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Jacksonville State vs New Mexico State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-79
29-32 41-47
Position#228
Record13-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#178
Record12-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jacksonville State v New Mexico State
10 Mar 2026
JACK63
NEW 68
14 Feb 2026
JACK70
NEW 79
20 Feb 2025
JACK52
NEW 61
02 Mar 2024
JACK64
NEW 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
40-39
43-46
39-42
22-34
40-43
34-27
30-33
39-34
36-24
24-32
54-42
31-39
36-35
33-28
38-38
37-22
40-36
33-33
31-36
139.9Avg total
71.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.866.4139.1+6.454%
Season at home (15)73.061.5134.5+11.560%
Season away (9)72.374.4146.8-2.144%
Last 10 (10)71.168.8139.9+2.360%
Last 5 (5)71.468.2139.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.770.0133.7-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.469.6140.1+0.853%
vs Weaker (8)78.162.9141.0+15.250%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A17/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
75-84
75
84
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
53-76
53
76
-23
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A05/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
26-30
29-46
42-27
49-30
48-38
31-33
44-51
31-40
47-41
24-34
40-39
24-43
29-33
31-32
41-31
39-32
33-40
32-30
43-47
147.3Avg total
72.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.871.1146.9+4.750%
Season at home (14)77.168.6145.6+8.557%
Season away (10)74.074.6148.6-0.640%
Last 10 (10)72.874.5147.3-1.720%
Last 5 (5)70.476.0146.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.770.7143.3+2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.870.3141.1+0.547%
vs Weaker (7)76.971.6148.4+5.343%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +1.6+1.6
Jacksonville StateNew Mexico State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H15/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H08/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
32.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.130.864.9+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.628.262.7+6.472%-
Last 30 away (12)33.434.868.2-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)32.732.064.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.862.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.335.363.7-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)33.531.264.6+2.353%-
vs Weaker (8)36.529.165.6+7.462%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A15/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H23/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A31/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H12/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.466.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.930.165.0+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)33.135.068.1-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.934.966.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.264.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.533.364.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.032.765.7+0.340%-
vs Weaker (7)34.732.667.3+2.157%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jacksonville State wins
3
New Mexico State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HUTEP64-69
08/02/26HKennesaw State77-58
06/02/26AWestern Kentucky71-66
31/01/26AMissouri State67-74
29/01/26AFlorida International78-74
24/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.75-58
17/01/26HLouisiana Tech64-60
15/01/26HSam Houston St.62-77
10/01/26AKennesaw State82-88
08/01/26HFlorida International71-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HLiberty75-77
08/02/26AUTEP88-91 OT
05/02/26ALouisiana Tech72-63
31/01/26AKennesaw State53-76
29/01/26HDelaware64-73
24/01/26HFlorida International78-81
23/01/26HMissouri State75-84
17/01/26ADelaware97-68
15/01/26ALiberty71-73
11/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.55-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL54%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %54%60%44%
Points / game72.873.072.3
Allowed / game66.461.574.4
Point differential+6.4+11.5-2.1
Avg total139.1134.5146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLLLLL57%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%57%40%
Points / game75.877.174.0
Allowed / game71.168.674.6
Point differential+4.7+8.5-0.6
Avg total146.9145.6148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2522388%78.967.7+11.2
2 Sam Houston St.2416867%83.073.8+9.2
3 Kennesaw State24141058%85.476.6+8.8
4 Louisiana Tech25141156%69.264.5+4.7
5 Jacksonville State24131154%72.866.4+6.4
6 Western Kentucky24131154%77.374.4+2.9
7 Missouri State25131252%75.173.0+2.2
8 New Mexico State24121250%75.871.1+4.7
9 Middle Tenn. St.24121250%75.272.5+2.7
10 Florida International25121348%81.677.8+3.8
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2591636%66.971.8-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State294170
New Mexico State324779
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