Neptunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 90-79

23-25 24-21 11-16 32-17

Position#3

Record9-8

FormLWWLW

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game73.7

Neptunas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#8

Record5-11

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game81.5

LKL

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

74-83

-9

H29/11

LKL

Volgograd

#44

97-74

+23

A02/12

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

73-82

-9

H06/12

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#17

82-75

H09/12

Eurocup

Nevezis

#10

81-56

+25

A11/12

LKL

AEK Athens

#22

71-75

-4

A16/12

Eurocup

Alytaus Dzukija

76-71

H20/12

LKL

Juventus

82-65

+17

H23/12

LKL

Rytas

76-80

-4

A27/12

LKL

Skycop

85-72

+13

A30/12

LKL

19-14

17-30

21-21

17-18

21-15

22-14

30-22

24-23

17-26

22-17

18-18

16-21

22-14

21-23

22-18

17-20

23-10

24-17

14-12

20-17

19-22

15-11

26-20

11-22

22-22

16-11

22-21

16-17

21-6

20-18

23-20

18-21

17-18

22-19

19-14

18-29

22-26

20-15

21-16

22-15

153.0Avg total

79.7Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.1	73.7	149.8	+2.4	53%
Season at home (8)	74.9	73.9	148.8	+1.0	50%
Season away (9)	77.1	73.6	150.7	+3.6	56%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	73.3	153.0	+6.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	72.6	150.6	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.7	80.8	156.5	-5.2	17%
vs Similar (8)	78.9	78.0	156.9	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	77.2	73.2	150.4	+4.1	69%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

67-86

-19

A24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Alytaus Dzukija

83-68

+15

H28/11

LKL

Helios Domzale

#47

86-77

H01/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Skycop

71-79

-8

H05/12

LKL

Juventus

74-76

-2

A12/12

LKL

Le Havre

#14

84-96

-12

A15/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Nevezis

#10

85-61

+24

H19/12

LKL

Rytas

69-96

-27

A23/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

71-88

-17

H27/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

78-91

-13

A30/12

LKL

18-23

21-22

8-18

20-23

23-15

21-12

23-13

16-28

28-22

14-21

20-12

24-22

18-14

14-21

22-18

17-26

16-13

19-19

18-19

21-25

21-23

22-23

19-26

22-24

21-23

20-15

24-11

20-12

14-17

13-28

27-26

15-25

13-27

24-18

16-26

18-17

17-26

23-20

24-26

14-19

158.6Avg total

76.8Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	75.2	81.5	156.7	-6.3	31%
Season at home (9)	76.1	77.3	153.4	-1.2	44%
Season away (7)	74.0	86.9	160.9	-12.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	81.8	158.6	-5.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	86.4	163.8	-9.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	73.8	86.0	159.8	-12.2	8%
vs Similar (13)	75.1	77.2	152.2	-2.1	46%
vs Weaker (5)	80.0	72.6	152.6	+7.4	80%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.5	17.2	35.7	+1.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	23.2	40.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.8	20.7	37.5	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.7	37.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.8	33.4	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	19.8	38.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	20.8	38.1	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	18.1	36.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.9	39.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.8	23.7	40.5	-6.8	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	80%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siauliai

36-44

-8

H29/11

LKL

Volgograd

#44

43-29

+14

A02/12

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

39-43

-4

H06/12

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#17

43-37

H09/12

Eurocup

Nevezis

#10

47-27

+20

A11/12

LKL

AEK Athens

#22

34-33

A16/12

Eurocup

Alytaus Dzukija

38-33

H20/12

LKL

Juventus

41-24

+17

H23/12

LKL

Rytas

39-37

A27/12

LKL

Skycop

42-41

A30/12

LKL

75.0Avg total

40.2Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.7	74.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	36.9	77.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	36.5	72.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	34.8	75.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	33.6	72.4	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	38.3	76.5	-0.2	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	40.1	78.2	-2.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	38.3	34.4	72.7	+3.9	56%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ventspils

39-45

-6

A24/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Alytaus Dzukija

44-27

+17

H28/11

LKL

Helios Domzale

#47

42-43

-1

H01/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Skycop

32-35

-3

H05/12

LKL

Juventus

35-32

A12/12

LKL

Le Havre

#14

43-46

-3

A15/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Nevezis

#10

41-38

H19/12

LKL

Rytas

27-45

-18

A23/12

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

37-45

-8

H27/12

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-46

-6

A30/12

LKL

78.2Avg total

38.0Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.9	76.2	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	37.1	73.1	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	43.1	79.8	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.2	78.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	44.0	81.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.7	44.3	78.0	-10.7	17%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.3	37.8	74.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	34.6	77.2	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	37.9	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.2	40.4	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.8	18.8	38.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.1	20.7	40.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.4	15.2	34.6	+4.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	23.7	41.3	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	41.2	77.9	-4.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.0	78.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	42.5	80.0	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.8	37.9	78.6	+2.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	37.8	38.2	76.1	-0.4	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.0	79.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	39.2	77.5	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	41.6	80.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.4	82.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.1	41.7	81.8	-1.6	42%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.4	38.0	75.4	-0.6	20%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
14/11/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	89-83
22/04/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	64-68
25/02/15	Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	89-97
08/12/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	70-86
20/10/14	Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	110-84
19/04/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	81-68
06/02/14	Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-83
19/04/13	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	92-94 OT
16/04/13	Neptunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-71
09/04/13	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Neptunas	87-76

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/15	A	Skycop	85-72
27/12/15	A	Rytas	76-80
23/12/15	H	Juventus	82-65
20/12/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	76-71
16/12/15	A	AEK Athens	71-75
11/12/15	A	Nevezis	81-56
09/12/15	H	Nizhny Novgorod	82-75
06/12/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	73-82
02/12/15	A	Volgograd	97-74
29/11/15	H	Siauliai	74-83

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/15	A	Lietkabelis	78-91
27/12/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-88
23/12/15	A	Rytas	69-96
19/12/15	H	Nevezis	85-61
15/12/15	A	Le Havre	84-96
12/12/15	A	Juventus	74-76
05/12/15	H	Skycop	71-79
01/12/15	H	Helios Domzale	86-77
28/11/15	H	Alytaus Dzukija	83-68
24/11/15	A	Ventspils	67-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	53%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	WLWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	53%	50%	56%
Points / game	76.1	74.9	77.1
Allowed / game	73.7	73.9	73.6
Point differential	+2.4	+1.0	+3.6
Avg total	149.8	148.8	150.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	25%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	31%
Home	WWLWL	44%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	31%	44%	14%
Points / game	75.2	76.1	74.0
Allowed / game	81.5	77.3	86.9
Point differential	-6.3	-1.2	-12.9
Avg total	156.7	153.4	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	18	17	1	94%	84.2	68.4	+15.8
2	Rytas	18	16	2	89%	86.3	72.8	+13.6
3	Neptunas	17	9	8	53%	76.1	73.7	+2.4
4	Skycop	18	9	9	50%	79.0	76.8	+2.2
5	Juventus	18	9	9	50%	75.8	80.6	-4.7
6	Siauliai	18	8	10	44%	78.0	78.7	-0.7
7	Lietkabelis	18	7	11	39%	74.3	78.0	-3.7
8	Nevezis	18	6	12	33%	72.4	82.1	-9.7
9	Pieno Zvaigzdes	16	5	11	31%	75.2	81.5	-6.3
10	Alytaus Dzukija	17	2	15	12%	64.5	74.5	-10.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	23	24	11	32	90
Pieno Zvaigzdes	25	21	16	17	79

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature