Neptunas vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Sep 2026

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 73-76

15-21 21-15 15-23 22-17

Position#30

Record-

FormWWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Neptunas

Trento 🏆

Position#24

Record-

FormWWLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

EurocupRound 1· Svyturio Arena

European cup2026

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Trento winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNeptunas

Date

Competition

Juventus

83-86

-3

79avg 83

A29/05

LKL

Juventus

102-84

102

+18

98avg 83

H01/06

LKL

Juventus

90-103

103

-13

77avg 83

A03/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

86-73

+13

86avg 83

H06/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

68-80

-12

60avg 83

A08/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

66-63

56avg 83

H11/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

91-82

93avg 83

A13/06

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

69-93

-24

56avg 83

H20/09

LKL

Juventus

99-84

+15

97avg 83

H23/09

LKL

Gargzdai

78-87

-9

71avg 83

A26/09

LKL

23-26

19-14

23-17

18-29

27-20

24-22

24-21

27-21

23-25

13-30

34-23

20-25

31-14

15-23

23-25

17-11

28-18

13-13

13-25

14-24

15-24

25-13

10-15

16-11

28-26

22-16

20-22

21-18

18-20

16-20

17-21

18-32

18-16

31-20

28-20

22-28

24-18

20-16

27-24

7-29

166.7Avg total

83.2Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.2	83.5	166.7	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	81.8	162.4	-1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.2	99.8	178.0	-21.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	85.0	83.7	168.7	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker (16)	89.6	87.1	176.8	+2.5	50%

This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormTrento

Date

Competition

Reggiana

82-90

-8

75avg 74

H18/04

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#11

74-84

-10

68avg 74

A25/04

Lega A

Udine

#13

76-69

70avg 74

A03/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-74

+10

78avg 74

H10/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

71-102

102

-31

58avg 74

A17/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

87-84

77avg 74

A19/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

102-85

102

+17

99avg 74

H22/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

81-90

-9

74avg 74

H24/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

95-106

106

-11

89avg 74

A26/05

Lega A

Reggiana

#13

83-78

78avg 74

A26/09

Lega A

18-21

12-28

17-24

35-17

17-10

20-20

8-29

29-25

27-15

16-29

22-15

11-10

22-13

19-26

25-16

18-19

21-32

11-23

14-14

25-33

26-22

21-25

19-15

21-22

23-14

28-24

31-25

20-22

27-30

15-19

12-27

27-14

28-28

27-30

24-18

16-30

26-18

20-25

16-18

21-17

169.7Avg total

83.5Scored

86.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.5	86.2	169.7	-2.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	88.6	178.2	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	85.6	86.9	172.5	-1.3	50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	78.9	80.1	159.0	-1.1	50%
vs Weaker (6)	88.8	87.0	175.8	+1.8	67%

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasTrento

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	21.8	45.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.2	21.8	46.1	+2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.7	21.8	44.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.0	20.5	44.5	+3.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.8	22.2	45.9	+1.6	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.0	43.3	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.3	43.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.4	48.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.4	23.0	45.4	-0.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	19.7	41.8	+2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.0	39.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	25.8	45.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	22.9	42.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	20.2	40.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	24.8	44.8	-4.8	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	24.9	43.8	-6.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.6	46.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.5	22.7	41.2	-4.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	50%	-

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

42-40

A29/05

LKL

Juventus

51-42

H01/06

LKL

Juventus

36-55

-19

A03/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

46-37

H06/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

41-31

+10

A08/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-37

H11/06

LKL

Lietkabelis

50-42

A13/06

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

34-40

-6

H20/09

LKL

Juventus

49-36

+13

H23/09

LKL

Gargzdai

44-34

+10

A26/09

LKL

82.7Avg total

43.3Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	43.0	88.8	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.6	44.2	90.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.7	41.7	86.4	+3.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	39.4	82.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	37.8	81.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.0	49.2	90.2	-8.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.7	39.6	84.3	+5.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (16)	47.6	43.6	91.2	+3.9	62%	-

