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Neptunas vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-69
29-9 22-23 17-18 14-19
Position#21
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#24
Record1-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2017
Meetings · Neptunas v PAOK
15 Nov 2017
NEP82
PAK69
16 Nov 2016
NEP68
PAK63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A14/10
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H18/10
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/10
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A24/10
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H28/10
LKL
Gaziantep
#41
W
114-73
114
73
+41
H01/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A05/11
LKL
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A07/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
A12/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-15
15-16
24-18
12-22
16-29
26-21
25-20
24-22
24-26
22-16
17-16
19-8
25-22
28-10
26-18
14-24
16-26
26-25
27-20
23-19
26-29
28-17
20-26
30-24
28-20
28-15
28-14
15-26
17-24
19-19
11-19
20-13
23-15
19-19
28-13
30-20
19-16
23-26
24-14
166.7Avg total
88.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.876.2166.0+13.680%
Season at home (3)92.075.3167.3+16.7100%
Season away (2)86.577.5164.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)88.178.6166.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)91.877.6169.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.977.2144.2-10.331%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.268.5151.8+14.8100%
vs Weaker (13)88.773.8162.5+14.892%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H07/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
A10/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A15/10
Basket League
Gaziantep
#41
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H18/10
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/10
Basket League
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A24/10
Champions League
Trikala
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A28/10
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A31/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H08/11
Champions League
Aris
#10
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H11/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
9-19
33-20
14-17
24-20
16-28
12-30
18-25
19-19
20-24
11-29
24-17
18-23
20-19
23-16
21-27
24-15
21-24
25-20
24-24
18-7
14-12
17-19
14-20
17-19
23-28
19-22
19-18
17-14
24-22
8-24
12-15
17-23
19-19
21-19
17-18
18-18
13-13
23-8
9-18
152.7Avg total
73.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.080.0150.0-10.020%
Season at home (2)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Season away (3)64.778.7143.3-14.033%
Last 10 (10)73.279.5152.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)67.871.2139.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.884.6150.4-18.912%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.872.8146.6+1.055%
vs Weaker (10)79.276.0155.2+3.260%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
NeptunasPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A14/10
LKL
Ventspils
#34
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/10
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H22/10
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A24/10
Champions League
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H28/10
LKL
Gaziantep
#41
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H01/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A05/11
LKL
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A07/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A12/11
LKL
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.578.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.180.8+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)34.940.975.8-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.287.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.941.374.2-8.415%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.536.076.5+4.550%-
vs Weaker (13)44.138.882.9+5.269%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H07/10
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/10
Basket League
Gaziantep
#41
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H18/10
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H21/10
Basket League
Capo d'Orlando
#46
W
32-19
32
19
+13
A24/10
Champions League
Trikala
#14
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
Basket League
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H08/11
Champions League
Aris
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H11/11
Basket League
75.7Avg total
36.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.874.8-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.337.775.0-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.974.5-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.975.7-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.071.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.642.875.4-10.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.538.175.5-0.636%-
vs Weaker (10)37.836.073.8+1.840%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
10/01/17PAOK v Neptunas82-73
16/11/16Neptunas v PAOK68-63
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/17AAlytaus Dzukija96-76
07/11/17ACapo d'Orlando90-60
05/11/17AZalgiris Kaunas62-88
01/11/17HGaziantep114-73
28/10/17HPieno Zvaigzdes97-91
24/10/17ALudwigsburg83-95
22/10/17HAlytaus Dzukija98-58
18/10/17HVentspils87-80
14/10/17ARytas79-92
10/10/17HChalon/Saone75-73
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/17HAris63-57
08/11/17HTenerife74-79
31/10/17AChalon/Saone61-75
28/10/17ATrikala78-87
24/10/17ACapo d'Orlando63-58
21/10/17HG.S. Kymis94-83
18/10/17HGaziantep82-85
15/10/17APanathinaikos74-89
10/10/17ALudwigsburg70-103
07/10/17HPromitheas73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game89.892.086.5
Allowed / game76.275.377.5
Point differential+13.6+16.7+9.0
Avg total166.0167.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Champions League 2017
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game70.078.064.7
Allowed / game80.082.078.7
Point differential-10.0-4.0-14.0
Avg total150.0160.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco660100%83.563.5+20.0
2 Ludwigsburg1211192%86.368.3+18.0
3 Venezia65183%85.779.2+6.5
4 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
5 Neptunas54180%89.876.2+13.6
6 Tenerife54180%81.668.0+13.6
7 Besiktas54180%75.064.0+11.0
8 Nanterre86275%79.273.0+6.2
9 Karsiyaka75271%89.386.7+2.6
10 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
11 Banvit64267%79.577.3+2.2
12 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
13 Oldenburg53260%87.683.0+4.6
14 Strasbourg53260%77.476.2+1.2
15 Juventus74357%77.382.7-5.4
16 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
17 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
18 Estudiantes84450%79.677.0+2.6
19 Nymburk63350%78.876.7+2.2
20 Bayreuth63350%82.280.2+2.0
21 Avellino63350%74.773.0+1.7
22 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
23 Ventspils63350%74.374.8-0.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
25 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
26 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
27 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
28 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
29 Aris63350%66.573.2-6.7
30 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
31 Bonn73443%76.377.1-0.9
32 Chalon/Saone52340%73.272.6+0.6
33 AEK Athens52340%85.286.8-1.6
34 Enisey52340%76.881.0-4.2
35 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
36 Zielona Gora62433%74.576.7-2.2
37 Murcia62433%76.380.8-4.5
38 Oostende62433%68.074.7-6.7
39 Gaziantep62433%77.090.8-13.8
40 HydroTruck Radom72529%73.077.7-4.7
41 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
42 Capo d'Orlando82625%65.571.8-6.2
43 Sassari51420%78.884.0-5.2
44 Hapoel Holon51420%74.681.4-6.8
45 Petrol Olimpija51420%75.282.2-7.0
46 PAOK51420%70.080.0-10.0
47 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
48 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
49 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
50 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
51 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
52 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
53 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
54 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
55 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2922171482
PAOK923181969
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