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Newcastle Falcons vs BA CoE Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 53-76
13-21 8-19 17-14 15-22
Position#12
Record2-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game78.9
vs
BA CoE 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BA CoE winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H04/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
17-6
21-21
15-24
17-17
29-15
17-17
25-17
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
8-23
16-14
20-10
16-20
19-22
22-11
17-18
23-10
26-19
12-21
10-16
21-21
19-21
17-16
23-11
21-17
16-24
12-38
17-13
17-13
151.3Avg total
72.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.978.9148.7-9.029%
Season at home (3)67.772.0139.7-4.333%
Season away (4)71.584.0155.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)72.478.9151.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)70.471.6142.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.389.0160.3-17.711%
vs Similar (10)74.272.7146.9+1.550%
vs Weaker (11)82.264.9147.1+17.391%
This opponent (BA CoE) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BA CoEAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A22/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A23/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
W
103-71
103
71
+32
H29/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H05/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H21/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H05/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-29
19-22
17-27
18-17
27-18
20-17
12-22
24-18
29-13
36-14
14-26
17-20
20-27
12-23
33-19
24-18
19-16
23-42
22-23
26-28
28-20
12-18
23-16
18-23
15-24
24-15
23-23
22-25
20-12
18-21
16-19
20-25
25-22
21-18
29-14
24-19
18-22
25-10
16-19
167.4Avg total
85.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.282.0167.2+3.250%
Season at home (3)89.077.0166.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)81.387.0168.3-5.70%
Last 10 (10)85.382.1167.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)84.678.6163.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)91.589.0180.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.177.5173.6+18.682%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Newcastle FalconsBA CoE
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maitland M.
#6
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
28-62
28
62
-34
H04/05
NBL1 East
76.1Avg total
34.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.333.073.3+7.386%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.981.7-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)34.941.276.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.875.2-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.745.079.7-10.322%-
vs Similar (10)39.435.074.4+4.470%-
vs Weaker (11)44.934.479.3+10.582%-
This opponent (BA CoE) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BA CoELast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H29/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A19/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H21/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A26/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/05
NBL1 East
85.1Avg total
43.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.538.787.2+9.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.237.990.2+14.388%-
Last 30 away (14)44.239.583.7+4.771%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.385.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.087.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.040.584.5+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.838.587.4+10.382%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
2
BA CoE wins
DateGameScore
29/07/23BA CoE v Newcastle Falcons103-71
04/06/23BA CoE v Newcastle Falcons112-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HBankstown Bruins62-88
27/04/24APenrith P.80-65
21/04/24ASydney Comets69-77
20/04/24HHornsby S.81-61
14/04/24HCanberra60-67
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
22/07/23HBankstown Bruins88-66
15/07/23HMaitland M.76-68
BA CoElast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HNorths Bears83-70
04/05/24HSydney Comets95-79
27/04/24AHills Hornets76-77
26/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders80-85
21/04/24HBankstown Bruins89-82
19/04/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits88-99
05/08/23HSutherland Sharks82-89
29/07/23HNewcastle Falcons103-71
23/07/23AHills Hornets77-74
22/07/23ASydney Comets80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game69.967.771.5
Allowed / game78.972.084.0
Point differential-9.0-4.3-12.5
Avg total148.7139.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
BA CoE
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.289.081.3
Allowed / game82.077.087.0
Point differential+3.2+12.0-5.7
Avg total167.2166.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.770100%98.475.7+22.7
2 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
3 Canberra87188%84.669.1+15.5
4 Manly W.54180%95.880.2+15.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits75271%95.088.9+6.1
6 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
7 Hills Hornets74357%83.682.7+0.9
8 BA CoE63350%85.282.0+3.2
9 Sutherland Sharks73443%82.983.7-0.9
10 Norths Bears73443%78.479.7-1.3
11 Sydney Comets73443%79.781.9-2.1
12 Central Coast Crusaders73443%87.689.9-2.3
13 Newcastle Falcons72529%69.978.9-9.0
14 Penrith P.71614%79.093.4-14.4
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks7070%75.0103.4-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons138171553
BA CoE2119142276
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