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New Zealand Breakers vs Townsville Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 77-74
22-22 16-14 14-16 25-22
Position#4
Record11-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#7
Record9-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.1
AustraliaNBL
Other2015-16
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Townsville
29 Jan 2016
NEW 77
TOWN74
11 Oct 2015
NEW 89
TOWN81
19 Dec 2014
NEW 96
TOWN84
31 Oct 2014
NEW 84
TOWN70
27 Feb 2014
NEW 102
TOWN99
22 Nov 2013
NEW 81
TOWN74
16 Nov 2012
NEW 93
TOWN63
19 Oct 2012
NEW 73
TOWN71
07 Apr 2012
NEW 97
TOWN80
30 Mar 2012
NEW 82
TOWN99
23 Feb 2012
NEW 81
TOWN70
24 Nov 2011
NEW 88
TOWN74
03 Mar 2011
NEW 66
TOWN65
17 Dec 2009
NEW 80
TOWN87
22 Oct 2009
NEW 92
TOWN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Townsville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A05/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H11/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
83-107
83
107
-24
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A27/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A14/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
H17/01
NBL
Townsville
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A21/01
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A23/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
13-19
18-25
27-16
14-21
23-24
26-14
33-25
21-34
26-25
22-29
14-19
16-17
22-21
32-18
23-27
17-18
9-11
18-21
22-23
23-25
18-28
20-12
20-22
20-21
9-26
19-25
21-15
32-24
21-24
18-17
9-15
18-29
16-21
14-19
18-20
22-14
27-32
19-18
19-26
170.1Avg total
82.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.483.4166.9+0.048%
Season at home (11)88.582.4170.9+6.273%
Season away (12)78.884.4163.2-5.725%
Last 10 (10)82.387.8170.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)79.891.2171.0-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)83.685.9169.5-2.441%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.679.7166.3+6.969%
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TownsvilleAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H05/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H10/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A12/12
NBL
Perth
#1
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H19/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
H31/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A08/01
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
103-108
103
108
-5
H16/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H21/01
NBL
Sydney
#8
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H27/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-9
22-18
16-21
21-28
15-28
19-13
25-18
16-27
26-27
24-28
24-26
27-19
21-14
15-27
15-15
15-20
8-15
17-15
29-14
21-14
14-32
19-19
19-23
22-24
16-25
8-15
16-21
21-14
33-26
31-30
14-27
25-25
29-18
21-16
19-14
20-18
25-26
21-22
26-22
24-18
166.1Avg total
83.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.784.1162.8-5.438%
Season at home (12)85.684.8170.4+0.850%
Season away (12)71.883.3155.2-11.525%
Last 10 (10)83.083.1166.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)84.687.0171.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.385.3163.6-6.933%
vs Similar (11)81.177.8158.9+3.355%
vs Weaker (1)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
New Zealand BreakersTownsville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H11/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A27/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A31/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/01
NBL
Townsville
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A21/01
NBL
Cairns
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A23/01
NBL
84.4Avg total
39.5Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.683.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.543.487.9+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.879.8-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.984.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.248.890.0-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)40.944.485.4-3.541%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.740.281.9+1.554%-
This opponent (Townsville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns
#6
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H10/12
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/12
NBL
Perth
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H19/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H31/12
NBL
Cairns
#6
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/01
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H16/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/01
NBL
Sydney
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H27/01
NBL
83.8Avg total
41.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.481.7-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.142.185.2+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.342.878.1-7.57%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.383.8-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.889.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.245.284.4-6.117%-
vs Similar (11)39.838.978.7+0.927%-
vs Weaker (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/16ACairns87-90
21/01/16ATownsville66-89
17/01/16HIllawarra Hawks96-103 OT
14/01/16AIllawarra Hawks69-87
08/01/16HAdelaide81-87
31/12/15ACairns66-73
27/12/15ASydney93-83
20/12/15HIllawarra Hawks83-107
11/12/15HSydney96-84
05/12/15ATownsville86-75
Townsvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/16HSydney96-88
21/01/16HNew Zealand Breakers89-66
16/01/16HAdelaide103-108
08/01/16ACairns61-75
31/12/15HIllawarra Hawks74-98
19/12/15HPerth75-58
12/12/15AAdelaide66-76
10/12/15HAdelaide101-100
05/12/15HNew Zealand Breakers75-86
02/12/15HCairns90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL73%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%73%25%
Points / game83.488.578.8
Allowed / game83.482.484.4
Point differential+0.0+6.2-5.7
Avg total166.9170.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Townsville
NBL 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.785.671.8
Allowed / game84.184.883.3
Point differential-5.4+0.8-11.5
Avg total162.8170.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)33% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth2416867%84.579.2+5.3
2 Melbourne United2416867%86.583.7+2.8
3 Illawarra Hawks2415962%94.387.9+6.4
4 Adelaide23131057%88.787.1+1.6
5 New Zealand Breakers23111248%83.483.4+0.0
6 Cairns24101442%80.084.1-4.1
7 Townsville2491538%78.784.1-5.4
8 Sydney2451921%84.791.2-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2216142577
Townsville2214162274
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