PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-80
24-22 24-26 22-16 17-16
Position#21
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#34
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 2
European cup2017
Meetings · Neptunas v Ventspils
18 Oct 2017
NEP87
VET80
18 Jan 2017
NEP84
VET68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A10/06
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A21/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H28/09
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A07/10
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A14/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-14
14-11
24-21
14-24
24-15
9-17
19-19
22-22
21-10
18-18
21-23
26-11
19-23
24-17
23-22
22-18
17-21
14-8
20-17
19-20
22-18
28-18
25-22
19-14
15-23
21-33
21-18
17-10
18-30
29-15
9-17
18-24
18-15
15-16
24-18
12-22
16-29
26-21
25-20
153.3Avg total
78.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.075.3153.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)79.480.6160.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.575.7142.2-9.231%
vs Similar (7)83.075.3158.3+7.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)85.472.1157.5+13.390%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H21/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A23/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A25/05
LBL
Valga
#5
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A30/09
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#9
W
101-81
101
81
+20
A01/10
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H04/10
LBL
Jurmala
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H07/10
LBL
Tenerife
#3
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/10
Champions League
Jekabpils
#6
W
76-50
76
50
+26
H14/10
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
19-18
13-16
24-16
23-19
16-18
13-20
24-27
26-17
24-15
13-23
19-35
17-27
15-10
15-23
22-18
24-13
29-15
16-14
19-12
21-26
28-25
27-11
25-19
19-14
27-16
17-19
22-9
20-21
23-17
28-7
14-25
18-19
18-18
20-17
17-18
23-15
19-12
21-6
13-17
151.4Avg total
80.1Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.171.3151.4+8.860%
Last 5 (5)84.066.2150.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (7)72.677.4150.0-4.929%
vs Weaker (22)90.572.8163.4+17.786%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
NeptunasVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/06
LKL
Siauliai
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A21/09
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/09
LKL
Skycop
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A07/10
LKL
Chalon/Saone
#33
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A14/10
LKL
75.3Avg total
37.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.135.977.0+5.254%-
Last 30 away (17)38.739.478.1-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.275.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.075.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.839.873.6-5.915%-
vs Similar (7)43.336.479.7+6.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.936.581.4+8.470%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H19/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A23/05
LBL
VEF Riga
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/05
LBL
Valga
#5
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A30/09
LBL
Valmiera/ORDO
#9
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/10
LBL
Latvijas Universitate
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/10
LBL
Jurmala
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/10
LBL
Tenerife
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/10
Champions League
Jekabpils
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H14/10
LBL
78.0Avg total
41.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.480.0+5.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.037.880.8+5.259%-
Last 30 away (13)42.136.878.8+5.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.178.0+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.679.8+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (7)34.935.470.3-0.629%-
vs Weaker (22)45.438.083.4+7.459%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
1
Ventspils wins
DateGameScore
18/01/17Neptunas v Ventspils84-68
22/11/16Ventspils v Neptunas66-61
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/17ARytas79-92
10/10/17HChalon/Saone75-73
07/10/17AJuventus73-72
04/10/17ALietkabelis76-88
01/10/17ASkycop94-78
28/09/17HZalgiris Kaunas73-64
24/09/17HNevezis92-73
21/09/17ASiauliai82-73
10/06/17ARytas66-75
07/06/17HRytas70-65
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/17HJekabpils76-50
11/10/17HTenerife73-72
07/10/17HJurmala85-70
04/10/17HLatvijas Universitate85-58
01/10/17AValmiera/ORDO101-81
30/09/17AValga88-54
25/05/17AVEF Riga69-78
23/05/17AVEF Riga82-90
21/05/17HVEF Riga76-84
19/05/17HVEF Riga66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Ventspils
Champions League 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco220100%87.554.5+33.0
2 Bayreuth110100%96.079.0+17.0
3 Strasbourg110100%83.069.0+14.0
4 Avellino110100%86.080.0+6.0
5 Gaziantep110100%82.077.0+5.0
6 Murcia220100%73.069.0+4.0
7 Neptunas110100%75.073.0+2.0
8 Ventspils110100%73.072.0+1.0
9 Ludwigsburg87188%86.066.0+20.0
10 Antwerp Giants65183%77.575.7+1.8
11 Karsiyaka43175%87.282.2+5.0
12 Estudiantes32167%80.074.7+5.3
13 Minsk64267%69.764.5+5.2
14 Nanterre32167%76.371.7+4.7
15 Saratov64267%72.272.0+0.2
16 Besiktas21150%78.567.5+11.0
17 Nymburk21150%85.575.5+10.0
18 Joventut Badalona42250%76.069.0+7.0
19 Chalon/Saone21150%70.065.0+5.0
20 Tenerife21150%77.072.5+4.5
21 Academic42250%84.580.2+4.2
22 Bonn42250%77.574.5+3.0
23 Venezia21150%104.5102.0+2.5
24 Alba Fehervar42250%78.578.2+0.2
25 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%76.877.5-0.8
26 Zielona Gora21150%68.569.5-1.0
27 Enisey21150%75.577.0-1.5
28 Karpos21150%80.082.5-2.5
29 AEK Athens21150%91.094.0-3.0
30 Bakken Bears21150%81.584.5-3.0
31 Keravnos21150%69.573.0-3.5
32 Benfica42250%73.878.0-4.2
33 Oostende21150%61.571.5-10.0
34 Juventus42250%74.885.0-10.2
35 Skycop21150%69.079.5-10.5
36 Aris21150%70.081.5-11.5
37 Donar Groningen62433%78.875.7+3.2
38 HydroTruck Radom31233%77.080.3-3.3
39 Capo d'Orlando41325%73.269.5+3.8
40 Kataja41325%75.280.2-5.0
41 Sassari1010%87.088.0-1.0
42 Oldenburg1010%86.089.0-3.0
43 Nizhny Novgorod2020%74.578.0-3.5
44 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%67.071.0-4.0
45 BC Lulea2020%76.582.0-5.5
46 Banvit1010%101.0108.0-7.0
47 Budivelnyk2020%57.564.5-7.0
48 Univ. Cluj-Napoca2020%74.583.0-8.5
49 Z-Mobile Prishtina2020%62.073.0-11.0
50 Mornar Bar2020%66.079.0-13.0
51 Petrol Olimpija1010%69.083.0-14.0
52 Hapoel Holon2020%66.081.5-15.5
53 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%63.079.0-16.0
54 Basic-Fit Brussels2020%54.580.0-25.5
55 PAOK1010%70.0103.0-33.0
56 KK Bosna2020%59.093.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2424221787
Ventspils2226161680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.