%
Last 5 (5)83.285.2168.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.090.3167.3-13.39%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.682.0157.6-6.445%
vs Weaker (7)90.677.1167.7+13.486%
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
H08/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
A15/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
96-99
96
99
-3
H21/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-105
81
105
-24
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H03/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H06/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H09/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A13/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
91-105
91
105
-14
H20/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
22-18
25-30
16-20
24-31
26-20
21-26
20-14
26-17
21-25
25-25
24-32
27-19
5-25
22-17
23-30
21-19
16-31
31-24
13-31
17-23
33-12
16-31
21-19
26-24
23-18
24-20
20-16
15-26
20-19
22-25
13-22
17-28
25-28
24-15
20-24
28-32
21-27
21-22
21-24
180.2Avg total
85.3Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.490.9177.3-4.533%
Season at home (10)86.387.3173.6-1.050%
Season away (8)86.595.4181.9-8.912%
Last 10 (10)85.394.9180.2-9.620%
Last 5 (5)85.491.0176.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.191.5171.5-11.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.580.9165.4+3.760%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.1-4.1
NeptunasCBet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H05/12
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A13/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H03/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H10/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A14/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A20/01
LKL
81.1Avg total
39.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.582.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.683.3+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.581.5-3.521%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.381.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.085.4-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.084.5-3.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.342.581.8-3.327%-
vs Weaker (7)44.736.381.0+8.471%-
This opponent (CBet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CBetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H08/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A15/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H21/11
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H03/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H06/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A13/01
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H20/01
LKL
89.2Avg total
42.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.483.3-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.242.984.1-1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)38.144.282.2-6.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.247.089.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.492.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.345.284.5-5.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.441.782.1-1.360%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.6
50.1%
54.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.6
35.1%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
75.2%16.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CBettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CBet: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
54.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.5
38.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.7
73.9%
75.2%14.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLWLWLLL
CBet
LLLWWLLLLL
#6
League position
#5
-9.0
Net rating
-14.3
104.7
Offensive rating
107.7
113.7
Defensive rating
122.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
62.3%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
38.3%
67.6%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 107.7Defence113.7 · 122.0Shooting51.2% · 53.7%3-point %35.1% · 38.3%Ball care20.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ CBet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
1
CBet wins
DateGameScore
10/10/20CBet v Neptunas99-67
01/02/20CBet v Neptunas85-95
04/01/20Neptunas v CBet86-73
02/11/19CBet v Neptunas59-101
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21ARytas83-95
17/01/21HSiauliai77-88
14/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes77-73
10/01/21HSiauliai88-94
07/01/21ASiauliai91-76
03/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas74-104
30/12/20AAlytaus Dzukija71-63
13/12/20AJuventus84-85
05/12/20HLietkabelis80-90
22/11/20AZalgiris Kaunas59-81
CBetlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21HJuventus91-105
13/01/21ASiauliai86-95
09/01/21HLietkabelis70-92
06/01/21HLietkabelis93-78
03/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET87-85
27/12/20ARytas81-105
19/12/20AAlytaus Dzukija77-91
21/11/20HPieno Zvaigzdes96-99
15/11/20AZalgiris Kaunas100-103 OT
08/11/20HZalgiris Kaunas72-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game77.678.876.4
Allowed / game86.588.584.5
Point differential-8.9-9.8-8.1
Avg total164.1167.2160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CBet
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%50%12%
Points / game86.486.386.5
Allowed / game90.987.395.4
Point differential-4.5-1.0-8.9
Avg total177.3173.6181.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1211192%87.768.2+19.4
2 Lietkabelis1511473%84.774.2+10.5
3 Rytas1611569%89.281.7+7.6
4 Juventus1510567%86.586.1+0.4
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes157847%78.580.9-2.3
6 Alytaus Dzukija124833%80.984.0-3.1
7 Nevezis-OPTIBET1551033%80.183.9-3.7
8 CBet1861233%86.490.9-4.5
9 Neptunas1651131%77.686.5-8.9
10 Siauliai1441029%80.091.9-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2319292192
CBet1517201769
← all games of the day
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