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Utah State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-66
32-47 43-19
Position#41
Record20-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#74
Record20-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Utah State v Nevada
13 Mar 2026
UTAH79
NEVA66
14 Jan 2026
UTAH71
NEVA62
22 Jan 2025
UTAH90
NEVA69
06 Feb 2024
UTAH63
NEVA77
18 Feb 2023
UTAH75
NEVA66
11 Feb 2022
UTAH72
NEVA85
28 Feb 2021
UTAH87
NEVA66
26 Feb 2021
UTAH75
NEVA72
02 Feb 2021
UTAH v NEVA
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
UTAH80
NEVA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H18/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
70-53
70
53
+17
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
28-48
46-37
29-34
30-37
45-37
27-42
48-43
34-28
36-25
46-27
38-46
33-32
55-47
28-44
33-19
32-31
32-38
40-32
40-33
145.9Avg total
74.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.070.7149.8+8.374%
Season at home (16)81.168.7149.8+12.481%
Season away (11)76.173.7149.8+2.464%
Last 10 (10)74.271.7145.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)75.469.8145.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)69.970.1140.0-0.238%
vs Weaker (20)80.768.7149.4+12.085%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-15
35-25
27-44
38-30
37-42
48-28
36-42
26-35
43-38
35-40
33-35
29-33
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
34-32
43-34
142.2Avg total
73.9Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.766.5140.2+7.377%
Season at home (15)77.264.4141.6+12.8100%
Season away (11)69.069.3138.3-0.345%
Last 10 (10)73.968.3142.2+5.670%
Last 5 (5)72.665.6138.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.868.2139.0+2.640%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.570.3143.8+3.267%
vs Weaker (6)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.4+5.4
Utah StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#74
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A29/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H09/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.732.970.6+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.632.572.1+7.178%-
Last 30 away (12)34.933.468.3+1.558%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.770.5+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.269.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.535.571.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (20)38.131.469.5+6.775%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
W
32-15
32
15
+17
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
34.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.165.7+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.330.663.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)33.834.167.9-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.769.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.267.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.033.463.4-3.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.533.568.0+1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)32.229.361.5+2.867%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah State wins
2
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Nevada v Utah State85-70
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
27/02/21Utah State v Nevada75-72
12/01/20Utah State v Nevada80-70
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HAir Force80-65
12/02/23ASan Jose State64-69
09/02/23HSan Diego State61-63
05/02/23AColorado State88-79
02/02/23HNew Mexico84-73
29/01/23AFresno State70-53
26/01/23ASan Diego State75-85
21/01/23HSan Jose State75-74
18/01/23HUNLV75-71
14/01/23ANevada70-85
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HFresno State77-66
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
24/01/23HNew Mexico97-94 OT
18/01/23ABoise State62-77
14/01/23HUtah State85-70
11/01/23ASan Diego State65-74
07/01/23ASan Jose State67-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW74%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %74%81%64%
Points / game79.081.176.1
Allowed / game70.768.773.7
Point differential+8.3+12.4+2.4
Avg total149.8149.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %77%100%45%
Points / game73.777.269.0
Allowed / game66.564.469.3
Point differential+7.3+12.8-0.3
Avg total140.2141.6138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2621581%73.564.9+8.6
2 Boise State2620677%72.061.9+10.2
3 Nevada2620677%73.766.5+7.3
4 New Mexico2720774%81.172.1+9.0
5 Utah State2720774%79.070.7+8.3
6 UNLV26161062%75.569.2+6.3
7 Grand Canyon26161062%72.367.2+5.1
8 San Jose State27161159%68.467.3+1.1
9 Air Force28141450%67.567.0+0.4
10 Colorado State27121544%73.471.5+1.9
11 Fresno State2691735%61.264.4-3.2
12 Wyoming2681831%69.771.5-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State324375
Nevada471966
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