PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-61
17-14 16-14 14-20 19-13
Position#23
Record2-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#6
Record5-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game63.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2016
Meetings · Ventspils v Neptunas
19 Dec 2017
VET69
NEP84
22 Nov 2016
VET66
NEP61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H19/10
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A22/10
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H25/10
Champions League
Barons Kvartals
#5
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A29/10
LBL
Usak Sportif
#33
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A02/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
H05/11
LBL
Varese
#38
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H09/11
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H12/11
LBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A15/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
100-64
100
64
+36
A19/11
LBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-11
19-20
24-20
24-26
26-19
29-13
25-28
14-19
15-20
20-6
17-15
22-12
20-16
14-21
12-16
16-13
23-19
21-29
17-9
8-17
30-21
35-21
26-23
25-21
27-19
28-19
13-16
23-12
20-16
21-18
23-18
18-14
19-25
17-8
13-23
19-27
24-20
32-16
20-13
24-15
154.6Avg total
83.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.670.6146.2+5.040%
Season at home (3)80.365.3145.7+15.067%
Season away (2)68.578.5147.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)83.271.4154.6+11.860%
Last 5 (5)91.473.0164.4+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.080.0152.0-8.00%
vs Similar (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (27)88.874.8163.6+14.074%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Usak Sportif
#33
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A19/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A23/10
LKL
Varese
#38
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H25/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H30/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H02/11
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
110-62
110
62
+48
A06/11
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H19/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
21-16
9-19
14-15
14-20
12-21
22-17
19-19
24-17
29-14
14-17
27-12
23-11
18-11
19-29
19-27
27-20
21-13
19-19
14-15
20-24
31-16
30-9
29-13
17-19
16-13
10-18
21-13
17-18
20-16
21-17
12-12
14-21
18-19
15-14
21-9
8-25
25-17
18-20
16-15
144.2Avg total
76.7Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.863.6138.4+11.2100%
Season at home (3)81.063.3144.3+17.7100%
Season away (2)65.564.0129.5+1.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.767.5144.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)75.865.6141.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.274.3143.6-5.142%
vs Similar (9)77.678.1155.7-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.065.7146.7+15.378%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
VentspilsNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/10
Champions League
Valmiera/ORDO
#3
W
55-32
55
32
+23
A22/10
LBL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H25/10
Champions League
Barons Kvartals
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A29/10
LBL
Usak Sportif
#33
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A02/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
H05/11
LBL
Varese
#38
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H09/11
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/11
LBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A15/11
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#10
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A19/11
LBL
80.6Avg total
44.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.681.4+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.878.3+6.775%-
Last 30 away (14)45.339.684.9+5.664%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.780.6+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.636.687.2+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.032.064.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (1)44.048.092.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (27)44.737.682.3+7.074%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Usak Sportif
#33
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A19/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/10
LKL
Varese
#38
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H30/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/11
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A06/11
LKL
Oldenburg
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
LKL
74.4Avg total
39.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.374.9+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.533.172.5+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.677.3-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.674.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.674.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.535.871.2-0.242%-
vs Similar (9)39.138.377.4+0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.135.177.2+7.078%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ventspils wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16ALatvijas Universitate100-64
15/11/16ALyon-Villeurbanne68-83
12/11/16HBK Liepaja82-66
09/11/16HVarese91-66
05/11/16HBK Ogre116-86
02/11/16AUsak Sportif69-74
29/10/16ABarons Kvartals62-66
25/10/16HHydroTruck Radom74-53
22/10/16AValmiera/ORDO94-79
19/10/16HOldenburg76-77
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HLietkabelis67-77
16/11/16HPAOK68-63
12/11/16HNevezis70-63
09/11/16AOldenburg64-63
06/11/16ASiauliai110-62
02/11/16HLyon-Villeurbanne81-67
30/10/16HRytas79-78
25/10/16HVarese94-60
23/10/16AZalgiris Kaunas67-77
19/10/16AUsak Sportif67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Champions League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.680.368.5
Allowed / game70.665.378.5
Point differential+5.0+15.0-10.0
Avg total146.2145.7147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game74.881.065.5
Allowed / game63.663.364.0
Point differential+11.2+17.7+1.5
Avg total138.4144.3129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas550100%83.471.0+12.4
2 Neptunas550100%74.863.6+11.2
3 Juventus76186%82.076.4+5.6
4 Le Mans54180%72.660.4+12.2
5 Aris54180%78.467.6+10.8
6 Monaco54180%70.860.4+10.4
7 Banvit54180%80.271.6+8.6
8 Avellino54180%77.673.2+4.4
9 Tenerife53260%81.864.2+17.6
10 AEK Athens53260%79.065.0+14.0
11 Ludwigsburg53260%80.267.6+12.6
12 Saratov53260%90.081.4+8.6
13 Venezia53260%70.664.6+6.0
14 Nymburk53260%74.070.2+3.8
15 Strasbourg53260%73.070.4+2.6
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne53260%76.074.4+1.6
17 Oldenburg53260%70.869.4+1.4
18 Karsiyaka53260%71.271.8-0.6
19 HydroTruck Radom53260%72.873.6-0.8
20 Partizan53260%65.067.2-2.2
21 CSM Oradea95456%69.369.4-0.1
22 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
23 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
26 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
27 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
28 Usak Sportif73443%72.371.3+1.0
29 Kataja73443%76.779.9-3.1
30 Ironi Nahariya73443%67.173.0-5.9
31 Mornar Bar73443%72.779.6-6.9
32 Bakken Bears73443%66.975.9-9.0
33 Ventspils52340%75.670.6+5.0
34 Sassari52340%74.674.2+0.4
35 Zielona Gora52340%69.470.0-0.6
36 PAOK52340%68.670.0-1.4
37 Oostende52340%67.670.2-2.6
38 Frankfurt52340%63.467.8-4.4
39 Maccabi Rishon52340%70.275.0-4.8
40 Varese72529%69.479.3-9.9
41 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
42 Helios Domzale51420%60.863.4-2.6
43 Mega Bemax51420%74.479.4-5.0
44 Khimik51420%67.873.8-6.0
45 Cibona51420%78.285.2-7.0
46 Spirou Charleroi51420%74.086.6-12.6
47 Szolnoki Olaj51420%59.283.2-24.0
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ventspils1716141966
Neptunas1414201361
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.