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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 87-78
18-24 16-20 24-27 29-7
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.5
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 77
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
97avg 77
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
78-69
78
69
+9
75avg 77
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 77
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 77
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 77
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 77
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 77
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 77
H20/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-34
9-21
22-14
15-16
21-24
23-12
17-25
29-24
16-30
23-23
22-13
24-19
22-16
17-15
25-14
14-24
30-30
25-18
24-21
18-22
22-25
25-30
25-19
31-24
25-22
18-32
14-22
16-24
22-19
18-24
10-19
24-22
18-23
19-21
20-28
20-26
15-25
19-23
27-18
29-13
176.1Avg total
86.3Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.588.5172.0-5.050%
Season at home (2)83.588.5172.0-5.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.389.8176.1-3.550%
Last 5 (5)83.491.8175.2-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.987.4166.3-8.540%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.486.4172.9+0.057%
vs Weaker (8)89.087.5176.5+1.562%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
83-96
83
96
-13
78avg 83
H27/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 83
A29/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
98avg 83
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
77avg 83
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 83
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 83
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 83
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
56avg 83
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
14-26
18-19
31-26
23-26
19-14
23-17
18-29
27-20
24-22
24-21
27-21
23-25
13-30
34-23
20-25
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
28-26
22-16
20-22
21-18
18-20
16-20
17-21
18-32
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
168.1Avg total
83.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
Season at home (2)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.784.4168.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)78.680.4159.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.898.0177.8-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.883.3169.1+2.456%
vs Weaker (16)89.687.1176.8+2.550%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A22/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A26/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A21/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/09
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H20/09
LKL
88.5Avg total
41.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.383.3-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.742.980.5-5.220%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.786.0-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.846.788.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.889.0-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.943.982.8-4.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.645.383.9-6.729%-
vs Weaker (8)39.444.283.6-4.938%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H20/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
83.4Avg total
42.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.689.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.544.591.1+2.053%-
Last 30 away (13)44.842.387.1+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.183.4+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.280.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.849.491.2-7.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.840.285.0+4.667%-
vs Weaker (16)47.643.691.2+3.962%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.8
52.8%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.6
34.7%
35.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.217.9
80.6%
70.8%17.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.0
54.6%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
36.1%
35.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws25.119.1
76.1%
70.8%19.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLLWWWLWL
Neptunas
WLWWLWLWLL
#2
League position
#4
-3.7
Net rating
-0.8
97.0
Offensive rating
100.6
100.7
Defensive rating
101.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.7%
3-point %
36.1%
62.2%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 100.6Defence100.7 · 101.5Shooting52.5% · 54.4%3-point %34.7% · 36.1%Ball care15.6% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
23/05/26Gargzdai v Neptunas74-84
21/05/26Neptunas v Gargzdai100-73
10/05/26Neptunas v Gargzdai91-97
14/03/26Gargzdai v Neptunas81-70
13/12/25Gargzdai v Neptunas87-104
11/10/25Neptunas v Gargzdai102-74
14/01/24Neptunas v Gargzdai100-81
16/11/23Neptunas v Gargzdai84-78
06/11/23Gargzdai v Neptunas73-92
25/10/23Gargzdai v Neptunas87-97
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/26HSiauliai90-79
17/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-98
23/05/26HNeptunas74-84
21/05/26ANeptunas73-100
16/05/26HRytas103-98
10/05/26ANeptunas97-91
06/05/26ALietkabelis78-69
02/05/26HJonava104-109 OT
26/04/26ANevezis90-85
22/04/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-85
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
20/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas69-93
13/06/26ALietkabelis91-82
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
06/06/26HLietkabelis86-73
03/06/26AJuventus90-103
01/06/26HJuventus102-84
29/05/26AJuventus83-86
27/05/26HJuventus83-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game88.588.5-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game88.588.5-
Point differential-4.5-4.5-
Avg total172.5172.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%95.573.0+22.5
2 Lietkabelis32167%82.082.3-0.3
3 Jonava21150%87.580.0+7.5
4 Taurage21150%87.087.5-0.5
5 Siauliai21150%82.583.5-1.0
6 Neptunas21150%84.088.5-4.5
7 Gargzdai21150%83.588.5-5.0
8 Juventus2020%83.091.5-8.5
9 Nevezis1010%65.085.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai1816242987
Neptunas242027778
← all games of the day
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