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Neptunas vs Panionios Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-86
17-25 16-16 22-20 23-25
Position#35
Record3-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#40
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game73.9
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2013
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panionios winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#40
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H02/11
VTB United League
Radnicki
#33
L
97-101
97
101
-4
H06/11
Eurocup
Krasnye Krylya
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A09/11
VTB United League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A13/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#12
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A17/11
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#13
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A23/11
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/11
Eurocup
Astana
#11
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A01/12
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
23-25
21-29
26-14
24-18
17-10
19-21
27-33
22-27
29-22
20-28
26-24
18-21
15-22
18-16
21-20
13-18
19-26
20-16
23-28
25-24
27-20
24-30
19-22
22-13
11-21
32-18
20-20
13-17
10-24
10-21
26-12
21-16
19-18
19-14
24-26
20-17
18-22
26-20
20-23
166.2Avg total
82.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.479.4159.9+1.043%
Season at home (3)84.081.7165.7+2.333%
Season away (4)77.877.8155.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)82.883.4166.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.279.6160.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.681.4159.0-3.943%
vs Similar (10)80.682.4163.0-1.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.076.3168.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#35
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H30/10
Eurocup
Kifisia
#5
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H02/11
Basket League
Besiktas
#8
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#7
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/11
Basket League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H13/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A17/11
Basket League
Radnicki
#33
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A20/11
Eurocup
Ilisiakos
#12
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/11
Basket League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H27/11
Eurocup
Ikaros
#14
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A30/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-23
29-21
14-26
15-10
14-11
25-11
10-7
15-21
16-15
16-12
10-23
11-16
9-13
24-18
21-16
15-20
23-12
18-13
18-17
16-22
20-18
10-24
19-26
17-20
18-21
15-27
27-16
18-23
14-14
20-19
17-8
22-11
17-16
12-24
25-18
17-15
23-15
13-18
27-25
141.9Avg total
71.3Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.773.9147.6-0.157%
Season at home (4)78.273.5151.8+4.875%
Season away (3)67.774.3142.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)71.370.6141.9+0.760%
Last 5 (5)73.476.0149.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.378.1144.4-11.811%
vs Similar (11)70.264.1134.3+6.182%
vs Weaker (9)75.370.2145.6+5.189%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
NeptunasPanionios
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#40
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/10
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H02/11
VTB United League
Radnicki
#33
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H06/11
Eurocup
Krasnye Krylya
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A09/11
VTB United League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/11
Eurocup
Volgograd
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A17/11
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#13
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A23/11
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/11
Eurocup
Astana
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/12
VTB United League
78.6Avg total
38.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.377.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.237.579.7+4.662%-
Last 30 away (17)35.940.676.6-4.724%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.978.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.475.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.840.678.4-2.829%-
vs Similar (10)36.939.476.3-2.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.536.279.7+7.383%-
This opponent (Panionios) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanioniosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#35
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/10
Eurocup
Kifisia
#5
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H02/11
Basket League
Besiktas
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#7
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A10/11
Basket League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H13/11
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/11
Basket League
Radnicki
#33
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A20/11
Eurocup
Ilisiakos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H23/11
Basket League
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H27/11
Eurocup
Ikaros
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/11
Basket League
68.0Avg total
34.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.932.667.5+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.331.467.7+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.633.767.3-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.768.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.737.470.1-4.811%-
vs Similar (11)33.528.562.0+4.991%-
vs Weaker (9)37.632.870.3+4.867%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Panionios wins
DateGameScore
30/10/13Panionios v Neptunas86-91
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/13AAstana84-82
27/11/13ABesiktas83-74
23/11/13AVEF Riga59-74
20/11/13HBisons Loimaa85-72
17/11/13AVolgograd95-96
13/11/13ASpartak St. Petersburg75-88
09/11/13AKrasnye Krylya72-79
06/11/13HRadnicki97-101
02/11/13HZenit Petersburg87-82
30/10/13APanionios91-86
Panionioslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/13AIkaros80-73
27/11/13HSpartak St. Petersburg76-69
23/11/13HIlisiakos69-64
20/11/13ARadnicki77-84
17/11/13APanathinaikos65-90
13/11/13HBisons Loimaa74-62
10/11/13AAris65-63
06/11/13ABesiktas57-71
02/11/13HKifisia64-39
30/10/13HNeptunas86-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game80.484.077.8
Allowed / game79.481.777.8
Point differential+1.0+2.3+0.0
Avg total159.9165.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panionios
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game73.778.267.7
Allowed / game73.973.574.3
Point differential-0.1+4.8-6.7
Avg total147.6151.8142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan880100%81.464.0+17.4
2 Cantu770100%84.473.6+10.9
3 Khimki M.87188%86.976.0+10.9
4 Ulm87188%78.173.1+5.0
5 Nizhny Novgorod76186%81.667.6+14.0
6 Gravelines-Dunkerque86275%75.565.1+10.4
7 Sassari86275%90.885.1+5.6
8 Cedevita75271%84.377.1+7.1
9 Petrol Olimpija75271%73.366.6+6.7
10 Alba Berlin75271%71.667.1+4.4
11 Maccabi Haifa75271%74.971.9+3.0
12 Besiktas75271%68.166.1+2.0
13 Oostende75271%75.375.0+0.3
14 PAOK75271%74.676.9-2.3
15 Khimik85362%78.672.9+5.8
16 Karsiyaka85362%81.879.0+2.8
17 Valencia74357%84.770.9+13.9
18 Tecnyconta Zaragoza74357%80.771.9+8.9
19 Nymburk74357%79.676.1+3.4
20 Panionios74357%73.773.9-0.1
21 Oldenburg74357%79.980.1-0.3
22 Bonn74357%77.079.3-2.3
23 VEF Riga74357%72.476.1-3.7
24 Bilbao84450%85.882.6+3.1
25 Radnicki84450%82.181.6+0.5
26 Hapoel M. Jerusalem84450%77.677.9-0.2
27 Banvit73443%76.769.0+7.7
28 Neptunas73443%80.479.4+1.0
29 Le Mans73443%73.375.1-1.9
30 Bisons Loimaa73443%70.774.3-3.6
31 Ankara Kolejliler73443%75.479.7-4.3
32 Lyon-Villeurbanne73443%68.777.6-8.9
33 Spartak St. Petersburg83538%72.872.6+0.1
34 Chalon/Saone83538%78.479.0-0.6
35 Academic83538%71.975.6-3.8
36 Virtus Roma72529%72.773.7-1.0
37 Buducnost72529%73.377.4-4.1
38 CSU Ploiesti72529%80.685.6-5.0
39 Igokea72529%77.383.3-6.0
40 Levallois82625%66.674.8-8.1
41 Cibona71614%74.978.4-3.6
42 Varese71614%71.779.9-8.1
43 Artland71614%74.083.1-9.1
44 MZT Skopje71614%69.380.3-11.0
45 Alba Fehervar81712%71.880.4-8.6
46 BC Kalev/Cramo81712%64.278.1-13.9
47 Spirou Charleroi81712%69.583.6-14.1
48 Belfius Mons81712%60.479.5-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1716222378
Panionios2516202586
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