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New Mexico vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 82-81 (OT)
34-37 36-33 12-11
Position#25
Record11-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game75.9
New Mexico 🏆
USA
vs
Nevada
USA
Position#189
Record8-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Mexico v Nevada
05 Jan 2027
NEW v NEVA
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NEW 80
NEVA73
03 Jan 2025
NEW 82
NEVA81
28 Jan 2024
NEW 89
NEVA55
07 Feb 2023
NEW 76
NEVA77
02 Jan 2021
NEW 74
NEVA84
31 Dec 2020
NEW 54
NEVA68
18 Feb 2020
NEW 74
NEVA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
83-89 OT
83
89
-6
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
122-70
122
70
+52
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
103-89
103
89
+14
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-26
50-32
38-31
61-37
37-34
45-51
39-30
44-43
39-38
44-39
38-47
35-26
60-37
62-33
37-30
41-41
41-25
35-43
53-36
50-53
163.7Avg total
88.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.475.9163.2+11.579%
Season at home (9)91.074.6165.6+16.489%
Season away (5)80.878.2159.0+2.660%
Last 10 (10)88.974.8163.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)92.477.4169.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (14)77.873.7151.5+4.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.974.3160.2+11.567%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
36-36
23-34
41-27
40-33
50-45
21-31
36-37
25-35
39-33
30-37
47-26
55-31
50-42
30-33
34-33
24-26
39-40
33-28
31-41
140.4Avg total
71.9Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.766.4141.1+8.357%
Season at home (12)76.666.3142.9+10.267%
Season away (2)63.567.0130.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)71.968.5140.4+3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.667.4142.0+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.063.0134.0+8.067%
vs Similar (16)73.170.4143.6+2.756%
vs Weaker (11)79.667.5147.2+12.173%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +4.3+4.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +4.3+4.3
New MexicoNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A29/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H30/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/12
NCAA
Western N. M.
#547
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H15/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A28/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A01/01
NCAA
74.6Avg total
41.2Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.472.4+5.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.933.373.2+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)37.733.571.2+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.233.474.6+7.890%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.080.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.030.067.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (14)37.132.469.5+4.864%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.834.675.4+6.280%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vanderbilt
#121
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H22/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#18
L
23-34
23
34
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A08/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H12/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H15/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A28/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.731.366.0+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.231.167.3+5.165%-
Last 30 away (10)31.631.763.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.564.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.065.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.329.363.7+5.067%-
vs Similar (16)33.732.866.5+0.950%-
vs Weaker (11)36.229.765.9+6.573%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Mexico wins
8
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Nevada v New Mexico82-83
29/01/24New Mexico v Nevada89-55
08/02/23New Mexico v Nevada76-77
24/01/23Nevada v New Mexico97-94 OT
09/03/22Nevada v New Mexico79-72
02/01/22Nevada v New Mexico79-70
03/01/21New Mexico v Nevada74-84
01/01/21New Mexico v Nevada54-68
19/02/20New Mexico v Nevada74-88
26/01/20Nevada v New Mexico96-74
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AFresno State103-89
28/12/24AColorado State76-68
19/12/24HVCU Rams78-71
15/12/24HWestern N. M.122-70
08/12/24HNew Mexico State83-89 OT
05/12/24HSan Jose State83-77
30/11/24HUSC83-73
29/11/24AArizona State82-85
25/11/24HTexas Southern99-68
22/11/24HGrambling St.80-58
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HUtah State64-69
28/12/24AWyoming63-66
21/12/24HColorado State64-66
15/12/24HTexas Southern105-73
12/12/24HSouth Dakota St.77-63
08/12/24ALoyola Marymount64-68
03/12/24HWashington State57-68
24/11/24HOklahoma State90-78
23/11/24HVCU Rams64-61
22/11/24HVanderbilt71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%89%60%
Points / game87.491.080.8
Allowed / game75.974.678.2
Point differential+11.5+16.4+2.6
Avg total163.2165.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeLWWLL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14122
Win %57%67%0%
Points / game74.776.663.5
Allowed / game66.466.367.0
Point differential+8.3+10.2-3.5
Avg total141.1142.9130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1413193%82.965.6+17.3
2 Boise State1411379%78.165.6+12.4
3 New Mexico1411379%87.475.9+11.5
4 San Diego State118373%74.463.5+10.8
5 Grand Canyon1410471%79.669.4+10.2
6 UNLV138562%73.169.2+3.8
7 Nevada148657%74.766.4+8.3
8 Colorado State148657%72.969.0+3.9
9 Wyoming148657%72.070.5+1.5
10 San Jose State157847%76.372.6+3.7
11 Fresno State1441029%73.681.8-8.1
12 Air Force1331023%65.170.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
New Mexico34361282
Nevada37331181
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