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New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 80-64
46-28 34-36
Position#178
Record9-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#151
Record9-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Mexico State v Western Kentucky
08 Jan 2026
NEW 80
WEST64
01 Mar 2025
NEW 65
WEST47
18 Jan 2024
NEW 72
WEST70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
104-33
104
33
+71
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
41-40
26-20
31-25
37-28
40-30
32-36
45-39
27-35
42-42
27-49
43-34
48-28
39-50
52-17
52-16
39-44
35-45
41-53
41-36
147.7Avg total
77.8Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.869.0146.8+8.869%
Season at home (8)81.565.2146.8+16.288%
Season away (5)71.875.0146.8-3.240%
Last 10 (10)77.869.9147.7+7.960%
Last 5 (5)83.474.4157.8+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.367.7135.0-0.350%
vs Similar ◀ (16)68.968.4137.3+0.650%
vs Weaker (6)70.761.5132.2+9.267%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
91-97 OT
91
97
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
43-43
50-40
34-44
33-29
42-41
36-32
44-47
28-29
33-48
54-28
48-31
37-30
44-52
22-38
45-40
42-49
60-42
37-25
29-36
158.0Avg total
80.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.176.8159.9+6.464%
Season at home (10)85.874.4160.2+11.480%
Season away (4)76.582.8159.2-6.225%
Last 10 (10)80.377.7158.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.674.2157.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.081.5157.5-5.527%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.171.4144.4+1.757%
vs Weaker (4)86.573.8160.2+12.8100%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H13/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Southwest Mustangs
#706
W
52-17
52
17
+35
H28/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A04/01
NCAA
71.1Avg total
36.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.730.163.8+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.527.962.5+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)32.932.265.1+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.271.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.330.361.7+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)33.230.263.4+3.156%-
vs Weaker (6)32.730.763.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#37
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H26/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A27/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.4Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.368.6+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.933.570.4+3.574%-
Last 30 away (11)32.533.065.5-0.555%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.071.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.736.270.9-1.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.332.265.5+1.164%-
vs Weaker (4)39.530.570.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico State wins
3
Western Kentucky wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AMissouri State82-89
02/01/26AFlorida International74-89
28/12/25HSouthwest Mustangs104-33
21/12/25HSam Houston St.87-78
13/12/25HTulsa70-83
06/12/25AAbilene Christian69-77
03/12/25ASouth Alabama77-75
26/11/25HGeorgia State77-58
26/11/25AUC Irvine57-45
22/11/25HSamford81-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HLouisiana Tech66-61
02/01/26HSam Houston St.102-91
30/12/25AJacksonville State67-78
20/12/25HTulsa81-82
16/12/25HCampbellsville102-59
11/12/25AMarshall61-77
06/12/25HEvansville80-79
29/11/25HWichita State75-70
27/11/25ASouth Florida91-97 OT
26/11/25HVanderbilt78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL69%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%88%40%
Points / game77.881.571.8
Allowed / game69.065.275.0
Point differential+8.8+16.2-3.2
Avg total146.8146.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%80%25%
Points / game83.185.876.5
Allowed / game76.874.482.8
Point differential+6.4+11.4-6.2
Avg total159.9160.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %7%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1512380%80.767.3+13.3
2 New Mexico State139469%77.869.0+8.8
3 Middle Tenn. St.149564%76.769.4+7.3
4 Western Kentucky149564%83.176.8+6.4
5 Kennesaw State159660%89.076.1+12.9
6 Sam Houston St.159660%85.875.1+10.7
7 Florida International159660%85.777.7+8.1
8 Missouri State159660%75.270.9+4.3
9 Jacksonville State158753%73.764.6+9.1
10 Louisiana Tech158753%68.659.9+8.7
11 Delaware1551033%65.770.8-5.1
12 UTEP1441029%69.972.4-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State463480
Western Kentucky283664
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