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Volgograd vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-97
15-21 14-22 22-30 23-24
Position#44
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Position#20
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game83.3
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2015
Meetings · Volgograd v Neptunas
02 Dec 2015
VOL74
NEP97
17 Nov 2013
VOL96
NEP95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volgograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VolgogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryazan
#10
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A02/11
Russian Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H04/11
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A07/11
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A11/11
Eurocup
Nymburk
#8
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
H14/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H21/11
VTB United League
Ryazan
#10
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H22/11
Russian Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A25/11
Eurocup
Astana
#15
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A29/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
14-20
24-12
16-19
22-18
15-25
16-24
19-21
21-19
26-18
21-28
22-22
20-26
24-25
18-17
28-24
18-14
25-22
23-29
19-20
22-14
11-20
15-23
22-13
21-21
18-25
19-26
25-23
12-16
20-18
15-25
23-15
21-25
11-20
29-16
13-21
21-28
14-6
20-23
19-24
163.5Avg total
79.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.987.9169.7-6.014%
Season at home (3)74.382.7157.0-8.30%
Season away (4)87.591.8179.2-4.225%
Last 10 (10)79.783.8163.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)75.882.8158.6-7.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.487.4167.8-7.015%
vs Similar (6)84.584.7169.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)87.883.0170.8+4.825%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#44
W
99-90 OT
99
90
+9
H28/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
62-72
62
72
-10
H31/10
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A04/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A07/11
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H11/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A14/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A18/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/11
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H24/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H29/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
27-25
22-16
16-23
23-11
13-14
13-22
13-25
13-17
20-21
18-25
31-15
22-27
16-10
17-14
20-17
22-17
21-24
18-17
19-28
10-21
22-14
29-22
22-32
25-20
17-25
26-13
14-18
15-23
28-11
14-17
16-14
27-16
24-21
17-21
19-27
19-14
17-30
21-21
17-18
158.9Avg total
79.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.783.3166.0-0.657%
Season at home (4)89.088.8177.8+0.250%
Season away (3)74.376.0150.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)79.779.2158.9+0.560%
Last 5 (5)79.879.6159.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.487.5170.9-4.125%
vs Similar (5)78.680.4159.0-1.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)73.571.9145.5+1.659%
This opponent (Volgograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
VolgogradNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VolgogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryazan
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A02/11
Russian Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H04/11
Eurocup
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A07/11
VTB United League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A11/11
Eurocup
Nymburk
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H14/11
VTB United League
AEK Athens
#22
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H18/11
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/11
VTB United League
Ryazan
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/11
Russian Cup
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A25/11
Eurocup
Astana
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A29/11
VTB United League
77.0Avg total
37.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.742.483.0-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.342.582.8-2.223%-
Last 30 away (17)40.942.383.2-1.441%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.877.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.672.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.043.482.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (6)45.539.585.0+6.067%-
vs Weaker (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#44
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H28/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H31/10
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/11
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/11
LKL
Galatasaray
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/11
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/11
LKL
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#35
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H24/11
Eurocup
Siauliai
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H29/11
LKL
77.5Avg total
39.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.873.8+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.237.576.7+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.070.9-1.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.877.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.940.579.4-1.638%-
vs Similar (5)37.242.079.2-4.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)36.233.569.6+2.753%-
This opponent (Volgograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Volgograd wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
28/10/15Neptunas v Volgograd99-90 OT
24/02/14Neptunas v Volgograd73-81
17/11/13Volgograd v Neptunas96-95
Volgogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15AAstana74-81
25/11/15ANizhny Novgorod74-82
22/11/15HRyazan70-74
21/11/15HBC Kalev/Cramo83-95
18/11/15HAEK Athens78-82 OT
14/11/15HNymburk96-88 OT
11/11/15AHapoel M. Jerusalem90-92
07/11/15ANizhny Novgorod90-87
04/11/15HGalatasaray72-88
02/11/15ARyazan70-69
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/15HSiauliai74-83
24/11/15HHapoel M. Jerusalem87-85
22/11/15HLietkabelis73-65
18/11/15AGalatasaray82-76
14/11/15APieno Zvaigzdes83-89
11/11/15HAEK Athens80-86
07/11/15ASiauliai75-68
04/11/15ANizhny Novgorod82-78
31/10/15HRytas62-72
28/10/15HVolgograd99-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Volgograd
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game81.974.387.5
Allowed / game87.982.791.8
Point differential-6.0-8.3-4.2
Avg total169.7157.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %43%33%50%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.789.074.3
Allowed / game83.388.876.0
Point differential-0.6+0.2-1.7
Avg total166.0177.8150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia770100%79.666.7+12.9
2 Zenit Petersburg76186%81.772.4+9.3
3 Saratov86275%93.082.1+10.9
4 Trento86275%85.878.4+7.4
5 Galatasaray86275%86.179.0+7.1
6 Bilbao75271%85.072.4+12.6
7 Unics Kazan75271%79.971.1+8.7
8 Gran Canaria75271%84.375.7+8.6
9 Ludwigsburg75271%80.979.1+1.7
10 Nizhny Novgorod85362%80.677.9+2.8
11 Reggiana74357%78.477.4+1.0
12 Trabzonspor74357%76.075.6+0.4
13 Aris74357%72.673.0-0.4
14 Neptunas74357%82.783.3-0.6
15 Alba Berlin74357%76.677.4-0.9
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza74357%74.176.1-2.0
17 Venezia74357%72.675.7-3.1
18 AEK Athens84450%80.182.4-2.2
19 Ulm73443%79.377.0+2.3
20 Buducnost73443%71.770.9+0.9
21 Banvit73443%79.479.7-0.3
22 Petrol Olimpija73443%80.983.0-2.1
23 Szolnoki Olaj73443%76.681.0-4.4
24 Besiktas73443%82.787.9-5.1
25 Oldenburg73443%75.683.9-8.3
26 Hapoel M. Jerusalem83538%78.980.8-1.9
27 Nanterre83538%74.277.9-3.6
28 Le Mans72529%73.675.4-1.9
29 Spirou Charleroi72529%69.773.7-4.0
30 Bonn72529%81.187.6-6.4
31 BC Steaua Bucuresti72529%70.479.7-9.3
32 PAOK72529%72.382.6-10.3
33 Rytas82625%86.488.0-1.6
34 Nancy71614%68.774.7-6.0
35 Volgograd71614%81.987.9-6.0
36 Brindisi71614%71.480.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Volgograd1514222374
Neptunas2122302497
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