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New Zealand vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 77-79
21-23 16-16 25-18 15-22
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.0
New Zealand
vs
Australia 🏆
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· TSB Bank Arena
Other2027
Meetings · New Zealand v Australia
01 Dec 2025
NEW 77
AUST79
20 Feb 2021
NEW 52
AUST81
19 Aug 2017
NEW 79
AUST106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New ZealandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZealand
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
92-51
92
51
+41
89avg 80
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
84avg 80
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
100-78
100
78
+22
85avg 80
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 80
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
118-78
118
78
+40
126avg 80
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 80
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
71avg 80
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
73-79
73
79
-6
66avg 80
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-6
14-26
15-15
29-17
26-21
26-12
19-14
21-4
30-15
23-18
21-22
13-15
24-16
18-27
21-18
37-17
23-18
32-23
19-27
20-18
19-18
30-17
35-24
34-19
12-32
18-13
26-17
34-24
19-28
21-14
26-26
18-30
20-28
13-19
21-19
19-13
25-28
24-14
18-24
12-18
167.2Avg total
89.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)89.877.4167.2+12.470%
Last 5 (5)88.885.0173.8+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.893.5172.2-14.80%
vs Similar (4)84.076.8160.8+7.275%
vs Weaker (22)90.376.1166.4+14.173%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
W
98-75
98
75
+23
no box
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
109-58
109
58
+51
109avg 94
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
122avg 94
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 94
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 94
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 94
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 94
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
92-48
92
48
+44
95avg 94
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 94
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
35-13
17-26
27-17
22-4
28-18
27-17
32-19
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
29-12
19-16
21-22
15-10
27-20
24-9
29-8
12-11
17-25
25-21
26-25
22-18
28-25
14-24
24-18
18-12
166.7Avg total
97.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)97.169.6166.7+27.5100%
Last 5 (5)92.071.6163.6+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.365.0155.3+25.389%
This opponent (New Zealand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: +7.9+7.9
New ZealandAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New ZealandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A20/02
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H23/02
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A07/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H14/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A28/11
World Cup
83.3Avg total
44.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.484.6+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.436.784.1+10.777%-
Last 30 away (17)43.641.485.0+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.383.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.050.091.0-9.025%-
vs Similar (4)37.843.281.0-5.525%-
vs Weaker (22)47.436.784.1+10.677%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Korea
#8
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A24/11
Asia Cup
Indonesia
#29
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H20/02
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
World Cup
84.8Avg total
49.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.633.681.2+14.083%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.633.480.0+13.178%-
Last 30 away (11)49.433.983.3+15.591%-
Last 10 (10)49.535.384.8+14.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.084.8+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.933.881.7+14.181%-
This opponent (New Zealand) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
-41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.0
36.1%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
-15.0
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.3
57.5%
-50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
-14.3
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand
LLLWWWWWWW
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#1
+15.5
Net rating
+40.6
113.7
Offensive rating
123.0
98.3
Defensive rating
82.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
39.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.1%
3-point %
36.5%
59.6%
Assist %
63.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ New Zealand   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
New Zealand wins
4
Australia wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Australia v New Zealand84-79
23/07/22Australia v New Zealand85-76
20/02/21New Zealand v Australia52-81
20/02/20Australia v New Zealand98-108
19/08/17New Zealand v Australia79-106
New Zealandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AAustralia79-84
17/08/25AIran73-79
16/08/25AChina84-98
14/08/25HLebanon90-86
09/08/25AChinese Taipei118-78
07/08/25APhilippines94-86
05/08/25HIraq100-78
23/02/25HPhilippines87-70
20/02/25AHong Kong92-51
25/11/24HChinese Taipei81-64
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HNew Zealand84-79
17/08/25HChina90-89
16/08/25HIran92-48
13/08/25HPhilippines84-60
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64
20/02/25HIndonesia109-58
24/11/24ASouth Korea98-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game79.0-79.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Australia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.084.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+5.0+5.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
4 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
5 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
6 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
7 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
8 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
9 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
10 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
11 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
12 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
13 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
14 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
15 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
16 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
17 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
18 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
19 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
20 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
21 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
22 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
23 Serbia220100%82.079.0+3.0
24 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
25 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
26 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
27 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
28 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
29 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
30 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
31 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
32 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
33 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
34 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
35 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
36 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
37 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
38 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
39 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
40 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
41 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
42 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
43 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
44 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
47 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
48 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
49 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
50 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
51 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
52 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
53 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
54 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
55 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
56 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
57 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
58 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
59 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
60 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
61 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
62 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
63 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
64 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
65 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
66 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
67 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
68 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
69 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
70 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
71 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
72 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
73 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
74 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
75 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
76 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
77 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
78 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
79 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
80 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
81 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
82 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
83 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
84 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand2116251577
Australia2316182279
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