Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 90-81

25-26 18-23 25-23 22-9

Position#5

Record12-9

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game86.6

Adelaide 🏆

Melbourne United

Position#2

Record16-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.7

Allowed / game83.4

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

89-77

+12

H21/11

NBL

Cairns

88-83

A27/11

NBL

Perth

72-90

-18

A04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

86-89

-3

A06/12

NBL

Townsville

100-101

100

101

-1

A10/12

NBL

Townsville

76-66

+10

H12/12

NBL

Melbourne United

91-81

+10

H23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

87-81

A08/01

NBL

Townsville

108-103

108

103

A16/01

NBL

Sydney

96-89

H20/01

NBL

33-24

21-22

15-8

20-23

29-21

17-23

19-15

23-24

18-25

20-23

17-23

17-19

23-30

19-23

20-17

24-19

27-26

28-24

26-24

19-27

14-21

27-15

15-15

20-15

28-23

20-20

20-26

23-12

25-23

28-18

12-20

22-20

26-33

30-31

27-14

25-25

19-21

22-28

23-16

32-24

175.3Avg total

89.3Scored

86.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	88.2	86.6	174.8	+1.6	57%
Season at home (11)	88.5	82.1	170.5	+6.4	73%
Season away (10)	87.9	91.5	179.4	-3.6	40%
Last 10 (10)	89.3	86.0	175.3	+3.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	84.0	175.6	+7.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.9	90.4	172.3	-8.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	90.8	85.0	175.8	+5.8	69%
vs Weaker (10)	93.7	87.8	181.5	+5.9	80%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

87-102

102

-15

A03/12

NBL

Adelaide

89-86

H06/12

NBL

Perth

83-113

113

-30

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

81-96

-15

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

81-91

-10

A23/12

NBL

Perth

92-87

H27/12

NBL

Sydney

100-90

100

+10

A30/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

97-96

H07/01

NBL

Cairns

83-65

+18

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

98-68

+30

H15/01

NBL

28-30

18-29

22-23

19-20

30-23

23-19

17-20

19-24

21-15

12-34

25-30

25-34

15-32

39-20

18-24

9-20

23-28

20-20

26-20

12-23

25-27

30-19

13-17

24-24

28-23

26-29

28-20

18-18

19-23

24-23

36-23

18-27

19-16

24-15

24-17

16-17

24-18

25-15

26-11

23-24

178.5Avg total

89.1Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	86.7	83.4	170.1	+3.3	70%
Season at home (13)	88.6	81.1	169.7	+7.5	85%
Season away (10)	84.3	86.4	170.7	-2.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	89.4	178.5	-0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	81.2	175.2	+12.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	78.0	89.2	167.2	-11.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	84.2	88.6	172.8	-4.4	58%
vs Weaker (14)	86.9	80.2	167.1	+6.6	64%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	24.1	48.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	23.9	47.7	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.3	24.3	49.6	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	24.7	48.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	26.7	27.4	54.1	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.6	22.3	46.9	+2.3	77%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.4	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	23.0	46.0	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	21.9	45.4	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.5	46.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	22.0	45.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.7	24.7	47.3	-2.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (14)	23.0	21.9	44.9	+1.1	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.3	44.7	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	22.7	45.9	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.4	47.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	21.7	40.9	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	24.7	23.6	48.3	+1.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	19.8	42.4	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	22.3	46.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	20.2	46.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	50%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

54-46

H21/11

NBL

Cairns

46-44

A27/11

NBL

Perth

38-48

-10

A04/12

NBL

Melbourne United

42-53

-11

A06/12

NBL

Townsville

55-50

A10/12

NBL

Townsville

41-36

H12/12

NBL

Melbourne United

48-43

H23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

53-41

+12

A08/01

NBL

Townsville

56-64

-8

A16/01

NBL

Sydney

41-49

-8

H20/01

NBL

94.8Avg total

47.4Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.7	46.5	94.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.2	45.2	92.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.2	47.7	95.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	47.4	94.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	46.6	94.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	45.9	49.1	95.0	-3.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	48.8	44.0	92.8	+4.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	47.5	47.8	95.3	-0.3	60%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

