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Penrith P. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 65-80
21-19 16-17 11-23 17-21
Position#16
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game97.6
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game79.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Penrith P. v Newcastle Falcons
22 Jun 2025
PENR63
NEWC98
27 Apr 2024
PENR65
NEWC80
08 Jul 2023
PENR69
NEWC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
80-108
80
108
-28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
20-22
15-26
16-19
28-27
17-25
28-25
22-24
19-28
17-26
26-27
18-27
21-29
19-20
21-21
16-25
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
180.6Avg total
82.5Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.697.6181.2-14.020%
Season at home (1)78.0109.0187.0-31.00%
Season away (4)85.094.8179.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)82.598.1180.6-15.610%
Last 5 (5)83.697.6181.2-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)73.795.0168.6-21.312%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
22-20
26-15
19-16
22-20
19-9
10-22
12-15
23-17
17-6
21-21
15-24
17-17
29-15
17-17
25-17
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
8-23
16-14
20-10
16-20
19-22
22-11
17-18
23-10
26-19
12-21
10-16
21-21
151.2Avg total
74.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.479.8149.2-10.420%
Season at home (2)70.564.0134.5+6.550%
Season away (3)68.790.3159.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)74.177.1151.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)69.479.8149.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.589.1161.6-16.612%
vs Similar (12)75.673.7149.2+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.464.9147.3+17.590%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
Penrith P.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
87.7Avg total
37.2Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)34.550.484.8-15.94%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.150.585.5-15.40%-
Last 30 away (15)34.050.384.3-16.37%-
Last 10 (10)37.250.587.7-13.30%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.086.2-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.350.184.4-15.84%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/04
NBL1 East
75.7Avg total
37.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.777.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.931.572.4+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)40.041.281.2-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.075.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.074.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.542.978.4-7.425%-
vs Similar (12)39.234.873.9+4.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.834.179.9+11.790%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateGameScore
08/07/23Penrith P. v Newcastle Falcons69-96
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93
22/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders77-95
15/07/23HNorths Bears80-108
09/07/23HMaitland M.95-101
08/07/23HNewcastle Falcons69-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ASydney Comets69-77
20/04/24HHornsby S.81-61
14/04/24HCanberra60-67
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
22/07/23HBankstown Bruins88-66
15/07/23HMaitland M.76-68
09/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 263-66
08/07/23APenrith P.96-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game83.678.085.0
Allowed / game97.6109.094.8
Point differential-14.0-31.0-9.8
Avg total181.2187.0179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game69.470.568.7
Allowed / game79.864.090.3
Point differential-10.4+6.5-21.7
Avg total149.2134.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.660100%96.073.5+22.5
2 Inner West Bulls76186%93.477.0+16.4
3 Canberra54180%82.869.6+13.2
4 Albury-Wodonga Bandits54180%92.683.6+9.0
5 Manly W.32167%93.779.7+14.0
6 Hills Hornets53260%85.482.8+2.6
7 Bankstown Bruins53260%76.075.4+0.6
8 Sutherland Sharks42250%87.283.5+3.8
9 Norths Bears42250%78.075.2+2.8
10 Central Coast Crusaders63350%88.787.8+0.8
11 Sydney Comets63350%79.879.7+0.2
12 BA CoE41325%83.285.8-2.5
13 Newcastle Falcons51420%69.479.8-10.4
14 Penrith P.51420%83.697.6-14.0
15 Hornsby S.7070%72.395.9-23.6
16 Illawarra Hawks5050%73.0103.8-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.2116111765
Newcastle Falcons1917232180
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