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New Mexico vs Nevada Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#93
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#210
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Mexico v Nevada
05 Jan 2027
NEW v NEVA
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
NEW 80
NEVA73
03 Jan 2025
NEW 82
NEVA81
28 Jan 2024
NEW 89
NEVA55
07 Feb 2023
NEW 76
NEVA77
02 Jan 2021
NEW 74
NEVA84
31 Dec 2020
NEW 54
NEVA68
18 Feb 2020
NEW 74
NEVA88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-44
36-37
45-39
25-40
49-42
43-42
47-52
43-36
50-41
33-37
29-27
38-33
62-27
46-30
48-35
47-34
47-35
33-51
52-39
157.7Avg total
83.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.271.0164.2+22.275%
Season at home (3)96.064.7160.7+31.3100%
Season away (1)85.090.0175.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.374.4157.7+8.950%
Last 5 (5)87.069.6156.6+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)79.375.6154.9+3.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.468.5152.9+15.976%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
28-34
43-39
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +4.7+4.7
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +0.4+0.41st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +8.5+8.52nd half: +4.7+4.7
New MexicoNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.471.1+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.570.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.238.076.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.531.469.0+6.171%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.465.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.828.663.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.166.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.634.565.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
New Mexico wins
5
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
25/02/26Nevada v New Mexico67-60
25/01/26New Mexico v Nevada80-73
05/03/25Nevada v New Mexico67-71
04/01/25New Mexico v Nevada82-81 OT
14/02/24Nevada v New Mexico82-83
29/01/24New Mexico v Nevada89-55
08/02/23New Mexico v Nevada76-77
24/01/23Nevada v New Mexico97-94 OT
09/03/22Nevada v New Mexico79-72
02/01/22Nevada v New Mexico79-70
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASanta Clara85-90
11/11/26HUALR94-69
07/11/26HNorthern Arizona94-65
03/11/26HUtah Tech100-60
14/03/26ASan Diego State62-64
13/03/26HSan Jose State93-77
07/03/26AUtah State90-94
05/03/26HColorado State74-82
28/02/26HSan Diego State81-76
25/02/26ANevada60-67
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.296.085.0
Allowed / game71.064.790.0
Point differential+22.2+31.3-5.0
Avg total164.2160.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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