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Neptunas vs Nizhny Novgorod Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-75
22-14 21-23 22-18 17-20
Position#20
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#17
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2015
Meetings · Neptunas v Nizhny Novgorod
09 Dec 2015
NEP82
NNO75
17 Feb 2013
NEP72
NNO90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nizhny Novgorod winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A04/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A07/11
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H11/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A14/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A18/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/11
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H24/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H29/11
LKL
Volgograd
#44
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A02/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H06/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
20-21
18-25
31-15
22-27
16-10
17-14
20-17
22-17
21-24
18-17
19-28
10-21
22-14
29-22
22-32
25-20
17-25
26-13
14-18
15-23
28-11
14-17
16-14
27-16
24-21
17-21
19-27
19-14
17-30
21-21
17-18
21-15
22-14
30-22
24-23
17-26
22-17
18-18
16-21
159.2Avg total
80.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.582.1166.6+2.462%
Season at home (4)89.088.8177.8+0.250%
Season away (4)80.075.5155.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)80.678.6159.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.877.8158.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.286.9169.1-4.722%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.680.4159.0-1.840%
vs Weaker (16)76.274.1150.3+2.262%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
H02/11
VTB United League
Neptunas
#20
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H04/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#9
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H07/11
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#8
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A10/11
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A15/11
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A18/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#44
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
A28/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H01/12
Eurocup
Enisey
#11
L
96-103
96
103
-7
A06/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-28
32-26
26-20
17-13
21-20
25-18
15-31
19-21
18-26
28-21
22-22
24-24
25-22
16-14
20-27
14-30
22-23
20-23
13-16
22-18
21-18
14-17
17-17
25-21
20-11
16-29
21-13
23-28
15-17
15-27
15-30
19-25
25-27
19-11
23-16
27-23
23-26
29-26
17-28
168.9Avg total
81.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.677.9158.5+2.862%
Season at home (4)84.576.5161.0+8.075%
Season away (4)76.879.2156.0-2.550%
Last 10 (10)81.887.1168.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)81.285.6166.8-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.591.0171.5-10.520%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.181.2162.2-0.142%
vs Weaker (8)83.074.2157.2+8.888%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
NeptunasNizhny Novgorod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/11
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/11
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H24/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H29/11
LKL
Volgograd
#44
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A02/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/12
LKL
78.3Avg total
40.0Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.775.4-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.878.5+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.536.772.2-1.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.378.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.479.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.940.879.7-1.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.242.079.2-4.840%-
vs Weaker (16)37.134.771.8+2.450%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H02/11
VTB United League
Neptunas
#20
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H07/11
VTB United League
Galatasaray
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A10/11
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A15/11
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#44
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A28/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H01/12
Eurocup
Enisey
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A06/12
VTB United League
85.4Avg total
41.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.082.4-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.240.879.9-1.642%-
Last 30 away (18)41.242.984.1-1.739%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.985.4-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.046.285.2-7.210%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.941.682.5-0.742%-
vs Weaker (8)41.437.578.9+3.975%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
2
Nizhny Novgorod wins
DateGameScore
04/11/15Nizhny Novgorod v Neptunas78-82
17/02/13Neptunas v Nizhny Novgorod72-90
19/11/12Nizhny Novgorod v Neptunas84-63
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/15HZalgiris Kaunas73-82
02/12/15AVolgograd97-74
29/11/15HSiauliai74-83
24/11/15HHapoel M. Jerusalem87-85
22/11/15HLietkabelis73-65
18/11/15AGalatasaray82-76
14/11/15APieno Zvaigzdes83-89
11/11/15HAEK Athens80-86
07/11/15ASiauliai75-68
04/11/15ANizhny Novgorod82-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/15AEnisey96-103
01/12/15HAEK Athens86-79
28/11/15AUnics Kazan68-102
25/11/15HVolgograd82-74
18/11/15AHapoel M. Jerusalem74-70
15/11/15ALokomotiv Kuban69-92
10/11/15AGalatasaray85-87
07/11/15HVolgograd87-90
04/11/15HNeptunas78-82
02/11/15HKhimki M.93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game84.589.080.0
Allowed / game82.188.875.5
Point differential+2.4+0.2+4.5
Avg total166.6177.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Nizhny Novgorod
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.684.576.8
Allowed / game77.976.579.2
Point differential+2.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total158.5161.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia880100%81.269.4+11.9
2 Zenit Petersburg87188%82.671.4+11.2
3 Bilbao86275%83.571.9+11.6
4 Saratov86275%93.082.1+10.9
5 Gran Canaria86275%84.875.1+9.6
6 Trento86275%85.878.4+7.4
7 Galatasaray86275%86.179.0+7.1
8 Unics Kazan96367%80.072.3+7.7
9 Nizhny Novgorod85362%80.677.9+2.8
10 Neptunas85362%84.582.1+2.4
11 Ludwigsburg85362%79.277.9+1.4
12 Reggiana85362%77.276.2+1.0
13 Trabzonspor85362%76.876.0+0.8
14 Aris85362%73.072.6+0.4
15 Tecnyconta Zaragoza85362%74.275.5-1.2
16 Banvit84450%80.877.2+3.5
17 Petrol Olimpija84450%82.483.6-1.2
18 Alba Berlin84450%77.078.5-1.5
19 AEK Athens84450%80.182.4-2.2
20 Venezia84450%73.977.0-3.1
21 Oldenburg94544%76.682.6-6.0
22 Ulm83538%80.479.0+1.4
23 Le Mans83538%75.176.0-0.9
24 Hapoel M. Jerusalem83538%78.980.8-1.9
25 Besiktas83538%81.586.2-4.8
26 Szolnoki Olaj83538%75.082.0-7.0
27 PAOK83538%72.681.4-8.8
28 Buducnost93633%73.174.3-1.2
29 Spirou Charleroi93633%72.876.1-3.3
30 Nanterre93633%75.279.4-4.2
31 Rytas82625%86.488.0-1.6
32 Bonn82625%82.088.2-6.2
33 BC Steaua Bucuresti82625%69.181.0-11.9
34 Nancy92722%70.975.4-4.6
35 Volgograd81712%80.989.0-8.1
36 Brindisi81712%71.481.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2221221782
Nizhny Novgorod1423182075
← all games of the day
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