New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Oct 2016

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 76-71

17-16 23-15 8-21 28-19

Position#5

Record-

FormWWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

New Zealand Breakers 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#6

Record-

FormWLLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBL

Other2016-17

Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

77-74

H29/01

NBL

Adelaide

106-84

106

+22

A03/02

NBL

Cairns

85-74

+11

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

100-63

100

+37

H12/02

NBL

Melbourne United

70-68

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-82

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

91-78

+13

H20/02

NBL

Perth

76-82

-6

A02/03

NBL

Perth

72-68

H04/03

NBL

Perth

52-75

-23

A06/03

NBL

22-22

16-14

14-16

25-22

28-17

28-19

23-20

27-28

21-28

23-17

16-14

25-15

22-16

31-18

23-13

24-16

17-16

20-18

17-18

16-16

27-16

11-25

24-17

29-24

23-17

18-29

17-11

33-21

14-24

24-21

23-18

15-19

16-17

21-14

19-19

16-18

18-22

12-20

8-15

14-18

156.8Avg total

82.0Scored

74.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.0	74.8	156.8	+7.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	77.0	153.4	-0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	84.1	81.8	165.9	+2.3	53%
vs Weaker (11)	82.4	76.8	159.2	+5.5	73%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

97-96

H07/01

NBL

Cairns

83-65

+18

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

98-68

+30

H15/01

NBL

Adelaide

81-90

-9

A22/01

NBL

Perth

91-85 OT

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

80-73

A04/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

63-100

100

-37

A12/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

68-70

-2

H14/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

82-91

-9

H18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

78-91

-13

A20/02

NBL

19-23

24-23

36-23

18-27

19-16

24-15

24-17

16-17

24-18

25-15

26-11

23-24

26-25

23-18

23-25

9-22

31-26

19-27

18-12

13-16

19-16

22-20

17-19

22-18

16-22

18-31

13-23

16-24

16-17

18-20

18-17

16-16

16-27

25-11

17-24

24-29

17-23

29-18

11-17

21-33

165.0Avg total

82.1Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.1	82.9	165.0	-0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	85.0	159.2	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	85.2	89.5	174.8	-4.2	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	81.4	86.6	167.9	-5.2	43%
vs Weaker (12)	88.2	79.0	167.2	+9.2	75%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

New Zealand BreakersMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.2	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	21.5	43.3	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.6	20.7	42.4	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.4	45.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	22.5	45.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.5	21.8	47.2	+3.8	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.8	21.7	45.5	+2.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.8	39.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	20.1	38.5	-1.6	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	18.7	42.0	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	26.2	45.8	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.7	18.0	40.7	+4.7	58%	-

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville

38-36

H29/01

NBL

Adelaide

56-36

+20

A03/02

NBL

Cairns

44-45

-1

H07/02

NBL

Melbourne United

53-34

+19

H12/02

NBL

Melbourne United

37-34

A14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

38-41

-3

A18/02

NBL

Melbourne United

41-46

-5

H20/02

NBL

Perth

38-45

-7

A02/03

NBL

Perth

37-31

H04/03

NBL

Perth

30-42

-12

A06/03

NBL

80.2Avg total

41.2Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	41.4	81.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	42.1	85.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.7	78.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	41.0	77.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.6	42.6	84.2	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	38.5	39.3	77.8	-0.7	45%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

43-46

-3

H07/01

NBL

Cairns

43-31

+12

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

49-33

+16

H15/01

NBL

Adelaide

49-43

A22/01

NBL

Perth

50-53

-3

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-36

A04/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-53

-19

A12/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-37

-3

H14/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H18/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

46-41

A20/02

NBL

84.1Avg total

43.0Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	42.4	87.4	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.5	41.2	87.7	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	43.7	87.0	-0.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	41.1	84.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.6	43.2	86.8	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (12)	46.5	39.7	86.2	+6.8	92%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	16.5	35.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	16.1	34.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.7	18.8	38.5	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.1	16.6	35.7	+2.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.6	40.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.3	40.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.0	35.2	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	18.7	42.8	+5.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.1	42.8	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.9	19.3	41.2	+2.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.7	20.9	45.6	+3.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.5	39.9	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.1	41.4	-4.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	20.8	40.2	-1.2	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	37.9	80.3	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	35.2	78.4	+8.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	40.5	82.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	35.8	76.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.6	38.1	79.7	+3.6	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.8	37.5	81.4	+6.3	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	41.4	80.7	-2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	39.8	80.1	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	42.9	81.3	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.4	79.5	-3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	44.0	79.0	-9.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	40.5	78.2	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.8	43.4	81.1	-5.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.3	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

New Zealand Breakers wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
20/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	91-78
18/02/16	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	82-91
14/02/16	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	68-70
12/02/16	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	100-63
22/11/15	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	80-69
08/11/15	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-86
18/01/15	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	88-75
14/12/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	87-92
21/11/14	New Zealand Breakers v Melbourne United	80-72
19/10/14	Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers	95-74

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/16	A	Perth	52-75
04/03/16	H	Perth	72-68
02/03/16	A	Perth	76-82
20/02/16	H	Melbourne United	91-78
18/02/16	A	Melbourne United	91-82
14/02/16	A	Melbourne United	70-68
12/02/16	H	Melbourne United	100-63
07/02/16	H	Cairns	85-74
03/02/16	A	Adelaide	106-84
29/01/16	H	Townsville	77-74

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	78-91
18/02/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	82-91
14/02/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	68-70
12/02/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	63-100
04/02/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	80-73
29/01/16	A	Perth	91-85 OT
22/01/16	A	Adelaide	81-90
15/01/16	H	Cairns	98-68
13/01/16	A	Cairns	83-65
07/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	97-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Melbourne United

NBL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brisbane Bullets	1	1	0	100%	72.0	65.0	+7.0
2	Perth	1	0	1	0%	65.0	72.0	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
New Zealand Breakers	17	23	8	28	76
Melbourne United	16	15	21	19	71

← all games of the day

New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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