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New Orleans vs UTRGV Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#171
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#212
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Orleans v UTRGV
05 Dec 2026
NEW v UTRG
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
NEW 76
UTRG95
04 Jan 2025
NEW 64
UTRG76
14 Mar 2018
NEW 77
UTRG74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Orleans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UTRGV win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New OrleansUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A24/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H28/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H03/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
73-60
73
60
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A09/03
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
57-100
57
100
-43
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#394
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#371
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
39-36
32-29
45-42
31-23
46-50
29-39
34-27
32-40
46-42
34-33
39-27
30-37
31-37
17-53
40-47
42-31
48-34
42-39
56-43
148.9Avg total
75.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.782.3164.0-0.767%
Season at home (2)94.073.5167.5+20.5100%
Season away (1)57.0100.0157.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)75.273.7148.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)75.876.2152.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.482.1150.5-13.725%
vs Similar (16)77.674.5152.1+3.162%
vs Weaker (1)98.082.0180.0+16.0100%
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-26
50-49
22-34
46-41
24-34
39-21
39-30
35-32
44-32
42-36
23-31
35-27
42-19
39-32
30-29
38-34
28-30
37-42
24-45
53-40
144.8Avg total
75.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.867.8140.5+5.050%
Season at home (3)71.362.0133.3+9.367%
Season away (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.076.3147.3-5.317%
vs Similar (4)59.056.5115.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)79.167.8146.9+11.279%
This opponent (New Orleans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +6.0+6.0
New OrleansUTRGV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New OrleansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#287
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A17/02
NCAA
Lamar
#286
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A24/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H03/03
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A09/03
NCAA
LSU
#13
L
17-53
17
53
-36
A04/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#394
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#371
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
32.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.835.870.6-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.936.573.4+0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)33.035.168.1-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.268.0-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.671.6-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.838.168.9-7.325%-
vs Similar (16)36.934.171.1+2.869%-
vs Weaker (1)42.039.081.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (UTRGV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTRGVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#343
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A21/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A24/02
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H10/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A11/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-Kingsville
#419
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H03/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#266
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H07/11
NCAA
Texas State
#27
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H11/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#82
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A15/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.230.265.5+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.828.763.6+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)35.832.568.3+3.358%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.063.2+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)29.430.860.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.032.559.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)27.525.553.0+2.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.131.170.2+8.079%-
This opponent (New Orleans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Orleans wins
3
UTRGV wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26New Orleans v UTRGV76-95
30/12/25UTRGV v New Orleans69-85
01/03/25UTRGV v New Orleans88-78
04/01/25New Orleans v UTRGV64-76
15/03/18New Orleans v UTRGV77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouthern-New O.98-82
07/11/26HLoyola NO90-65
04/11/26ALSU57-100
09/03/26ATexas A&M-CC61-74
08/03/26HHouston Christian73-60
03/03/26HSE Louisiana78-82
28/02/26HMcNeese State63-66
24/02/26AStephen F. Austin77-73
22/02/26ALamar77-71
17/02/26AIncarnate Word78-64
UTRGVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUT Arlington77-85
11/11/26HTexas State65-72
07/11/26HPrairie View A&M68-63
03/11/26HTexas A&M-Kingsville81-51
11/03/26AMcNeese State80-84 OT
10/03/26HNicholls State86-68
03/03/26HNorthwestern St.74-62
28/02/26HEast Texas A&M63-55
24/02/26AMcNeese State68-75
21/02/26ASE Louisiana96-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Orleans
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.794.057.0
Allowed / game82.373.5100.0
Point differential-0.7+20.5-43.0
Avg total164.0167.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTRGV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.871.377.0
Allowed / game67.862.085.0
Point differential+5.0+9.3-8.0
Avg total140.5133.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Christian440100%94.265.2+29.0
2 Stephen F. Austin43175%90.861.2+29.5
3 Lamar32167%109.067.3+41.7
4 McNeese State32167%100.380.7+19.7
5 New Orleans32167%81.782.3-0.7
6 Nicholls State42250%76.867.8+9.0
7 UTRGV42250%72.867.8+5.0
8 Texas A&M-CC42250%71.067.2+3.8
9 SE Louisiana31233%64.387.3-23.0
10 Northwestern St.51420%68.079.0-11.0
11 Incarnate Word4040%60.879.2-18.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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