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Newcastle Falcons vs Central Coast Crusaders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 111-80
24-31 40-17 24-10 23-22
Position#9
Record9-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#10
Record9-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game85.9
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Central Coast Crusaders
19 Jul 2025
NEWC111
CENT80
18 May 2024
NEWC77
CENT68
07 May 2022
NEWC80
CENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Coast Crusaders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H05/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
116-95
116
95
+21
A12/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
21-29
14-13
20-27
25-17
22-25
13-31
11-25
24-21
22-18
27-15
18-15
31-15
13-14
27-20
27-23
14-31
22-24
13-19
25-18
27-16
35-22
27-22
25-26
29-25
168.9Avg total
87.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.180.6162.7+1.650%
Season at home (8)80.172.2152.4+7.975%
Season away (10)83.787.2170.9-3.530%
Last 10 (10)87.481.5168.9+5.960%
Last 5 (5)90.485.0175.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.781.8158.5-5.233%
vs Similar (11)81.481.3162.6+0.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.180.9168.0+6.357%
This opponent (Central Coast Crusaders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast CrusadersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
86-100
86
100
-14
A17/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H24/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
89-100
89
100
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
52-98
52
98
-46
A21/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A22/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
90-88
90
88
+2
H28/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
98-94
98
94
+4
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
74-104
74
104
-30
A12/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
23-21
18-25
32-28
24-21
14-25
21-24
19-16
27-14
23-21
21-16
27-26
25-24
18-24
28-28
18-24
20-27
18-22
19-16
26-13
16-22
10-29
10-20
16-27
22-21
18-23
25-14
11-10
23-21
27-25
19-22
21-20
27-27
22-19
24-24
25-24
23-28
22-30
15-25
14-21
171.7Avg total
82.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.385.9168.2-3.650%
Season at home (9)87.484.0171.4+3.456%
Season away (9)77.187.8164.9-10.744%
Last 10 (10)82.489.3171.7-6.950%
Last 5 (5)78.090.4168.4-12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.791.7174.3-9.030%
vs Similar (6)82.281.3163.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)90.090.8180.8-0.850%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Newcastle FalconsCentral Coast Crusaders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A12/07
NBL1 East
83.2Avg total
41.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.581.6-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.139.979.0-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.883.9-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.642.280.8-3.642%-
vs Similar (11)40.141.081.1-0.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.041.084.0+2.057%-
This opponent (Central Coast Crusaders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast CrusadersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H24/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H31/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/06
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A14/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A21/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A22/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H05/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A12/07
NBL1 East
88.5Avg total
41.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.787.5-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.341.486.7+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)40.847.388.1-6.541%-
Last 10 (10)41.547.088.5-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.049.091.0-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.045.988.9-2.950%-
vs Similar (6)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (4)44.542.086.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Newcastle Falcons wins
2
Central Coast Crusaders wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25AMaitland M.116-95
05/07/25HSutherland Sharks87-77
28/06/25AManly W.81-88
22/06/25APenrith P.98-63
21/06/25ANorths Bears70-102
14/06/25ABA CoE80-86
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25ANorths Bears74-104
05/07/25HMaitland M.98-94
28/06/25HSutherland Sharks90-88
22/06/25ABA CoE76-68
21/06/25ACanberra52-98
14/06/25AHills Hornets83-78
01/06/25HHornsby S.89-100
31/05/25HPenrith P.98-77
24/05/25HManly W.78-86
17/05/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits86-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%75%30%
Points / game82.180.183.7
Allowed / game80.672.287.2
Point differential+1.6+7.9-3.5
Avg total162.7152.4170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Central Coast Crusaders
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayLWLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game82.387.477.1
Allowed / game85.984.087.8
Point differential-3.6+3.4-10.7
Avg total168.2171.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra2015575%91.278.5+12.7
2 BA CoE1914574%84.173.8+10.3
3 Illawarra Hawks 21914574%95.187.8+7.2
4 Sydney Comets1913668%79.376.5+2.8
5 Bankstown Bruins1911858%88.484.6+3.8
6 Norths Bears1911858%80.578.2+2.3
7 Sutherland Sharks2011955%87.582.8+4.6
8 Manly W.2011955%86.085.0+0.9
9 Newcastle Falcons189950%82.180.6+1.6
10 Central Coast Crusaders189950%82.385.9-3.6
11 Maitland M.1971237%90.389.9+0.4
12 Inner West Bulls1971237%83.587.4-3.9
13 Hills Hornets1971237%76.881.4-4.6
14 Hornsby S.2071335%84.291.0-6.8
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1941521%80.995.1-14.2
16 Penrith P.1931616%75.389.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons24402423111
Central Coast Crusaders3117102280
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