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Neptunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 97-91
23-19 26-29 28-17 20-26
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game84.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
27 Apr 2024
NEP77
PZV88
15 Oct 2023
NEP112
PZV87
03 Oct 2022
NEP91
PZV92
12 Apr 2022
NEP91
PZV95
26 Sep 2021
NEP75
PZV71
06 Feb 2021
NEP99
PZV93
14 Nov 2020
NEP80
PZV74
23 Dec 2019
NEP93
PZV70
02 Feb 2019
NEP89
PZV103
12 Jan 2019
NEP77
PZV80
19 May 2018
NEP92
PZV82
11 May 2018
NEP91
PZV81
07 Apr 2018
NEP90
PZV71
28 Oct 2017
NEP97
PZV91
26 Feb 2017
NEP59
PZV54
28 Sep 2016
NEP55
PZV61
12 Mar 2016
NEP95
PZV91
03 Jan 2016
NEP90
PZV79
25 Feb 2015
NEP89
PZV97
20 Oct 2014
NEP110
PZV84
06 Feb 2014
NEP84
PZV83
16 Apr 2013
NEP85
PZV71
18 Dec 2012
NEP89
PZV72
03 Feb 2012
NEP77
PZV79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H28/09
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A07/10
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A14/10
LKL
Ventspils
#34
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H18/10
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
98-58
98
58
+40
H22/10
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A24/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
19-23
24-17
23-22
22-18
17-21
14-8
20-17
19-20
22-18
28-18
25-22
19-14
15-23
21-33
21-18
17-10
18-30
29-15
9-17
18-24
18-15
15-16
24-18
12-22
16-29
26-21
25-20
24-22
24-26
22-16
17-16
19-8
25-22
28-10
26-18
14-24
16-26
26-25
27-20
160.3Avg total
83.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.474.8158.1+8.675%
Season at home (3)87.765.0152.7+22.7100%
Season away (5)80.880.6161.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)83.077.3160.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)84.479.6164.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.677.1144.7-9.429%
vs Similar (5)84.474.0158.4+10.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.472.2157.5+13.291%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
73-106
73
106
-33
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
51-107
51
107
-56
A06/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
64-106
64
106
-42
A25/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H08/10
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H14/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A23/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
16-33
19-30
22-13
26-13
15-23
26-24
13-29
7-28
20-16
11-32
13-31
17-27
24-24
27-28
22-23
23-18
16-26
13-35
12-27
23-20
29-11
20-14
23-28
27-19
18-16
20-16
16-28
19-22
14-19
18-15
29-18
18-23
21-32
19-9
17-21
25-12
14-19
17-21
25-23
166.6Avg total
77.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.984.9165.7-4.057%
Season at home (4)82.877.8160.5+5.075%
Season away (3)78.394.3172.7-16.033%
Last 10 (10)77.089.6166.6-12.640%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.991.1165.0-17.113%
vs Similar (8)85.681.2166.9+4.475%
vs Weaker (7)91.978.9170.7+13.086%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.9-4.9
NeptunasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/09
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/10
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A14/10
LKL
Ventspils
#34
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H18/10
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H22/10
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A24/10
Champions League
78.6Avg total
38.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.138.978.0+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.378.1+5.453%-
Last 30 away (15)36.541.578.0-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.678.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.680.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.640.574.1-6.914%-
vs Similar (5)43.037.480.4+5.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.437.682.0+6.764%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A30/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A06/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A25/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H04/10
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/10
LKL
Skycop
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H14/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/10
LKL
81.9Avg total
38.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.182.4-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.038.880.8+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)38.944.983.9-6.019%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.181.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.545.783.2-8.127%-
vs Similar (8)41.638.079.6+3.662%-
vs Weaker (7)45.039.084.0+6.043%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/17ALudwigsburg83-95
22/10/17HAlytaus Dzukija98-58
18/10/17HVentspils87-80
14/10/17ARytas79-92
10/10/17HChalon/Saone75-73
07/10/17AJuventus73-72
04/10/17ALietkabelis76-88
01/10/17ASkycop94-78
28/09/17HZalgiris Kaunas73-64
24/09/17HNevezis92-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/17AJuventus81-75
21/10/17HLietkabelis75-85
14/10/17HSkycop80-74
08/10/17HSiauliai81-79
04/10/17HAlytaus Dzukija95-73
25/09/17AZalgiris Kaunas64-106
20/09/17ARytas90-102
06/05/17ARytas51-107
03/05/17HRytas80-89
30/04/17ARytas73-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %75%100%60%
Points / game83.487.780.8
Allowed / game74.865.080.6
Point differential+8.6+22.7+0.2
Avg total158.1152.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.982.878.3
Allowed / game84.977.894.3
Point differential-4.0+5.0-16.0
Avg total165.7160.5172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lietkabelis880100%85.872.9+12.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas87188%84.565.9+18.6
3 Neptunas86275%83.474.8+8.6
4 Rytas96367%83.475.7+7.8
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes74357%80.984.9-4.0
6 Alytaus Dzukija83538%70.984.6-13.8
7 Nevezis62433%74.380.7-6.3
8 Siauliai72529%72.380.9-8.6
9 Juventus91811%75.981.6-5.7
10 Skycop8080%68.981.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2326282097
Pieno Zvaigzdes1929172691
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