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Netherlands W vs Estonia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 87-77
15-20 18-20 30-21 24-16
Position#23
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#35
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.3
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Topsportcentrum Almere
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Netherlands W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Netherlands WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
92-54
92
54
+38
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
62-89
62
89
-27
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-10
7-21
11-23
19-15
20-4
11-13
18-12
15-16
14-31
15-26
15-6
13-18
7-16
18-15
16-19
18-16
25-23
11-10
17-6
20-18
19-19
20-29
16-19
10-25
15-19
16-17
13-28
20-17
23-19
18-13
25-20
26-2
15-18
15-25
13-21
19-25
21-19
21-19
25-13
19-25
138.1Avg total
67.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.073.0153.0+7.067%
Season at home (1)86.076.0162.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)77.071.5148.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)67.171.0138.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)73.878.4152.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.975.2140.1-10.327%
vs Similar (2)57.072.5129.5-15.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.054.4128.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#14
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
53-81
53
81
-28
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
45-83
45
83
-38
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
52-82
52
82
-30
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
42-93
42
93
-51
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A09/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
54-92
54
92
-38
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
65-87
65
87
-22
H15/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
47-89
47
89
-42
A18/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
18-14
19-15
12-20
14-18
13-21
12-28
14-14
12-17
11-23
13-16
9-27
17-22
13-14
7-26
15-20
18-22
8-4
22-17
18-15
10-23
14-23
12-23
6-24
8-21
22-11
8-16
13-22
19-23
13-18
20-25
2-26
17-33
12-14
16-17
20-23
16-21
13-26
6-26
12-16
134.2Avg total
54.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)55.389.3144.7-34.00%
Season at home (2)59.589.5149.0-30.00%
Season away (1)47.089.0136.0-42.00%
Last 10 (10)54.080.2134.2-26.210%
Last 5 (5)51.886.2138.0-34.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.479.8134.2-25.410%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -8.6-8.6
Netherlands WEstonia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Netherlands WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A12/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
31-17
31
17
+14
H09/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A12/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H06/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#35
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H18/11
European Championship Women
68.9Avg total
32.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.834.266.0-2.444%-
Last 30 at home (8)33.032.865.8+0.238%-
Last 30 away (10)30.835.466.2-4.650%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.668.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.476.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.937.368.2-6.427%-
vs Similar (2)32.032.564.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.628.261.8+5.480%-
This opponent (Estonia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Estonia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece W
#14
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H12/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H10/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A06/02
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A09/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#23
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#18
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H15/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#9
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A18/11
European Championship Women
67.0Avg total
28.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)27.840.568.3-12.810%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.438.167.5-8.718%-
Last 30 away (10)26.043.269.2-17.20%-
Last 10 (10)28.438.667.0-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)28.842.671.4-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)27.840.568.3-12.810%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Netherlands W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Netherlands Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands W: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.8%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.05.8
25.4%
-17.5
🏀 Free throws17.310.2
58.7%
-10.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estonia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estonia W: 50.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.812.7
37.4%
-25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.35.7
26.6%
-17.0
🏀 Free throws13.28.2
62.0%
-8.2
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Netherlands W
WLWLLWLLWL
Estonia W
LLLLLWLLLL
#23
League position
#35
-8.7
Net rating
-34.9
86.3
Offensive rating
66.9
95.0
Defensive rating
101.8
41.7%
Effective FG%
38.4%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
22.4%
Turnover %
30.5%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.4%
3-point %
26.6%
80.1%
Assist %
70.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Netherlands W   ■ Estonia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Netherlands W wins
0
Estonia W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25Estonia W v Netherlands W54-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HSlovenia W86-76
15/11/25ALatvia W62-89
12/11/25AEstonia W92-54
09/02/25HSpain W64-81
06/02/25HCroatia W65-92
10/11/24AAustria W73-57
07/11/24ASpain W59-66
12/11/23ACroatia W57-81
09/11/23HAustria W64-45
12/02/23ACzech Republic W49-69
Estonia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ALatvia W47-89
15/11/25HSlovenia W65-87
12/11/25HNetherlands W54-92
09/02/25ASweden W51-70
06/02/25AGreat Britain W42-93
10/11/24HDenmark W66-58
07/11/24HSweden W52-82
12/11/23HGreat Britain W45-83
09/11/23ADenmark W53-81
12/02/23HGreece W65-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Netherlands W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.086.077.0
Allowed / game73.076.071.5
Point differential+7.0+10.0+5.5
Avg total153.0162.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game55.359.547.0
Allowed / game89.389.589.0
Point differential-34.0-30.0-42.0
Avg total144.7149.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W440100%101.852.5+49.2
2 Poland W440100%76.850.8+26.0
3 Serbia W330100%84.358.7+25.7
4 Austria W440100%81.565.2+16.2
5 Lithuania W220100%80.067.0+13.0
6 Israel W440100%90.578.2+12.2
7 Latvia W43175%80.859.8+21.0
8 Great Britain W43175%83.563.8+19.8
9 Luxembourg W43175%73.560.5+13.0
10 Croatia W43175%83.572.5+11.0
11 Netherlands W32167%80.073.0+7.0
12 Denmark W42250%93.877.5+16.2
13 Montenegro W42250%77.565.0+12.5
14 Belgium W21150%82.572.5+10.0
15 Ukraine W42250%72.564.5+8.0
16 Slovakia W42250%67.060.0+7.0
17 Portugal W21150%75.573.5+2.0
18 Greece W42250%86.085.2+0.8
19 Slovenia W42250%73.274.0-0.8
20 Finland W21150%79.086.5-7.5
21 Romania W42250%61.874.0-12.2
22 Ireland W41325%76.578.5-2.0
23 Switzerland W41325%67.873.0-5.2
24 North Macedonia W41325%68.896.8-28.0
25 Sweden W2020%71.086.5-15.5
26 Cyprus W4040%58.279.0-20.8
27 Bosnia & Herzegovina W4040%67.090.2-23.2
28 Iceland W3030%65.092.0-27.0
29 Norway W4040%45.876.5-30.8
30 Estonia W3030%55.389.3-34.0
31 Azerbaijan W4040%46.0115.8-69.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Netherlands W1518302487
Estonia W2020211677
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