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New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 25 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game106.9
Allowed / game116.0
vs
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Madison Square Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · New York Knicks v San Antonio Spurs
25 Dec 2026
NYK v SAS
upcoming
10 Jun 2026
NYK107
SAS106
08 Jun 2026
NYK111
SAS115
01 Mar 2026
NYK114
SAS89
25 Dec 2024
NYK117
SAS114
08 Nov 2023
NYK126
SAS105
04 Jan 2023
NYK117
SAS114
10 Jan 2022
NYK111
SAS96
13 May 2021
NYK102
SAS98
23 Nov 2019
NYK104
SAS111
24 Feb 2019
NYK130
SAS118
02 Jan 2018
NYK91
SAS100
12 Feb 2017
NYK94
SAS90
02 Nov 2015
NYK84
SAS94
17 Mar 2015
NYK104
SAS100
10 Nov 2013
NYK89
SAS120
03 Jan 2013
NYK100
SAS83
04 Jan 2011
NYK128
SAS115
27 Dec 2009
NYK88
SAS95
17 Feb 2009
NYK112
SAS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New York Knicks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New York KnicksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
97-120
97
120
-23
A05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
L
109-111
109
111
-2
H08/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
104-122
104
122
-18
H12/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
98-148
98
148
-50
A13/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
122-120
122
120
+2
H15/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H20/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
L
102-111
102
111
-9
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
111-97
111
97
+14
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
133-127
133
127
+6
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
26-39
21-21
18-27
29-30
34-27
21-24
25-30
25-30
25-32
30-28
24-32
22-42
25-44
31-30
20-32
35-32
28-26
24-21
35-41
25-23
33-31
18-29
24-23
28-21
24-27
23-23
27-40
25-38
26-12
37-13
23-34
34-33
22-29
34-34
43-31
21-29
23-24
24-24
25-21
222.9Avg total
106.9Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)106.9116.0222.9-9.130%
Season at home (6)108.0111.2219.2-3.233%
Season away (4)105.2123.2228.5-18.025%
Last 10 (10)106.9116.0222.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)107.8107.8215.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)104.0114.8218.8-10.822%
vs Similar (7)107.3106.7214.0+0.671%
vs Weaker (14)119.9100.6220.5+19.486%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
122-106
122
106
+16
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-20
30-42
26-31
21-30
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
224.9Avg total
115.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Season at home (6)118.2109.3227.5+8.850%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6110.0226.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (12)108.2107.1215.3+1.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)117.5105.6223.1+11.965%
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
New York KnicksSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New York KnicksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A05/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#11
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H08/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H12/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
47-86
47
86
-39
A13/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H15/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H20/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H25/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H28/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A29/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#9
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A30/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
54.2Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.255.3112.5+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.955.4112.2+1.569%-
Last 30 away (14)57.655.1112.7+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.260.2114.4-6.050%-
Last 5 (5)52.253.4105.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)54.060.0114.0-6.056%-
vs Similar (7)50.657.3107.9-6.729%-
vs Weaker (14)62.651.2113.8+11.479%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#16
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#20
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
61.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.453.4110.8+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.649.4106.9+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)57.358.0115.3-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.9118.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.0119.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (12)54.952.6107.5+2.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)59.153.5112.6+5.653%-
This opponent (New York Knicks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New York Knickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New York Knicks: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.825.4
49.0%
54.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.611.5
30.6%
34.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws27.220.2
74.3%
76.4%20.2
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.3
51.3%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.1
33.7%
34.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
76.4%19.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New York Knicks
LWWLLWLLLL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLLWWLLL
#27
League position
#14
-7.8
Net rating
+2.7
99.2
Offensive rating
99.4
107.0
Defensive rating
96.7
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
33.7%
65.9%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 99.4Defence107.0 · 96.7Shooting47.7% · 50.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 20.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ New York Knicks   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers93-98
29/10/26AChicago Bulls133-127
28/10/26HDetroit Pistons111-97
25/10/26HOrlando Magic102-111
20/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-106
15/10/26HToronto Raptors122-120
13/10/26AToronto Raptors98-148
12/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves104-122
08/10/26HWashington Wizards109-111
05/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers97-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
09/10/26HAtlanta Hawks116-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New York Knicks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game106.9108.0105.2
Allowed / game116.0111.2123.2
Point differential-9.1-3.2-18.0
Avg total222.9219.2228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game115.5118.2111.5
Allowed / game109.4109.3109.5
Point differential+6.1+8.8+2.0
Avg total224.9227.5221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
2 Boston Celtics87188%125.5110.9+14.6
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Orlando Magic85362%118.9118.1+0.8
7 Atlanta Hawks106460%120.0119.2+0.8
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Washington Wizards95456%112.7111.2+1.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves116555%119.2114.2+5.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
17 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
18 Toronto Raptors94544%120.4112.6+7.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
20 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
21 Dallas Mavericks94544%113.6116.9-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets94544%98.8105.8-7.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Indiana Pacers93633%119.3119.0+0.3
26 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
27 New York Knicks103730%106.9116.0-9.1
28 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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