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Neptunas vs Usak Sportif Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-88
22-26 38-18 18-19 25-25
Position#6
Record6-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game63.9
vs
Position#33
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 8
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Usak Sportif winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H02/11
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
110-62
110
62
+48
A06/11
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H19/11
LKL
Ventspils
#23
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A22/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H26/11
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H30/11
Champions League
Juventus
#5
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A04/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
21-13
19-19
14-15
20-24
31-16
30-9
29-13
17-19
16-13
10-18
21-13
17-18
20-16
21-17
12-12
14-21
18-19
15-14
21-9
8-25
25-17
18-20
16-15
14-17
14-16
20-14
13-19
21-17
12-23
15-11
16-7
16-6
13-25
17-13
20-19
29-14
19-30
26-27
23-20
142.1Avg total
74.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.663.9135.4+7.786%
Season at home (4)77.263.2140.5+14.0100%
Season away (3)64.064.7128.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)74.867.3142.1+7.580%
Last 5 (5)71.071.0142.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.074.6142.6-6.636%
vs Similar (7)76.375.7152.0+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.764.8141.5+11.875%
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#23
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H02/11
Champions League
Istanbul BB
#10
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A08/11
Champions League
Yesilgiresun
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#12
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H16/11
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#8
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#38
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H22/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
29-21
9-17
17-8
31-18
9-34
15-10
30-25
8-15
19-17
25-22
20-18
16-19
13-25
22-18
28-24
20-13
4-16
9-20
27-16
22-18
16-21
15-21
22-25
14-17
26-9
22-18
25-20
14-25
19-16
12-25
20-24
13-20
18-17
17-24
21-22
16-21
20-27
20-19
17-16
153.9Avg total
74.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.671.8145.3+1.844%
Season at home (5)75.871.0146.8+4.860%
Season away (4)70.872.8143.5-2.025%
Last 10 (10)74.479.5153.9-5.120%
Last 5 (5)73.881.0154.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.879.2150.9-7.423%
vs Similar (5)73.076.2149.2-3.220%
vs Weaker (6)86.072.3158.3+13.767%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
NeptunasUsak Sportif
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/11
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A06/11
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
LKL
Ventspils
#23
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A22/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H30/11
Champions League
Juventus
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/12
LKL
74.1Avg total
37.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.673.0+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.832.570.2+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.039.176.1-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.974.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.072.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.735.670.4-0.936%-
vs Similar (7)38.736.475.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.135.074.1+4.158%-
This opponent (Usak Sportif) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Usak SportifLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#23
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H02/11
Champions League
Istanbul BB
#10
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A08/11
Champions League
Yesilgiresun
#11
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H12/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Oldenburg
#12
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H16/11
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Varese
#38
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H22/11
Champions League
Darussafaka
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A30/11
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
73.8Avg total
34.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.638.474.0-2.838%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.537.775.2-0.250%-
Last 30 away (12)33.839.172.8-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.273.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.273.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.539.774.2-5.223%-
vs Similar (5)34.039.873.8-5.840%-
vs Weaker (6)39.334.373.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
0
Usak Sportif wins
DateGameScore
19/10/16Usak Sportif v Neptunas65-67
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16AJuventus97-91
30/11/16HHydroTruck Radom66-63
26/11/16HAlytaus Dzukija64-58
22/11/16AVentspils61-66
19/11/16HLietkabelis67-77
16/11/16HPAOK68-63
12/11/16HNevezis70-63
09/11/16AOldenburg64-63
06/11/16ASiauliai110-62
02/11/16HLyon-Villeurbanne81-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/16AGalatasaray73-83
30/11/16ALyon-Villeurbanne69-83
28/11/16HDarussafaka65-90
22/11/16HVarese87-64
19/11/16AKarsiyaka75-85
16/11/16HOldenburg60-65
12/11/16HYesilgiresun79-86
08/11/16AHydroTruck Radom77-83 OT
05/11/16AIstanbul BB85-87
02/11/16HVentspils74-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game71.677.264.0
Allowed / game63.963.264.7
Point differential+7.7+14.0-0.7
Avg total135.4140.5128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Usak Sportif
Champions League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game73.675.870.8
Allowed / game71.871.072.8
Point differential+1.8+4.8-2.0
Avg total145.3146.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Mans76186%76.964.6+12.3
2 Monaco76186%73.162.6+10.6
3 Besiktas76186%84.174.0+10.1
4 Banvit76186%80.070.4+9.6
5 Neptunas76186%71.663.9+7.7
6 Juventus97278%80.477.0+3.4
7 Tenerife75271%79.765.0+14.7
8 Ludwigsburg75271%81.471.4+10.0
9 Venezia75271%76.069.0+7.0
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne75271%78.072.0+6.0
11 Avellino75271%78.373.9+4.4
12 AEK Athens74357%80.169.1+11.0
13 Aris74357%75.469.1+6.3
14 Strasbourg74357%78.072.4+5.6
15 Nymburk74357%75.671.3+4.3
16 Oldenburg74357%70.369.3+1.0
17 Karsiyaka74357%71.471.9-0.4
18 Ironi Nahariya95456%70.670.7-0.1
19 CSM Oradea116555%70.370.2+0.1
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
23 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
24 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
25 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
26 Usak Sportif94544%73.671.8+1.8
27 Kataja94544%77.278.3-1.1
28 Ventspils73443%75.071.3+3.7
29 Saratov73443%88.486.9+1.6
30 Sassari73443%77.176.9+0.3
31 Maccabi Rishon73443%71.071.9-0.9
32 Oostende73443%70.071.0-1.0
33 PAOK73443%70.071.1-1.1
34 Zielona Gora73443%70.673.0-2.4
35 Partizan73443%70.473.6-3.1
36 HydroTruck Radom73443%70.073.9-3.9
37 Frankfurt73443%64.669.7-5.1
38 Spirou Charleroi73443%76.482.3-5.9
39 Mornar Bar93633%71.680.6-9.0
40 Varese93633%69.679.2-9.7
41 Bakken Bears93633%69.080.0-11.0
42 Mega Bemax72529%72.477.1-4.7
43 Cibona72529%79.185.1-6.0
44 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
45 Helios Domzale71614%58.966.0-7.1
46 Khimik71614%63.974.4-10.6
47 Szolnoki Olaj71614%63.483.4-20.0
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas22381825103
Usak Sportif2618192588
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