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Colorado State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-59
29-28 38-31
Position#49
Record22-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#189
Record17-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Colorado State v Nevada
30 Dec 2025
COLO62
NEVA75
13 Mar 2025
COLO67
NEVA59
18 Feb 2025
COLO79
NEVA71
27 Feb 2024
COLO74
NEVA77
25 Jan 2022
COLO77
NEVA66
29 Jan 2020
COLO92
NEVA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A06/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
88-53
88
53
+35
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H19/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
93-66
93
66
+27
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
34-52
38-35
30-28
30-45
55-48
44-19
44-34
33-36
46-35
27-26
34-27
28-26
49-29
48-22
45-44
35-23
48-33
34-34
49-39
145.2Avg total
78.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.567.5143.0+7.971%
Season at home (17)80.265.4145.6+14.888%
Season away (14)69.770.1139.9-0.450%
Last 10 (10)78.267.0145.2+11.280%
Last 5 (5)79.460.6140.0+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.875.2150.1-0.458%
vs Weaker (17)75.962.3138.2+13.682%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
44-32
41-31
53-38
26-27
47-31
36-33
35-46
32-34
37-36
39-28
45-33
26-34
29-34
38-41
29-30
21-43
40-37
44-32
42-39
142.1Avg total
73.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.768.2140.9+4.653%
Season at home (21)75.466.6142.0+8.867%
Season away (11)67.671.2138.8-3.527%
Last 10 (10)73.468.7142.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)70.670.2140.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.471.0140.4-1.625%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.270.4138.6-2.230%
vs Weaker (12)78.065.1143.1+12.983%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: +4.5+4.5
Colorado StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#25
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
44-19
44
19
+25
H15/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H19/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A23/02
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/03
NCAA
64.9Avg total
34.8Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.964.9+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.629.667.2+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)30.132.362.4-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.830.164.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.426.260.6+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.934.967.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker (17)35.027.962.9+7.188%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A15/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.3Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.565.4+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.332.167.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (11)28.833.362.1-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.166.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)33.635.669.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.034.068.0+0.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.833.764.5-2.930%-
vs Weaker (12)34.030.564.5+3.558%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Colorado State wins
4
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ABoise State83-73
05/03/25HSan Jose State83-56
01/03/25HUtah State93-66
26/02/25AAir Force77-55
23/02/25AUNLV61-53
19/02/25HNevada79-71
15/02/25HWyoming88-53
12/02/25AUtah State85-93
09/02/25HSan Diego State68-63
06/02/25ANew Mexico65-87
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HFresno State86-71
09/03/25ASan Diego State61-80
05/03/25HNew Mexico67-71
01/03/25AUNLV55-68
26/02/25HWyoming84-61
22/02/25HBoise State69-70
19/02/25AColorado State71-79
15/02/25ASan Jose State73-58
11/02/25HFresno State94-69
05/02/25AAir Force74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %71%88%50%
Points / game75.580.269.7
Allowed / game67.565.470.1
Point differential+7.9+14.8-0.4
Avg total143.0145.6139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %53%67%27%
Points / game72.775.467.6
Allowed / game68.266.671.2
Point differential+4.6+8.8-3.5
Avg total140.9142.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%52%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)17% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico3226681%81.670.7+10.9
2 Utah State3125681%81.569.9+11.6
3 Grand Canyon3124777%79.068.8+10.2
4 Boise State3223972%75.665.9+9.7
5 Colorado State3122971%75.567.5+7.9
6 San Diego State3021970%70.963.6+7.2
7 UNLV32181456%69.668.1+1.5
8 Nevada32171553%72.768.2+4.6
9 San Jose State34151944%72.273.4-1.2
10 Wyoming32122038%67.271.2-4.0
11 Fresno State3262619%70.880.7-9.9
12 Air Force3242812%61.973.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State293867
Nevada283159
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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