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Trento vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-74
22-13 19-26 25-16 18-19
Position#9
Record12-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.4
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record20-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game80.3
ItalyLega ARound 30· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trento v Olimpia Milano
11 Apr 2027
TRE v MIL
upcoming
10 May 2026
TRE84
MIL74
19 May 2025
TRE70
MIL67
17 May 2025
TRE70
MIL73
03 Nov 2024
TRE91
MIL57
19 May 2024
TRE69
MIL87
17 May 2024
TRE68
MIL83
07 Jan 2024
TRE74
MIL79
18 Dec 2022
TRE77
MIL75
05 Feb 2022
TRE73
MIL79
16 May 2021
TRE65
MIL74
07 Mar 2021
TRE61
MIL60
13 Apr 2020
TRE v MIL
upcoming
05 May 2019
TRE77
MIL79
15 Jun 2018
TRE71
MIL96
11 Jun 2018
TRE77
MIL74
09 Jun 2018
TRE72
MIL65
11 Nov 2017
TRE55
MIL74
31 May 2017
TRE88
MIL64
29 May 2017
TRE66
MIL87
04 Dec 2016
TRE74
MIL92
12 May 2016
TRE61
MIL62
15 Mar 2016
TRE83
MIL73
08 Oct 2015
TRE80
MIL73
01 Feb 2015
TRE84
MIL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
89avg 74
H07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
90avg 74
A11/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
78-84
78
84
-6
64avg 74
A14/03
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
64avg 74
A18/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
69avg 74
H22/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
106-87
106
87
+19
103avg 74
A29/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 74
A12/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
75avg 74
H18/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
74-84
74
84
-10
68avg 74
A25/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 74
A03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
19-21
28-14
23-24
26-21
21-24
18-19
16-17
21-24
18-21
20-18
19-21
16-17
16-23
25-21
19-16
18-30
18-17
24-22
17-16
29-18
22-18
28-24
27-27
21-23
18-31
22-23
23-26
18-21
12-28
17-24
35-17
17-10
20-20
8-29
29-25
27-15
16-29
22-15
11-10
171.1Avg total
84.3Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.982.4165.3+0.443%
Season at home (13)87.285.5172.7+1.646%
Season away (15)79.179.7158.9-0.640%
Last 10 (10)84.386.8171.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)84.486.6171.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)86.983.6170.4+3.357%
vs Similar (16)78.880.8159.6-1.944%
vs Weaker (7)88.385.0173.3+3.371%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
101avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 81
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
90avg 81
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 81
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 81
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
85avg 81
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 81
A16/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
125-97
125
97
+28
130avg 81
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 81
A26/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 81
H03/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
24-27
30-24
29-27
13-24
20-20
14-32
21-22
29-20
23-26
22-21
10-21
21-17
29-27
34-16
37-18
25-36
27-14
25-25
14-23
24-23
18-16
28-22
21-8
19-32
180.9Avg total
91.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.180.3167.5+6.871%
Season at home (15)87.781.3169.1+6.473%
Season away (13)86.579.2165.6+7.369%
Last 10 (10)91.689.3180.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)92.287.8180.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.894.8177.5-12.00%
vs Similar (13)90.191.4181.5-1.338%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.181.6168.7+5.577%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
TrentoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A11/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/03
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
Eurocup
Brescia
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A29/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A12/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H18/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A25/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/05
Lega A
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.943.284.1-2.241%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.242.982.2-3.746%-
Last 30 away (16)42.343.485.7-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.141.083.1+1.143%-
vs Similar (15)38.944.183.0-5.133%-
vs Weaker (7)44.043.487.4+0.657%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A16/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A26/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/05
Lega A
92.7Avg total
47.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.143.790.8+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.543.492.9+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.088.4+0.457%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.192.7+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.043.891.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.849.294.0-4.525%-
vs Similar (13)47.547.194.6+0.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.438.585.9+8.892%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
54.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.5
30.4%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.811.4
82.6%
76.1%11.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.416.2
69.2%
54.1%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.0
36.9%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws11.210.1
90.2%
76.1%10.1
They take 50.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLLWLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLLWLLW
#9
League position
#2
-3.4
Net rating
+6.2
81.9
Offensive rating
68.3
85.3
Defensive rating
62.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
61.8%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.4%
3-point %
36.9%
56.5%
Assist %
79.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence81.9 · 68.3Defence85.3 · 62.1Shooting51.5% · 61.8%3-point %30.4% · 36.9%Ball care15.0% · 17.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26AUdine76-69
25/04/26ABasket Napoli74-84
18/04/26HReggiana82-90
12/04/26ATortona84-103
29/03/26AVenezia106-87
22/03/26HBrescia77-85
18/03/26ABesiktas76-77
14/03/26ATrieste78-84
11/03/26AVenezia94-90 OT
07/03/26HSassari96-99 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HTrieste86-78
26/04/26AVenezia90-85
19/04/26HBasket Napoli125-97
16/04/26AOlympiacos76-85
09/04/26HBayern84-94
07/04/26AValencia96-102
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWLLL46%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %43%46%40%
Points / game82.987.279.1
Allowed / game82.485.579.7
Point differential+0.4+1.6-0.6
Avg total165.3172.7158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %71%73%69%
Points / game87.187.786.5
Allowed / game80.381.379.2
Point differential+6.8+6.4+7.3
Avg total167.5169.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2823582%83.476.0+7.4
2 Olimpia Milano2820871%87.180.3+6.8
3 Brescia2820871%88.484.2+4.2
4 Venezia2819968%91.086.1+4.9
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona28171161%87.485.7+1.7
7 Reggiana28151354%83.880.5+3.2
8 Varese28131546%84.587.3-2.8
9 Trieste28131546%83.987.1-3.3
10 Trento28121643%82.982.4+0.4
11 Udine28101836%81.583.3-1.8
12 Basket Napoli28101836%84.287.5-3.3
13 Cremona28101836%82.286.0-3.8
14 Treviso2891932%83.889.5-5.8
15 Cantu2992031%83.988.5-4.7
16 Sassari2882029%85.989.5-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2219251884
Olimpia Milano1326161974
← all games of the day
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