46-59

-13

A03/12

NBL

Adelaide

53-42

+11

H06/12

NBL

Perth

33-49

-16

A10/12

NBL

Sydney

54-52

H16/12

NBL

Adelaide

43-48

-5

A23/12

NBL

Perth

55-46

H27/12

NBL

Sydney

54-52

A30/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-46

-3

H07/01

NBL

Cairns

43-31

+12

A13/01

NBL

Cairns

49-33

+16

H15/01

NBL

93.1Avg total

47.3Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	43.3	87.2	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	41.7	87.8	+4.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.3	45.2	86.5	-3.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	45.8	93.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	41.6	90.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	47.0	89.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	44.2	46.1	90.3	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	44.0	39.9	83.9	+4.1	79%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	18.6	34.9	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.8	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.9	18.4	41.3	+4.5	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	17.6	43.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.8	43.5	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	24.1	45.3	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.2	43.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.7	22.7	42.4	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.9	40.6	-1.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	23.1	41.4	-4.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	21.2	39.5	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.7	82.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	43.6	85.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	38.6	80.5	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	37.4	81.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.0	41.3	77.3	-5.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (10)	46.2	40.0	86.2	+6.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	41.4	82.2	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	40.1	81.0	+0.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	42.9	83.5	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.6	85.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	39.6	84.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	42.2	78.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.9	42.5	82.4	-2.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (14)	42.9	40.3	83.1	+2.6	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/15	Adelaide v Melbourne United	91-81
06/12/15	Melbourne United v Adelaide	89-86
16/10/15	Melbourne United v Adelaide	84-75
10/01/15	Melbourne United v Adelaide	89-91
12/12/14	Adelaide v Melbourne United	90-77
27/11/14	Melbourne United v Adelaide	94-91
15/11/14	Adelaide v Melbourne United	79-118
01/04/14	Adelaide v Melbourne United	102-63
30/03/14	Melbourne United v Adelaide	98-87
27/03/14	Adelaide v Melbourne United	101-85

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/16	H	Sydney	96-89
16/01/16	A	Townsville	108-103
08/01/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	87-81
23/12/15	H	Melbourne United	91-81
12/12/15	H	Townsville	76-66
10/12/15	A	Townsville	100-101
06/12/15	A	Melbourne United	86-89
04/12/15	A	Perth	72-90
27/11/15	A	Cairns	88-83
21/11/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	89-77

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/16	H	Cairns	98-68
13/01/16	A	Cairns	83-65
07/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	97-96
30/12/15	A	Sydney	100-90
27/12/15	H	Perth	92-87
23/12/15	A	Adelaide	81-91
16/12/15	H	Sydney	81-96
10/12/15	A	Perth	83-113
06/12/15	H	Adelaide	89-86
03/12/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	87-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	57%
Home	LWWWW	73%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	57%	73%	40%
Points / game	88.2	88.5	87.9
Allowed / game	86.6	82.1	91.5
Point differential	+1.6	+6.4	-3.6
Avg total	174.8	170.5	179.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	45%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	70%
Home	WLWWW	85%
Away	LLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	70%	85%	50%
Points / game	86.7	88.6	84.3
Allowed / game	83.4	81.1	86.4
Point differential	+3.3	+7.5	-2.1
Avg total	170.1	169.7	170.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	31%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	83% (6)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	23	16	7	70%	86.7	83.4	+3.3
2	Perth	23	15	8	65%	84.5	79.4	+5.1
3	Illawarra Hawks	23	14	9	61%	93.9	87.5	+6.4
4	Adelaide	21	12	9	57%	88.2	86.6	+1.6
5	New Zealand Breakers	22	11	11	50%	83.3	83.1	+0.1
6	Cairns	22	9	13	41%	79.8	84.0	-4.2
7	Townsville	23	8	15	35%	78.0	83.9	-6.0
8	Sydney	23	5	18	22%	84.6	91.0	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	25	18	25	22	90
Melbourne United	26	23	23	9	81

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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