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Newcastle Falcons vs Central Coast Crusaders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 77-68
22-22 18-14 15-20 22-12
Position#12
Record3-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game77.1
vs
Position#13
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game90.8
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Central Coast Crusaders
19 Jul 2025
NEWC111
CENT80
18 May 2024
NEWC77
CENT68
07 May 2022
NEWC80
CENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Coast Crusaders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H12/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
8-23
16-14
20-10
16-20
19-22
22-11
17-18
23-10
26-19
12-21
10-16
21-21
19-21
17-16
23-11
21-17
16-24
12-38
17-13
17-13
13-21
8-19
17-14
15-22
21-14
20-21
6-17
21-14
147.8Avg total
68.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.877.1144.9-9.333%
Season at home (5)64.871.6136.4-6.840%
Season away (4)71.584.0155.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)68.179.7147.8-11.630%
Last 5 (5)66.474.4140.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.485.7155.1-16.418%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.672.3146.9+2.256%
vs Weaker (10)82.767.3150.0+15.490%
This opponent (Central Coast Crusaders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast CrusadersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A15/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
100-74
100
74
+26
H06/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H20/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
H27/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
67-97
67
97
-30
H11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
23-29
9-27
9-26
29-21
20-19
21-21
25-16
29-16
24-26
20-22
27-10
18-9
15-30
27-24
22-26
26-22
27-22
34-29
25-22
11-22
23-25
23-27
26-19
23-18
24-15
15-24
23-23
16-24
27-23
13-28
14-21
23-27
23-13
21-33
14-29
15-25
9-16
20-33
23-23
175.0Avg total
84.7Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.090.8175.8-5.838%
Season at home (6)86.289.2175.3-3.050%
Season away (2)81.595.5177.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)84.790.3175.0-5.640%
Last 5 (5)77.293.6170.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.192.2170.3-14.114%
vs Similar ◀ (1)91.088.0179.0+3.0100%
vs Weaker (7)88.379.0167.3+9.371%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Newcastle FalconsCentral Coast Crusaders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A21/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
28-62
28
62
-34
H04/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/05
NBL1 East
75.7Avg total
32.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.0+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.073.1+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.581.0-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)32.543.275.7-10.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.875.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.043.677.6-9.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.933.672.4+5.378%-
vs Weaker (10)45.435.180.5+10.380%-
This opponent (Central Coast Crusaders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Coast CrusadersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A15/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A22/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H06/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H27/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A04/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H11/05
NBL1 East
85.6Avg total
43.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.884.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.642.084.6+0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)41.043.984.9-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)41.044.385.2-3.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)45.044.089.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (7)44.638.182.7+6.486%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
1
Central Coast Crusaders wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HManly W.68-66
11/05/24HBA CoE53-76
04/05/24HBankstown Bruins62-88
27/04/24APenrith P.80-65
21/04/24ASydney Comets69-77
20/04/24HHornsby S.81-61
14/04/24HCanberra60-67
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HCanberra67-97
04/05/24AManly W.81-102
27/04/24HMaitland M.70-96
26/04/24HBA CoE85-80
20/04/24HHills Hornets83-93
14/04/24HPenrith P.112-95
13/04/24ASydney Comets82-89
06/04/24HHornsby S.100-74
22/07/23APenrith P.95-77
15/07/23AIllawarra Hawks 272-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game67.864.871.5
Allowed / game77.171.684.0
Point differential-9.3-6.8-12.5
Avg total144.9136.4155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Coast Crusaders
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%50%0%
Points / game85.086.281.5
Allowed / game90.889.295.5
Point differential-5.8-3.0-14.0
Avg total175.8175.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.98189%98.378.2+20.1
2 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits97278%97.888.9+8.9
4 Manly W.86275%90.277.5+12.8
5 Inner West Bulls107370%92.379.8+12.5
6 BA CoE96367%86.275.8+10.4
7 Norths Bears106460%83.980.3+3.6
8 Sydney Comets95456%79.978.9+1.0
9 Hills Hornets95456%84.284.4-0.2
10 Bankstown Bruins84450%77.678.2-0.6
11 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
12 Sutherland Sharks93633%78.385.9-7.6
13 Newcastle Falcons93633%67.877.1-9.3
14 Illawarra Hawks91811%77.4100.2-22.8
15 Penrith P.101910%80.696.9-16.3
16 Hornsby S.110110%75.894.7-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2218152277
Central Coast Crusaders2214201268
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