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New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 72-70
27-37 45-33
Position#285
Record7-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#84
Record13-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico State v Western Kentucky
08 Jan 2026
NEW 80
WEST64
01 Mar 2025
NEW 65
WEST47
18 Jan 2024
NEW 72
WEST70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
62-106
62
106
-44
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
43-45
46-21
38-28
32-55
30-51
30-31
46-40
30-32
42-41
22-34
50-41
37-33
22-32
32-26
34-35
28-22
35-31
30-38
37-39
142.5Avg total
70.5Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.271.9142.1-1.741%
Season at home (10)72.963.2136.1+9.770%
Season away (7)66.384.3150.6-18.00%
Last 10 (10)70.572.0142.5-1.540%
Last 5 (5)65.466.2131.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)50.464.2114.6-13.820%
vs Similar (6)60.768.2128.8-7.517%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville
#449
W
101-77
101
77
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H03/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A09/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A13/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H16/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H30/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
52-33
49-44
36-43
43-26
44-23
38-42
40-43
51-41
35-28
30-36
42-28
31-42
44-47
42-37
34-33
36-35
30-36
44-42
35-43
45-26
152.9Avg total
80.1Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.473.3152.6+6.176%
Season at home (10)81.073.2154.2+7.880%
Season away (7)77.073.4150.4+3.671%
Last 10 (10)80.172.8152.9+7.390%
Last 5 (5)76.673.8150.4+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.871.0122.8-19.20%
vs Similar (16)74.872.6147.4+2.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.175.6155.8+4.575%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +3.8+3.8
New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#534
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H29/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.935.568.5-2.646%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.730.464.1+3.369%-
Last 30 away (11)32.041.673.6-9.618%-
Last 10 (10)31.732.063.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)29.830.660.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.339.470.7-8.127%-
vs Similar (5)33.430.664.0+2.880%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbellsville
#449
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A09/12
NCAA
Wright State
#160
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H16/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
39.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.770.7+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.036.175.1+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)32.733.165.8-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.774.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.474.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.234.058.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (16)35.135.370.4-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.934.476.2+7.575%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Western Kentucky wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AFlorida International67-77
05/01/24HUTEP63-53
31/12/23HCalifornia Baptist66-61
23/12/23ATulsa59-65
20/12/23AStephen F. Austin72-75
16/12/23HNew Mexico72-73
13/12/23HNorthern New Mexico76-71
03/12/23ANew Mexico62-106
29/11/23HSouthwest Mustangs84-49
26/11/23ALouisville84-90 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HJacksonville State80-69
11/01/24ASam Houston St.74-78
06/01/24HLiberty70-68
30/12/23HAbilene Christian86-84
20/12/23ACalifornia Baptist73-70
16/12/23HAustin Peay65-64
13/12/23AWright State91-84
09/12/23ABuffalo82-65
03/12/23HEastern Kentucky79-69
30/11/23HCampbellsville101-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%70%0%
Points / game70.272.966.3
Allowed / game71.963.284.3
Point differential-1.7+9.7-18.0
Avg total142.1136.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%10%14%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %76%80%71%
Points / game79.481.077.0
Allowed / game73.373.273.4
Point differential+6.1+7.8+3.6
Avg total152.6154.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky1713476%79.473.3+6.1
2 Louisiana Tech1812667%76.164.6+11.4
3 Kennesaw State1812667%84.377.7+6.7
4 Liberty1912763%76.263.2+13.0
5 Delaware1811761%76.070.3+5.7
6 Jacksonville State1810856%71.662.8+8.8
7 Missouri State1810856%70.769.7+1.0
8 Sam Houston St.1810856%72.071.4+0.6
9 UTEP179853%74.669.5+5.2
10 New Mexico State1771041%70.271.9-1.7
11 Florida International1971237%76.375.7+0.6
12 Middle Tenn. St.1761135%62.665.8-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State274572
Western Kentucky373370
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