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Neptunas vs LSU Atletas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2014
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-75
24-13 30-18 16-25 15-19
Position#4
Record10-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#11
Record4-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game86.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · Neptunas v LSU Atletas
03 Apr 2014
NEP85
LAT75
07 Nov 2012
NEP92
LAT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU Atletas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A28/02
LKL
Astana
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H09/03
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H16/03
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
H23/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
25-14
25-21
17-24
28-23
14-24
16-18
12-18
28-19
12-24
26-20
18-20
25-17
23-21
24-21
15-26
22-27
26-15
12-23
21-16
8-20
20-22
15-12
30-27
13-25
22-8
18-19
26-14
24-27
23-17
24-27
15-20
23-15
16-19
26-13
25-38
7-19
20-24
24-23
13-21
162.8Avg total
80.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.776.3160.0+7.477%
Season at home (7)86.078.0164.0+8.086%
Season away (6)81.074.3155.3+6.767%
Last 10 (10)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Last 5 (5)78.482.0160.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.284.0162.2-5.838%
vs Similar (13)83.182.9166.0+0.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.074.5160.5+11.575%
This opponent (LSU Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSU AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A16/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
63-103
63
103
-40
A23/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H28/02
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A04/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
65-91
65
91
-26
H10/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
73-112
73
112
-39
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A01/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
21-22
16-21
16-19
13-29
18-28
12-24
20-22
27-21
17-14
19-28
19-20
27-26
13-19
14-18
22-21
14-19
19-17
13-32
19-23
10-14
15-18
8-24
19-18
15-31
17-23
21-28
20-30
21-16
9-15
19-22
23-16
16-22
19-21
16-20
19-23
22-25
9-27
11-19
19-15
155.3Avg total
68.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.186.4158.5-14.313%
Season at home (15)71.084.7155.7-13.713%
Season away (15)73.288.2161.4-15.013%
Last 10 (10)68.586.8155.3-18.310%
Last 5 (5)65.685.4151.0-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.186.4158.5-14.313%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
NeptunasLSU Atletas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H27/01
LKL
Zenit Petersburg
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/02
VTB United League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/02
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
LKL
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/02
VTB United League
Volgograd
#12
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H24/02
VTB United League
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A28/02
LKL
Astana
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/03
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/03
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H23/03
VTB United League
78.7Avg total
39.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.478.4-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.778.2+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)38.440.178.6-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.478.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.939.277.1-1.246%-
vs Similar (13)38.840.278.9-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.537.581.0+6.075%-
This opponent (LSU Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSU AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A16/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A23/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/02
LKL
Skycop
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A04/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H10/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A23/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#8
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A01/04
LKL
76.5Avg total
34.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.044.078.0-10.017%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.942.176.9-7.227%-
Last 30 away (15)33.145.979.0-12.77%-
Last 10 (10)34.042.576.5-8.510%-
Last 5 (5)30.642.473.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)34.044.078.0-10.017%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
0
LSU Atletas wins
DateGameScore
22/01/14LSU Atletas v Neptunas78-118
26/02/13LSU Atletas v Neptunas80-102
07/11/12Neptunas v LSU Atletas92-71
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/14HCSKA Moscow64-87
16/03/14HVEF Riga90-85
09/03/14HAstana86-91
28/02/14AAlytaus Dzukija79-66
24/02/14HVolgograd73-81
14/02/14HKrasnye Krylya94-86 OT
09/02/14HJuventus87-85
06/02/14HPieno Zvaigzdes84-83
02/02/14AZenit Petersburg70-83
27/01/14HZalgiris Kaunas81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/14ALietkabelis61-86
29/03/14AJuventus70-86
23/03/14ANevezis72-69
18/03/14ASiauliai73-112
14/03/14HAlytaus Dzukija52-74
10/03/14HPieno Zvaigzdes65-91
04/03/14ASkycop76-84
28/02/14HRytas82-83
23/02/14AAlytaus Dzukija63-103
16/02/14AZalgiris Kaunas71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game83.786.081.0
Allowed / game76.378.074.3
Point differential+7.4+8.0+6.7
Avg total160.0164.0155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
LSU Atletas
LKL 2013-14
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL13%
HomeLLLLL13%
AwayLLWLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %13%13%13%
Points / game72.171.073.2
Allowed / game86.484.788.2
Point differential-14.3-13.7-15.0
Avg total158.5155.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas13130100%86.169.8+16.2
2 Neptunas1310377%83.776.3+7.4
3 Skycop2922776%78.372.7+5.6
4 Zalgiris Kaunas1612475%83.170.2+12.9
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes29171259%75.070.5+4.4
6 Siauliai27141352%78.774.3+4.4
7 Juventus28111739%76.277.2-1.0
8 Alytaus Dzukija29111838%69.274.9-5.8
9 Lietkabelis29111838%72.478.8-6.4
10 Nevezis27101737%68.672.7-4.1
11 LSU Atletas3042613%72.186.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2430161585
LSU Atletas1318251975
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