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Nevada vs UC San Diego Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 76-70
35-27 41-43
Position#86
Record5-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game74.1
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#64
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game71.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v UC San Diego
02 Dec 2025
NEVA76
UC S70
14 Dec 2022
NEVA64
UC S56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC San Diego winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-50
77
50
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
42-39
28-29
31-38
34-18
43-32
40-40
38-37
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
32-28
45-36
28-34
38-49
38-37
43-28
149.5Avg total
76.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.474.1151.5+3.262%
Season at home (7)76.670.7147.3+5.971%
Season away (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)76.473.1149.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)75.677.0152.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.978.0147.9-8.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.170.6139.7-1.643%
vs Weaker (9)77.164.1141.2+13.089%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H15/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H16/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/03
NCAA
La Verne
#483
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H04/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A25/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-27
43-24
31-33
44-28
27-41
38-27
47-30
58-43
35-21
43-39
42-30
36-43
26-36
49-31
47-36
44-40
44-33
43-44
50-31
37-42
148.9Avg total
81.0Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.971.3157.1+14.6100%
Season at home (5)87.269.8157.0+17.4100%
Season away (2)82.575.0157.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.067.9148.9+13.190%
Last 5 (5)83.673.2156.8+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.073.2158.2+11.8100%
vs Weaker (25)79.761.7141.4+18.088%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +7.4+7.4
NevadaUC San Diego
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/11
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
34.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.865.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.332.066.3+2.350%-
Last 30 away (12)29.534.063.5-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.367.6+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.069.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.170.9-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.932.463.3-1.636%-
vs Weaker (9)33.730.063.7+3.756%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H15/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H16/03
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A21/03
NCAA
La Verne
#483
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H09/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/11
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H26/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.5Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.029.768.8+9.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.129.570.5+11.671%-
Last 30 away (13)36.430.166.5+6.377%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.869.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.275.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.834.075.8+7.875%-
vs Weaker (25)38.329.067.3+9.272%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevada wins
0
UC San Diego wins
DateGameScore
15/12/22Nevada v UC San Diego64-56
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65
27/11/25HWashington66-83
22/11/25HUC Santa Barbara77-64
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT
09/11/25HPacific78-77
05/11/25HLouisiana Tech77-50
14/03/25AColorado State59-67
12/03/25HFresno State86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HTowson87-73
25/11/25ABradley87-77
24/11/25HTemple91-76
15/11/25HIdaho75-67
13/11/25AFresno State78-73
09/11/25HHouston Christian78-60
04/11/25HLa Verne105-73
21/03/25AMichigan65-68
16/03/25HUC Irvine75-61
15/03/25HUC Santa Barbara69-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %62%71%0%
Points / game77.476.683.0
Allowed / game74.170.798.0
Point differential+3.2+5.9-15.0
Avg total151.5147.3181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %12%14%0%
UC San Diego
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.987.282.5
Allowed / game71.369.875.0
Point differential+14.6+17.4+7.5
Avg total157.1157.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State770100%88.967.3+21.6
2 Wyoming86275%85.169.8+15.4
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 New Mexico86275%80.268.8+11.5
5 Fresno State96367%77.368.3+9.0
6 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
7 Grand Canyon85362%73.666.5+7.1
8 Nevada85362%77.474.1+3.2
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State83538%72.071.8+0.2
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force93633%67.474.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego770100%85.971.3+14.6
2 Hawaii86275%82.165.2+16.9
3 UC Santa Barbara86275%80.471.6+8.8
4 UC Davis75271%78.171.3+6.9
5 UC Irvine95456%79.763.6+16.1
6 UC Riverside84450%75.072.4+2.6
7 CSU Bakersfield84450%72.276.4-4.1
8 Cal Poly94544%81.485.6-4.1
9 CS Northridge73443%75.080.6-5.6
10 CS Fullerton83538%88.187.6+0.5
11 Long Beach State82625%70.175.9-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada354176
UC San Diego274370
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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