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New Mexico State vs Florida International Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 31 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#45
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico State v Florida International
31 Dec 2026
NEW v FLOR
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NEW 78
FLOR81
15 Feb 2025
NEW 76
FLOR48
09 Mar 2024
NEW 77
FLOR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Florida International win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#279
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#156
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (Florida International) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida InternationalUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H10/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#424
W
101-58
101
58
+43
H03/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#252
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#254
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
40-39
29-22
41-45
31-50
36-50
41-40
43-36
34-33
33-40
45-33
47-34
36-31
36-44
52-18
49-40
43-29
42-46
50-41
39-39
157.7Avg total
81.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.771.0162.7+20.7100%
Season at home (2)93.066.5159.5+26.5100%
Season away (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.676.1157.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)87.871.0158.8+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.091.7171.7-11.70%
vs Similar (18)78.973.8152.8+5.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.370.5158.8+17.867%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -0.7-0.7
New Mexico StateFlorida International
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#279
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#156
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (Florida International) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida InternationalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#424
W
52-18
52
18
+34
H03/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#252
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#254
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A14/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
40.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.774.0+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.431.671.0+7.983%-
Last 30 away (12)38.939.578.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.873.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)45.230.475.6+14.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.842.781.5-3.833%-
vs Similar (18)37.632.570.1+5.183%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.733.578.2+11.267%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AFlorida Gulf Coast89-80
06/11/26HWest Florida Argonauts85-75
03/11/26HNew College (FL)101-58
10/03/26HMissouri State72-75
07/03/26HWestern Kentucky92-67
06/03/26HMiddle Tenn. St.67-73
28/02/26ALouisiana Tech84-76
27/02/26ASam Houston St.67-100
21/02/26HMissouri State70-67
19/02/26ALiberty89-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida International
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.793.089.0
Allowed / game71.066.580.0
Point differential+20.7+26.5+9.0
Avg total162.7159.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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