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Nevada vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 64-69
33-28 31-41
Position#189
Record8-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#28
Record12-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nevada v Utah State
21 Feb 2026
NEVA80
UTAH77
31 Dec 2024
NEVA64
UTAH69
13 Jan 2023
NEVA85
UTAH70
29 Jan 2022
NEVA49
UTAH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H17/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-26
38-33
35-37
36-36
23-34
41-27
40-33
50-45
21-31
36-37
25-35
39-33
30-37
47-26
55-31
50-42
30-33
34-33
24-26
39-40
141.5Avg total
74.0Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.566.2141.8+9.362%
Season at home (11)77.766.1143.8+11.673%
Season away (2)63.567.0130.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)74.067.5141.5+6.550%
Last 5 (5)74.667.2141.8+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)74.560.0134.5+14.5100%
vs Similar (17)72.370.5142.8+1.853%
vs Weaker (11)79.667.5147.2+12.173%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-35
46-48
33-37
44-32
25-30
47-37
23-25
38-32
32-29
38-38
42-28
50-34
37-31
51-36
39-32
34-43
39-27
36-41
32-43
35-23
145.1Avg total
77.0Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.965.7149.6+18.292%
Season at home (8)92.465.9158.2+26.588%
Season away (5)70.465.4135.8+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.068.1145.1+8.990%
Last 5 (5)79.067.6146.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.090.5160.5-20.50%
vs Similar (12)72.672.9145.5-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.967.5152.3+17.4100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.5+5.5
NevadaUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#103
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H17/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A28/12
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.431.766.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.431.367.7+5.163%-
Last 30 away (11)30.932.363.2-1.445%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.365.3+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.832.465.2+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.030.065.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (17)33.133.166.2+0.047%-
vs Weaker (11)36.229.765.9+6.573%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana
#53
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A28/11
NCAA
North Texas
#36
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A29/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H08/12
NCAA
South Florida
#282
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A23/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.571.8+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.331.472.7+9.983%-
Last 30 away (12)33.836.770.5-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)35.131.766.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.270.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (12)34.435.770.1-1.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.931.471.3+8.573%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nevada wins
5
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
07/02/24Utah State v Nevada63-77
19/02/23Utah State v Nevada75-66
14/01/23Nevada v Utah State85-70
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
27/02/21Utah State v Nevada75-72
12/01/20Utah State v Nevada80-70
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24AWyoming63-66
21/12/24HColorado State64-66
15/12/24HTexas Southern105-73
12/12/24HSouth Dakota St.77-63
08/12/24ALoyola Marymount64-68
03/12/24HWashington State57-68
24/11/24HOklahoma State90-78
23/11/24HVCU Rams64-61
22/11/24HVanderbilt71-73
17/11/24HSanta Clara85-59
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ASan Diego State67-66
23/12/24ASt. Marys (CA)75-68
18/12/24HUC San Diego73-75
14/12/24HSouth Florida88-67
08/12/24HUtah Tech92-62
05/12/24HWyoming70-67
29/11/24ANorth Texas61-57
28/11/24ASt. Bonaventure72-67
23/11/24AIowa77-69
19/11/24HMontana95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %62%73%0%
Points / game75.577.763.5
Allowed / game66.266.167.0
Point differential+9.3+11.6-3.5
Avg total141.8143.8130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utah State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%88%100%
Points / game83.992.470.4
Allowed / game65.765.965.4
Point differential+18.2+26.5+5.0
Avg total149.6158.2135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%83.965.7+18.2
2 Boise State1411379%78.165.6+12.4
3 New Mexico1411379%87.475.9+11.5
4 San Diego State118373%74.463.5+10.8
5 Grand Canyon1410471%79.669.4+10.2
6 Nevada138562%75.566.2+9.3
7 UNLV138562%73.169.2+3.8
8 Colorado State148657%72.969.0+3.9
9 Wyoming148657%72.070.5+1.5
10 San Jose State157847%76.372.6+3.7
11 Fresno State1441029%73.681.8-8.1
12 Air Force1331023%65.170.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada333164
Utah State284169
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