This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

30-49

-19

H18/04

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#11

37-30

A25/04

Lega A

Udine

#13

43-44

-1

A03/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-39

H10/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

32-55

-23

A17/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

47-47

A19/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

51-38

+13

H22/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

42-49

-7

H24/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

55-58

-3

A26/05

Lega A

Reggiana

#13

46-43

A26/09

Lega A

87.6Avg total

42.4Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	44.2	86.5	-2.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.4	42.9	84.3	-1.5	58%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.8	45.2	88.0	-2.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	45.2	87.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	47.0	95.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.7	45.0	87.7	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.5	43.6	84.2	-3.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.2	44.3	89.5	+0.8	67%	-

This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.2	43.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.4	40.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	27.0	46.2	-7.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.1	20.6	41.6	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-0.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.4	42.1	-0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	24.7	43.1	-6.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	23.6	40.4	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	23.5	41.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.0	22.9	43.9	-1.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	19.6	40.1	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	44.6	85.0	-4.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	42.5	84.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	46.9	86.1	-7.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	44.1	84.0	-4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.0	81.2	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	50.5	87.8	-13.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.2	43.9	83.1	-4.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.1	43.5	85.6	-1.4	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.2	41.4	83.6	+0.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.0	40.6	84.6	+3.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.9	41.9	82.9	-1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	41.0	82.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.9	41.9	84.8	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	41.5	41.1	82.5	+0.4	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	41.2	83.8	+1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.6	18.9	54.6%	54.0%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	9.0	36.1%	34.0%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	24.8	18.2	73.4%	75.6%	18.2

They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 83.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	18.7	55.0%	54.0%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	10.5	36.3%	34.0%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	18.3	14.6	79.8%	75.6%	14.6

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.2	55.8%	54.0%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.7	35.3%	34.0%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.8	73.5%	75.6%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	18.9	53.1%	54.0%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.5	35.6%	34.0%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.9	75.1%	75.6%	16.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.3	56.3%	54.0%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.4	34.8%	34.0%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	25.3	18.6	73.6%	75.6%	18.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.3	56.1%	54.0%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.0	34.5%	34.0%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	18.9	15.4	81.5%	75.6%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.5	54.6%	54.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	9.4	37.2%	34.0%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	25.0	18.7	74.8%	75.6%	18.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	17.7	54.1%	54.0%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	9.7	35.4%	34.0%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.3	75.7%	75.6%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Neptunas

LWLWWLWLWL

Trento

WLLWWLWWLL

#30

League position

#24

-0.4

Net rating

-3.2

100.3

Offensive rating

98.1

100.7

Defensive rating

101.3

54.5%

Effective FG%

54.8%

54.5%

Opp. effective FG%

53.2%

14.6%

Turnover %

15.8%

0.42

Free-throw rate

0.29

36.1%

3-point %

36.3%

61.3%

Assist %

55.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Neptunas ■ Trento

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Trento wins

No previous meetings.

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/09/26	A	Gargzdai	78-87
23/09/26	H	Juventus	99-84
20/09/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	69-93
13/06/26	A	Lietkabelis	91-82
11/06/26	H	Lietkabelis	66-63
08/06/26	A	Lietkabelis	68-80
06/06/26	H	Lietkabelis	86-73
03/06/26	A	Juventus	90-103
01/06/26	H	Juventus	102-84
29/05/26	A	Juventus	83-86

Trentolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/09/26	A	Reggiana	83-78
26/05/26	A	Virtus Bologna	95-106
24/05/26	H	Virtus Bologna	81-90
22/05/26	H	Virtus Bologna	102-85
19/05/26	A	Virtus Bologna	87-84
17/05/26	A	Virtus Bologna	71-102
10/05/26	H	Olimpia Milano	84-74
03/05/26	A	Udine	76-69
25/04/26	A	Basket Napoli	74-84
18/04/26	H	Reggiana	82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Trento

Eurocup 2026

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	15	21	15	22	73
Trento	21	15	23	17	76

← all games of the day

Neptunas vs Trento Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature