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Nevada vs Utah State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 85-70
37-42 48-28
Position#74
Record14-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game64.4
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Utah State
USA
Position#41
Record14-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v Utah State
21 Feb 2026
NEVA80
UTAH77
31 Dec 2024
NEVA64
UTAH69
13 Jan 2023
NEVA85
UTAH70
29 Jan 2022
NEVA49
UTAH78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
19-31
37-39
48-38
29-36
36-42
29-34
35-22
39-23
39-43
30-27
44-45
36-25
39-44
40-31
40-38
32-15
35-25
27-44
38-30
137.0Avg total
70.5Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.864.4137.2+8.478%
Season at home (10)75.261.8137.0+13.4100%
Season away (8)69.867.6137.4+2.150%
Last 10 (10)70.566.5137.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)72.264.8137.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.769.9137.6-2.227%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.167.8139.9+4.267%
vs Weaker (6)76.262.8139.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
79-67
79
67
+12
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
106-68
106
68
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
84-56
84
56
+28
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
43-28
43-31
63-37
43-29
29-46
36-24
48-32
32-40
42-37
42-29
40-44
33-26
34-28
44-28
33-37
30-45
29-37
40-26
43-37
146.3Avg total
78.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.970.2152.1+11.782%
Season at home (11)83.868.5152.3+15.482%
Season away (6)78.373.3151.7+5.083%
Last 10 (10)78.368.0146.3+10.370%
Last 5 (5)73.667.4141.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.068.6135.6-1.633%
vs Weaker (19)81.166.5147.6+14.684%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.1+4.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +4.1+4.1
NevadaUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#336
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H15/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-15
32
15
+17
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A11/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
33.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.231.463.7+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.630.262.8+2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)31.932.764.5-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)33.230.763.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.028.461.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.733.362.0-4.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.231.264.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (6)35.030.765.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A11/12
NCAA
Westminster UT
#513
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/12
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H22/12
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/12
NCAA
Washington State
#193
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A25/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H31/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H11/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
37.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.231.668.8+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.530.869.3+7.784%-
Last 30 away (11)34.833.167.9+1.755%-
Last 10 (10)37.931.769.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.868.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.040.089.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.334.368.7+0.056%-
vs Weaker (19)37.929.867.7+8.179%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevada wins
4
Utah State wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Utah State v Nevada72-85
30/01/22Nevada v Utah State49-78
01/03/21Utah State v Nevada87-66
27/02/21Utah State v Nevada75-72
12/01/20Utah State v Nevada80-70
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ASan Diego State65-74
07/01/23ASan Jose State67-40
05/01/23HColorado State80-69
31/12/22AAir Force75-69
29/12/22HBoise State74-72
21/12/22HNorfolk State78-66
15/12/22HUC San Diego64-56
11/12/22AOregon65-78
07/12/22APepperdine85-77
04/12/22ALoyola Marymount52-64
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HWyoming83-63
07/01/23ABoise State59-82
04/01/23AAir Force77-65
31/12/22HFresno State67-54
25/12/22AWashington State82-73
24/12/22HSMU Mustangs74-77
22/12/22HSeattle84-56
20/12/22HWeber State72-75
16/12/22HWestminster UT106-68
11/12/22ALoyola Marymount79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game72.875.269.8
Allowed / game64.461.867.6
Point differential+8.4+13.4+2.1
Avg total137.2137.0137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
Utah State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%82%83%
Points / game81.983.878.3
Allowed / game70.268.573.3
Point differential+11.7+15.4+5.0
Avg total152.1152.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1715288%82.669.8+12.8
2 Utah State1714382%81.970.2+11.7
3 San Diego State1613381%75.465.4+10.0
4 Nevada1814478%72.864.4+8.4
5 Boise State1713476%71.960.1+11.9
6 UNLV1612475%76.766.5+10.2
7 Grand Canyon1611569%69.661.2+8.4
8 San Jose State1812667%68.165.6+2.4
9 Air Force1710759%69.764.5+5.2
10 Colorado State189950%75.170.5+4.6
11 Fresno State1661038%61.363.7-2.4
12 Wyoming1651131%70.670.6+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada374885
Utah State422870
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