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New Mexico State vs Kennesaw State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#295
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#13
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico State v Kennesaw State
16 Jan 2027
NEW v KENN
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
NEW 79
KENN76
23 Jan 2025
NEW 56
KENN69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kennesaw State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#276
L
68-109
68
109
-41
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-25
32-38
26-48
44-45
42-36
34-40
24-33
44-35
37-33
42-43
39-28
29-35
26-37
35-32
26-31
47-35
42-47
26-62
28-28
30-32
146.6Avg total
70.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)66.378.3144.7-12.033%
Season at home (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Season away (2)63.084.5147.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)70.676.0146.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)65.673.4139.0-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.078.4148.4-8.414%
vs Similar (15)73.676.2149.8-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)77.071.7148.7+5.350%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A13/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A15/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Midway
#484
W
116-57
116
57
+59
H03/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#199
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#348
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#514
W
107-54
107
54
+53
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-35
46-43
33-37
43-42
46-41
50-46
31-37
48-36
35-32
36-28
27-33
37-40
58-23
58-34
29-34
42-35
32-33
56-46
53-28
54-26
154.8Avg total
83.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.564.8160.2+30.8100%
Season at home (4)95.564.8160.2+30.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.970.9154.8+13.070%
Last 5 (5)89.266.4155.6+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.073.0137.0-9.00%
vs Similar (16)76.674.8151.3+1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.774.1161.8+13.669%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +9.4+9.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -2.1-2.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: +9.4+9.4
New Mexico StateKennesaw State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A27/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/03
NCAA
Western N. M.
#353
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H04/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#276
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A07/11
NCAA
UTEP
#161
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A13/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.768.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.231.365.5+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.137.871.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.667.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.137.971.0-4.729%-
vs Similar (15)33.636.369.9-2.733%-
vs Weaker (6)35.230.765.8+4.567%-
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kennesaw StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A06/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A20/03
NCAA
Midway
#484
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#199
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#348
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H11/11
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#514
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H13/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
36.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.674.0+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.233.376.5+9.967%-
Last 30 away (15)33.637.971.5-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.933.370.2+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.830.270.0+9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.033.060.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (16)36.137.473.6-1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.133.575.6+8.554%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
3
Kennesaw State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUTEP58-60
07/11/26AGonzaga68-109
04/11/26HWestern N. M.73-66
12/03/26ASam Houston St.61-69
11/03/26AJacksonville State68-63
07/03/26HKennesaw State79-76
06/03/26HJacksonville State77-75 OT
28/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.85-86 OT
27/02/26AWestern Kentucky70-93
22/02/26HUTEP67-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HHannibal-LaGrange107-54
11/11/26HWinthrop88-79
07/11/26HAustin Peay71-69
03/11/26HMidway116-57
20/03/26AGonzaga64-73
15/03/26ALouisiana Tech71-60
13/03/26ASam Houston St.79-73
13/03/26AWestern Kentucky96-87
07/03/26ANew Mexico State76-79
06/03/26AUTEP71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game66.373.063.0
Allowed / game78.366.084.5
Point differential-12.0+7.0-21.5
Avg total144.7139.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kennesaw State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.595.5-
Allowed / game64.864.8-
Point differential+30.8+30.8-
Avg total160.2160.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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