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New Mexico State vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-61
32-26 34-35
Position#285
Record5-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#217
Record8-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico State v California Baptist
30 Dec 2023
NEW 66
CALI61
07 Jan 2023
NEW 61
CALI70
03 Feb 2022
NEW 68
CALI57
06 Feb 2021
NEW 97
CALI70
05 Feb 2021
NEW 75
CALI85
05 Mar 2020
NEW 83
CALI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
54-81
54
81
-27
H22/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
62-106
62
106
-44
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
48-31
32-28
37-41
19-41
35-40
30-28
43-45
46-21
38-28
32-55
30-51
30-31
46-40
30-32
42-41
22-34
50-41
37-33
22-32
147.7Avg total
71.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.273.6144.9-2.436%
Season at home (8)75.064.8139.8+10.262%
Season away (6)66.285.5151.7-19.30%
Last 10 (10)71.576.2147.7-4.730%
Last 5 (5)68.278.0146.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)50.065.5115.5-15.510%
vs Similar (6)60.566.8127.3-6.317%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H18/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-29
29-37
36-31
30-31
26-26
41-32
36-21
33-38
42-34
49-32
26-41
43-31
31-36
24-40
37-29
33-40
28-42
42-31
31-28
43-34
135.7Avg total
69.4Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.765.5136.2+5.267%
Season at home (9)70.263.9134.1+6.367%
Season away (3)72.070.3142.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)69.466.3135.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)67.670.4138.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.066.2125.2-7.217%
vs Similar (15)71.969.3141.3+2.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)64.154.6118.7+9.686%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +2.1+2.1
New Mexico StateCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H19/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
19-41
19
41
-22
H22/11
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/12
NCAA
64.9Avg total
30.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.035.467.4-3.438%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.231.264.3+2.058%-
Last 30 away (12)30.839.670.4-8.817%-
Last 10 (10)30.634.364.9-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.237.067.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)30.240.170.3-9.913%-
vs Similar (5)32.227.860.0+4.480%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H18/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H20/11
NCAA
Vanguard Lions
#435
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A30/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H07/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A17/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H20/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H28/12
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.931.665.5+2.359%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.631.468.0+5.172%-
Last 30 away (11)29.631.861.5-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.764.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.265.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.533.359.8-6.833%-
vs Similar (15)36.532.569.1+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)29.828.758.5+1.250%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ATulsa59-65
20/12/23AStephen F. Austin72-75
16/12/23HNew Mexico72-73
13/12/23HNorthern New Mexico76-71
03/12/23ANew Mexico62-106
29/11/23HSouthwest Mustangs84-49
26/11/23ALouisville84-90 OT
22/11/23HSouthern Illinois54-81
22/11/23HFresno State76-81 OT
19/11/23HNorthern Colorado76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HChicago State74-62
20/12/23HWestern Kentucky70-73
17/12/23AUC Riverside70-69
13/12/23AOregon55-76
07/12/23HUtah Tech69-72
30/11/23ASouthern Utah91-66
26/11/23HVanguard Lions69-59
20/11/23HCal Poly67-58
19/11/23HSt. Thomas (Minn.)66-62
18/11/23HPortland State63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%62%0%
Points / game71.275.066.2
Allowed / game73.664.885.5
Point differential-2.4+10.2-19.3
Avg total144.9139.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %14%12%17%
California Baptist
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game70.770.272.0
Allowed / game65.563.970.3
Point differential+5.2+6.3+1.7
Avg total136.2134.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1411379%80.473.6+6.7
2 Liberty1410471%77.662.4+15.1
3 Missouri State139469%73.667.3+6.3
4 Louisiana Tech149564%75.464.2+11.2
5 Kennesaw State149564%85.578.0+7.5
6 UTEP138562%77.969.5+8.4
7 Delaware138562%77.271.4+5.8
8 Jacksonville State147750%70.162.1+8.1
9 Sam Houston St.146843%70.373.6-3.3
10 New Mexico State145936%71.273.6-2.4
11 Middle Tenn. St.145936%62.767.9-5.2
12 Florida International1551033%77.977.0+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton139469%70.963.2+7.7
2 California Baptist128467%70.765.5+5.2
3 UT Arlington126650%73.172.7+0.4
4 Utah Valley State136746%67.769.5-1.8
5 Utah Tech136746%71.476.4-5.0
6 Southern Utah135838%78.077.3+0.7
7 Abilene Christian135838%76.476.0+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State323466
California Baptist263561
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