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Lietkabelis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jun 2026
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 82-91
26-28 16-22 22-20 18-21
Position#6
Record18-22
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#3
Record22-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaLKLLKL - 3rd place· Kalnapilio arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Lietkabelis v Neptunas
21 Apr 2027
LIE v NEP
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
LIE99
NEP79
13 Jun 2026
LIE82
NEP91
08 Jun 2026
LIE80
NEP68
26 Apr 2026
LIE83
NEP80
20 Sep 2025
LIE84
NEP96
30 Apr 2025
LIE84
NEP79
02 Nov 2024
LIE81
NEP89
04 Mar 2024
LIE76
NEP78
21 Jan 2024
LIE79
NEP76
14 Jan 2023
LIE73
NEP81
26 Nov 2022
LIE80
NEP73
15 Jan 2022
LIE80
NEP80
18 Sep 2021
LIE83
NEP62
13 May 2021
LIE94
NEP93
08 Apr 2021
LIE82
NEP77
03 Oct 2020
LIE87
NEP82
11 Jan 2020
LIE102
NEP64
22 Apr 2019
LIE69
NEP73
24 Nov 2018
LIE76
NEP100
17 Jun 2018
LIE78
NEP89
12 Jun 2018
LIE69
NEP71
18 Apr 2018
LIE89
NEP94
04 Oct 2017
LIE88
NEP76
01 Apr 2017
LIE74
NEP61
05 Oct 2016
LIE93
NEP74
17 Apr 2016
LIE72
NEP80
25 Oct 2015
LIE75
NEP80
16 Apr 2015
LIE81
NEP83
09 Oct 2014
LIE65
NEP78
10 Apr 2014
LIE69
NEP83
16 Jan 2013
LIE65
NEP81
21 Jan 2012
LIE103
NEP98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 75
A10/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
64-67
64
67
-3
50avg 75
A16/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
72avg 75
A20/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-77
93
77
+16
84avg 75
H22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-85
75
85
-10
64avg 75
A26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
62avg 75
H28/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
93-103
93
103
-10
87avg 75
A31/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 75
A06/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
80-68
80
68
+12
72avg 75
H08/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
60avg 75
A11/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
19-26
11-24
25-20
14-22
10-19
18-16
22-10
22-20
23-23
26-19
14-22
23-21
20-22
28-15
22-19
20-21
20-21
18-21
17-22
19-20
17-22
20-32
19-21
27-29
20-27
21-19
25-28
14-31
23-15
25-23
11-17
18-28
13-13
25-13
24-14
24-15
13-25
15-10
11-16
158.9Avg total
77.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.681.2163.9+1.445%
Season at home (19)85.880.0165.8+5.858%
Season away (21)79.882.4162.1-2.633%
Last 10 (10)77.181.8158.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)76.883.6160.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.989.5170.4-8.612%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.078.6156.6-0.645%
vs Weaker (11)84.473.4157.7+11.064%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
90avg 83
H17/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
100-73
100
73
+27
98avg 83
H21/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 83
A23/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
83-96
83
96
-13
78avg 83
H27/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 83
A29/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
98avg 83
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
90-103
90
103
-13
77avg 83
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 83
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
66-63
66
63
+3
56avg 83
H11/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
29-17
25-18
17-27
22-25
32-18
22-14
24-16
19-22
24-18
19-10
22-24
20-25
14-26
18-19
31-26
23-26
19-14
23-17
18-29
27-20
24-22
24-21
27-21
23-25
13-30
34-23
20-25
31-14
15-23
23-25
17-11
28-18
13-13
13-25
14-24
15-24
25-13
10-15
16-11
167.8Avg total
85.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)91.088.3179.3+2.754%
Season at home (21)93.486.7180.1+6.867%
Season away (20)88.590.0178.5-1.640%
Last 10 (10)85.782.1167.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.480.6163.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.296.8178.0-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.383.8166.1-1.444%
vs Weaker (16)89.687.1176.8+2.550%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
LietkabelisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A16/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/05
LKL
Siauliai
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A31/05
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A06/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/06
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/06
LKL
81.1Avg total
37.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.980.2-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.079.5+1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)38.342.480.6-4.135%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.781.1-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.645.082.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.444.284.6-3.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.842.178.9-5.327%-
vs Weaker (11)40.937.378.2+3.664%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H21/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A23/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/05
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H01/06
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H11/06
LKL
86.0Avg total
44.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.289.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.545.492.9+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)43.142.885.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.086.0+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.483.2+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.451.694.0-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.341.084.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker (16)47.643.691.2+3.962%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
74.3%13.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.6
56.0%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.219.3
73.7%
74.3%19.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jun 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
LWLLLLWWLL
Neptunas
WLWLWLLWWW
#6
League position
#3
-4.8
Net rating
+4.0
92.5
Offensive rating
101.1
97.3
Defensive rating
97.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.0%
3-point %
34.9%
53.2%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 101.1Defence97.3 · 97.1Shooting50.6% · 54.4%3-point %32.0% · 34.9%Ball care14.7% · 14.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lietkabelis wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/26ANeptunas63-66
08/06/26HNeptunas80-68
06/06/26ANeptunas73-86
31/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas93-103
28/05/26HZalgiris Kaunas75-95
26/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas75-85
22/05/26HSiauliai93-77
20/05/26ASiauliai85-84
16/05/26ASiauliai64-67
10/05/26AZalgiris Kaunas70-87
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/06/26HLietkabelis66-63
08/06/26ALietkabelis68-80
06/06/26HLietkabelis86-73
03/06/26AJuventus90-103
01/06/26HJuventus102-84
29/05/26AJuventus83-86
27/05/26HJuventus83-96
23/05/26AGargzdai84-74
21/05/26HGargzdai100-73
17/05/26HJonava95-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL45%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %45%58%33%
Points / game82.685.879.8
Allowed / game81.280.082.4
Point differential+1.4+5.8-2.6
Avg total163.9165.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %54%67%40%
Points / game91.093.488.5
Allowed / game88.386.790.0
Point differential+2.7+6.8-1.6
Avg total179.3180.1178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)40% (5)0% (5)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas4039198%92.477.0+15.5
2 Rytas34201459%92.686.0+6.6
3 Neptunas41221954%91.088.3+2.7
4 Siauliai34171750%85.087.6-2.6
5 Lietkabelis40182245%82.681.2+1.4
6 Gargzdai34151944%83.187.7-4.5
7 Juventus41172441%87.391.1-3.8
8 Jonava3492526%84.993.9-8.9
9 Nevezis3282425%82.992.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis2616221882
Neptunas2822202191
← all games of the day
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